Session v. Perry
Session v. Perry
Concurring in Part
concurring in part and dissenting in part.
I.
I join the court’s opinion that the law does not preclude the State’s Legislature from enacting a mid-decade redistricting plan following a court-ordered remedial plan such as the one enacted by the court in Balderas v. State of Texas. I understand the court’s opinion to be limited to that question. I write separately to em
I do not read the Court’s decisions in U.S. Term Limits v. Thornton, 514 U.S. 779, 115 S.Ct. 1842, 131 L.Ed.2d 881 (1995) and Cook v. Gralike, 531 U.S. 510, 121 S.Ct. 1029, 149 L.Ed.2d 44 (2001) quite as narrowly as my colleagues. Admittedly, those cases rejected state laws which sought to add to the Qualifications Clause either directly as in Term Limits, or indirectly, through pejorative ballot descriptions as in Cook. From that standpoint they are easier cases than this one to decide. Nonetheless, these decisions underscored that “the Framers understood the Elections Clause as a grant of authority to issue procedural regulations, and not as a source of power to dictate electoral outcomes, to favor or disfavor a class of candidates, or to evade important constitutional restraints.” Term Limits, 514 U.S. at 833-34, 115 S.Ct. 1842; Cook, 531 U.S. at 523, 121 S.Ct. 1029.
Although the state’s authority to issue procedural regulations is broad, at some point a state exceeds the power granted to it by the Elections Clause. Modern technology effectively allows a state to dictate electoral outcomes and to favor or disfavor a class of candidates by enabling extreme partisan gerrymandering. I join the court’s decision that the Elections Clause does not prohibit mid-decade redistricting and note that there may be legitimate state interests advanced by the effort. Whether the present exercise is a “legitimate” state interest may ultimately be resolved by the Supreme Court in Vieth v. Jubelirer, and it seems to me that the Elections Clause would be equally offended by a state’s abuse of its authority regardless of whether such abuse occurred in the beginning, the middle, or the end, of a decade following the release of the census data. It is not the timing of the endeavor that creates problems, it is the fact of it.
As noted by the court in Balderas, partisan gerrymandering reflects a “fundamental distrust of voters.” As in other contexts, extreme partisan gerrymandering leads to a system in which the representatives choose their constituents, rather than vice-versa. I join the court’s judgment on the partisan gerrymandering issue given the high bar set in the equal protection context, but I do not join the court’s discussion of the issue under Section III.B. That discussion implies that extreme partisan gerrymandering is okay as long as one party can reverse the tide when it takes over the statewide offices. Dr. Alford’s report and testimony provides a detailed analysis of the effects of the extreme partisan gerrymander enacted in this case and the dangers of ignoring these issues. As Dr. Alford explains, these dangers include the encouragement of race-based redistricting. At present, we lack the legal precedent to sustain this challenge under either the Equal Protection Clause or the Elections Clause. The present case fails under the standards announced in Davis v. Bandemer and its progeny-even though those standards may or may not ultimately control the disposition of this case, given its timing and that of the arguments in Vieth v. Jubelirer.
I join much of the balance of the opinion. I agree that the plaintiffs have not prevailed on their equal protection claims and I agree that no violation of the Voting Rights Act has been shown with respect to Districts 18 and 30. On the remaining § 2
II.
A.
The state action in this case unlawfully dilutes the strength of the Latino voters residing in former District 23. To that end, the majority errs when it holds that the State may permissibly “trade off’ the rights of minority voters in former District 23 for those in new District 25, a district created to assist the state with its pre-clearance efforts. I would enjoin the operation of Plan 1374C, permit the Legislature to remedy the violations, and, given the amount of the state that would likely be affected by the changes, order that the elections be conducted under Plan 1151C.
B.
For a statute whose purpose “is to prevent discrimination in the exercise of the electoral franchise and to foster our transformation to a society that is no longer fixated on race,” Georgia v. Ashcroft, — U.S. —, —, 123 S.Ct. 2498, 2517, 156 L.Ed.2d 428 (2003), the Voting Rights Act receives a curious interpretation in this case. The State’s heavy reliance on the flexibility given to it by Ashcroft might carry the day with me if Plan 1374C bore any resemblance to the redistricting plan at issue there. It does not.
To begin, the state senate plan at issue in Ashcroft was overwhelmingly supported by the minority legislators. Just the opposite is true in this case. Georgia’s plan sought to maximize the statewide influence of black voters in the State of Georgia. The plan unpacked districts in which blacks constituted a super-majority and (1) maintained the number of majority-minority districts and, at the same time, (2) increased the number of “influence districts” in which blacks would be expected to exert a significant-if not decisive-force in the electoral process. Georgia did so by placing black voters into districts that were likely to lean Democratic in the election returns. Because black voters in Georgia usually supported Democratic candidates, the creation of these influence districts made it likely that blacks could exert more influence in the election process and, correspondingly, increased the likelihood that the elected candidate would be responsive to the black communities’ needs. The distinct but related concepts of substantive versus descriptive representation were at issue.
Georgia argued that, although the plan made the super-majority districts somewhat less “safe,” its plan as a whole increased the political clout of blacks statewide and therefore did not result in a retrogression in African-American voters’ effective exercise of the electoral franchise. Ashcroft held that “[i]n order to maximize the electoral success of a minority group, a State may choose to create a certain number of ‘safe’ districts, in which it is highly likely that minority voters will be able to elect the candidate of their choice. Alternatively, a State may choose to create a greater number of districts in which it is likely-although perhaps not quite as likely as under the benchmark plan-that minority voters will be able to elect candidates of their choice.” Ashcroft, — U.S. at —, 123 S.Ct. at 2511. The Court explained that the extent to which a plan created coalition and influence districts were important considerations in the preclearance inquiry. Ultimately, the Court held that
Ashcroft recognizes the value of safe districts, coalition districts, and influence districts as means to increase minority voting opportunities and political influence. Make no mistake about it: Despite the State’s protestations to the contrary, the changes to District 23 under Plan 1374C were not intended to increase minority voter participation either by strengthening the district or “unpacking” the minority voters into adjoining districts to maximize the overall political strength of Hispanics. These changes were designed to crush these minority voters’ participation in the political process.
C.
Under Plan 1000C, in effect after the 1990 census, as well as under its successor, Plan 1151C, District 23 was a protected Latino opportunity district. The district had a Latino citizen voting age population in excess of 50% and was designed to offer Latino voters the opportunity to elect candidates of choice. Under Plan 1000C, the district boasted a Spanish Surname Voter Registration of 53.3%. And under Plan 1151C, that figure was increased to 55.3%. The Balderas court implicitly recognized that District 23 under Plan 1151C was a protected minority opportunity district when it maintained only six Latino majority citizen voting age districts. A review of the statistical package for Plan 1000C reveals that District 23 was one of those six districts. All six (and only those six) had a Spanish Surname Voter Registration in excess of 50%.
As it was configured under Plan 1151C, District 23 offered Latino voters the opportunity to elect their candidate of choice. In the present case, Dr. Gaddie, the State’s expert, testified that District 23 under Plan 1151C performed for Latino voters in 2002 by electing the Latino candidate of choice in 13 out of 15 statewide elections. He also testified that a district which elects the Latino-preferred candidate of choice in such numbers offers Latinos the opportunity to elect their candidate of choice. Dr. Engstrom, the GI Forum plaintiffs’ expert, reached a similar conclusion: He analyzed racially contested statewide elections from 1994 to 2002 and concluded that District 23 under Plan 1151C elected the preferred Latino candidate in 5 out of 8 races and offers Latino voters the opportunity to elect candidates of choice. Dr. Lichtman, called by the Jackson plaintiffs, arrived at the same conclusion.
The State’s solution to this political problem was brutal, yet simple: destroy the opportunity district. The state did so by cracking a cohesive Hispanic community out of Webb County and taking in Anglos from the Texas Hill Country to build a district in which the Hispanic community will not be able to influence the outcome of the election. The majority’s characterization of new District 23 as a Latino “influence district” is therefore in error. An influence district is a district in which the minority population carries enough political weight potentially to be the swing vote in the election and command the attention of the representative. A competitive district is the touchstone. Not so with new District 23. The Hispanic citizenship figures have been reduced by so great a margin that the Hispanics in District 23, although having the ability to control the Democratic primary, will lose the general election every time. The undisputed regression analyses confirm this. Contrary to the majority’s characterization, the district’s very design ensures a lack of competitiveness and a corresponding lack of responsiveness.
There are, however, a total of 359,000 Latinos who continue to reside in new District 23. They object to the State’s dismantling of their opportunity district under § 2. The question presented is whether a state can, consistent with § 2, intentionally dilute a minority group’s voting rights in an existing opportunity district to obtain a partisan advantage while, at the same time, offset the effects by creating a new district in another part of the state. The majority’s answer is that Ashcroft and Johnson v. De Grandy, 512 U.S. 997, 114 S.Ct. 2647, 129 L.Ed.2d 775 (1994), permit this sort of line-drawing. I disagree.
D.
Contrary to the majority, I do not read Ashcroft or De Grandy to encourage the sort of voting rights swap meet put into play by Plan 1374C. The majority effectively reads Ashcroft’s § 5 holding and De Grandy to countenance violations of § 2 in one part of the state, so long as those violations are “offset” by the creation of new minority opportunity districts elsewhere in the state. The State conceded that this was its position in response to questions from the bench during closing arguments. By its terms, of course, Ashcroft says nothing about a state plan which unlawfully dilutes the minority strength in one part of the state and seeks to “offset” that dilution by the creation of a new minority opportunity district in a different part of the state-one of Georgia’s conten
That Ashcroft did not endorse the approach suggested by the State is not surprising. The Court had already answered this question once in De Grandy and again in its Shaw cases. In De Grandy, the state proposed a per se rule that proportionality was a safe harbor, insulating any reapportionment plan which provided proportional representation from a Section 2 challenge. In rejecting that proposal, the Court stated that the state’s argument rested on an “unexplored premise of highly suspect validity: that in a given case, the rights of some minority voters under § 2 may be traded off against the rights of other members of the same minority class.” 512 U.S. at 1019, 114 S.Ct. 2647. Later, in Shaw v. Hunt, 517 U.S. 899, 917, 116 S.Ct. 1894, 135 L.Ed.2d 207 (1996)(Shaw II), the Court made its views even more explicit:
If a § 2 violation is proved for a particular area, it flows from the fact that individuals in this area “have less opportunity than other members of the electorate to participate in the political process and to elect representatives of their choice.” 42 U.S.C. § 1973(b). The vote-dilution injuries suffered by these persons are not remedied by creating a safe majority-black district somewhere else in the State. For example, if a geographically compact, cohesive minority population lives in south-central to southeastern North Carolina, as the Justice Department’s objection letter suggested, District 12 that spans the Piedmont Crescent would not address that § 2 violation. The black voters of the south-central to southeastern region would still be suffering precisely the same injury that they suffered before District 12 was drawn. District 12 would not address the professed interest of relieving the vote dilution, much less be narrowly tailored to accomplish the goal.
Arguing, as appellees do and the District Court did, that the State may draw the district anywhere derives from a misconception of the vote-dilution claim. To accept that the district may be placed anywhere implies that the claim, and hence the coordinate right to an undiluted vote (to cast a ballot equal among voters), belongs to the minority as a group and not to its individual members. It does not.
Although I recognize that “States retain broad discretion in drawing districts to comply with the mandate of § 2,” Shaw II, 517 U.S. at 917 n. 9, 116 S.Ct. 1894 (citing Voinovich v. Quilter, 507 U.S. 146, 156-57, 113 S.Ct. 1149, 122 L.Ed.2d 500 (1993); and Growe v. Emison, 507 U.S. 25, 32-37, 113 S.Ct. 1075, 122 L.Ed.2d 388 (1993)), I do not read the Court’s cases to mean that the “effects” test of § 2, if satisfied, may be defended against by pointing to a political agenda in the affected portion of the jurisdiction and compensation, over the long haul, to other members of the injured group residing elsewhere in the jurisdiction. De Grandy rejected the state’s proposed safe harbor rule precisely because it encouraged what happened in this case. The court said: “... we reject the safe harbor rule because of a tendency the State would itself certainly condemn, a tendency to promote and perpetuate efforts to devise majority minority districts even in circumstances where they may not be necessary to achieve equal political and electoral opportunity.” De Grandy, 512 U.S. at 1019-20, 114 S.Ct. 2647 (emphasis added). New District 25 falls squarely within the scope of this statement.
In this case, the State’s redistricting effort mirrors precisely what De Grandy cautioned against. The fundamental flaw
In its effort to validate Plan 1374C,' the majority first tells us that District 25 was created “[t]o avoid retrogression under Section 5.” Quite correctly, the majority recognizes that the changes to District . 23 resulted in the dilution of the Latino vote therein. But then, when confronted with the language of Shaw and De Grandy which prohibits exactly this sort of tradeoff, the . majority explains that the state enjoys the flexibility under De Grandy to draw Gingles districts in a different way, so long as it creates a total of six (but only six) districts in which Latinos may elect a candidate of choice. But Gingles addresses liability under § 2. No one suggests the State needed to create new District 25 to guard against a potential vote dilution challenge by a resourceful if not aspiring coalition of Latinos living in Travis County and those living in the colonias over 300 miles away near the Texas-Mexico border. At yet • another place in its opinion, the majority implicitly repudiates this very species of § 2 liability when it holds to be non-compact the GI Forum’s demonstration districts — even though all have better compactness scores than new District 15 in Plan 1374C.
The majority blurs the distinction between the State’s flexibility to comply with its procedural obligations under § 5 and its flexibility to comply with its remedial obligations under § 2. The majority misses this distinction because it fails to appreciate the fact that the Latino opportunity districts in Plan 1374C take in different populations and geography than before.
This turns Ashcroft on its head. District 23 is designed so that the Hispanic population therein will not influence the outcome of the elections and mil not tend to make the elected representative more responsive to the community’s needs. The only thing the Hispanic community in District 23 will influence is the total population of the district to meet “one person, one vote” requirements. The state action was designed to increase Henry Bonilla’s chance of electoral success at the expense of District 23’s dissatisfied Hispanic voters. To suggest that those minority voters cannot prevail on a dilution claim under § 2 elevates the State’s political agenda over the individual rights of Latino voters in former District 23. For these reasons, I would reject the State’s efforts to trade the rights of Latinos in old District 23 for those in new District 25.
E.
As stated, it is my opinion that the State violated § 2 when it dismantled old District 23 and replaced it with new District 25. If the majority is correct that the State could draw new District 25 to comply with its Gingles obligations, then the majority is confronted at once with the GI Forum plaintiffs’ dilution claim. These plaintiffs claim that Plan 1374C dilutes the statewide strength of Hispanic voters because it fails to create a seventh Latino majority district. The majority, however, rejects the GI Forum plaintiffs’ claims for several reasons. First, the majority opines that the proposed districts will not be effective. Second, the majority holds that the districts are not compact. Third, the majority determines that De Grandy proportionality tends to show that Plan 1374C will not have the effect of unlawfully diluting the Latino vote. Finally, the majority suggests that Balderas rejected the identical claim. None of these reasons is persuasive.
1.
In this case, if the State is permitted or required to draw Gingles remedial districts into the new areas of the state and in the manner in which it did, the GI Forum plaintiffs assert that the Gingles preconditions suggest that seven majority Latino districts should be created. I agree. The evidence is undisputed that, under Plan 1385C, sponsored by the GI Forum plaintiffs, Latino voters constitute the majority of citizen voting age population in seven congressional districts in South and Central Texas. See Valdespino v. Alamo Heights Independent School Dist., 168 F.3d 848 (5th Cir. 1999)(interpreting Gingles to require consideration of citizen voting age population or “CVAP”); Campos v. City of Houston, 113 F.3d 544, 548 (5th Cir. 1997)(same). These districts are District 15 (63.3% CVAP), District 16 (68.0% CVAP), District 20 (58.0% CVAP), District 23 (57.2% CVAP), District 25 (58.4% CVAP), District 27 (59.9% CVAP), and District 28 (50.3% CVAP).
The majority resists the GI Forum plaintiffs’ demonstration plan because it believes the plan does not provide seven “effective” Latino districts. I disagree. The majority places great emphasis on the fact that the Hispanic CVAP of District 28 in Plan 1385C is only 50.3%. Be that as it may, under the evidence submitted by the GI Forum plaintiffs, the district elected the Latino candidate in 8 out of 8 elections since 1994, and the vote for the Latino candidate in the most recent elections, 2002, exceeded 55% of the total vote in each of the four elections. See, e.g. GI Forum plaintiffs’ Exh. 131; (Tr. 12/16/03 a.m. at 29-30). On balance, District 28 is almost identical in performance to District
The majority also relies on the testimony of experts called by other parties, including Dr. Jerry Polinard, an expert witness called by the Valdez-Cox plaintiffs. The majority reads Dr. Polinard’s testimony to suggest that in all cases a higher Hispanic CVAP number is necessary to find an effective Hispanic opportunity district. The majority is wrong. In the first place, as set forth above, Dr. Engstrom’s analysis of the election results tell a different story. Moreover, Dr. Polinard was in fact testifying about the effects of the districts as drawn in Plan 1374C, not Plan 1385C. What Dr. Polinard said with respect to numbers is:
I have no magic number. That’s going to vary-vary by District. I will state the obvious, that if the Spanish surname voter registration percentage goes up, the opportunity goes up.
I think you become comfortable with opportunity districts once you break into those 60 percent ranges.
(Tr. 12/16/03 p.m. at 50-51).
The majority also cites the testimony of the State’s expert with respect to new District 15 to reject as effective District 28 in the demonstration plan. In terms of actual election results, however, new District 15 appears to perform worse than the GI Forum plaintiffs’ proposed District 28, despite the fact that new District 15 has a higher Hispanic CVAP than proposed District 28.
The truth of the matter is that the effectiveness of a minority opportunity district will vary by the district. A expert might find, for example, a need for a greater Hispanic CVAP in. a district ranging from Travis County to the border and covering three or four media markets than would be needed in a district that is somewhat more compact. Under the evidence, all of the districts in Plan 1385C have the numbers to make them effective Latino opportunity districts.
This might be a closer call if the demographic evidence were otherwise. A showing that Latino population growth and voter registration was on the decline might counsel a court to conclude that gains over the short run might be offset by anticipated losses in the end. That is not our record. The evidence establishes that the Latino voter registration as well as overall population growth is rising. Over the course of the decade, the only conclusion to be drawn from this evidence is that Latino voting strength in these districts will become stronger, not weaker. The GI Forum plaintiffs have established that their proposed districts would be effective.
2.
The majority also rejects the GI Forum plaintiffs’ contention that their districts are “compact.” But under the objective compactness scores, several of the GI Forum plaintiffs’ demonstration districts are, on balance, more compact than those in Plan 1374C. Although a few are worse, none of the districts scores worse than District 15
The majority disregards these scores, saying the comparison “understates the unusual shapes of the proposed demonstration districts.” But it is the majority who overstates the significance of the “unusual” shapes of the districts. Focusing in on the “look” of the map as opposed to the objective scores and population centers, the majority says that District 25 virtually “bisects” District 23 in the demonstration plan. Viewed in the context of a redistricting plan, however, the two districts make perfect sense. District 23 strives to include the border communities of interest along the Rio Grande and, at the same time, retains over 99% of the City of Laredo-a major border population center-in District 23. The portions of District 25 which allegedly “bisect” District 23 are actually the boundaries of Dimmitt County, the total population of which is 10,248. The population of Laredo, 99% retained in District 23, is 176,576. The GI Forum plaintiffs’ demonstration plan is, on balance, more compact than the pertinent portions of Plan 1374C.
3.
The majority’s principal answer to the GI Forum plaintiffs is that Plan 1374C provides Latinos the opportunity to elect congressional candidates in substantial proportion to their share of the relevant population as a whole under Johnson v. De Grandy. I disagree.
a.
In De Grandy, the Court noted:
If the three Gingles factors may not be isolated as sufficient, standing alone, to prove dilution in every multimember dis-tricting challenge, a fortiori they must not be when the challenge goes to a series of single-member districts, where dilution may be more difficult to grasp. Plaintiffs challenging single-member districts may claim, not total submergence, but partial submergence; not the chance for some electoral success in place of none, but the chance for more success in place of some. When the question thus comes down to the reasonableness of drawing a series of district lines in one combination of places rather than another, judgments about inequality may become closer calls.
512 U.S. at 1012-13, 114 S.Ct. 2647.
Under De Grandy, proportionality is one factor to be considered in assessing the totality of circumstances to determine whether unlawful vote dilution has occurred under § 2. Id. at 1022, 114 S.Ct. 2647. “Proportionality” in this sense involves a comparison between (1) the percentage share of legislative districts in which the population of the protected class has a majority and (2) the protected class’s percentage of the relevant population. Proportionality is one factor to be considered, and it does not create a safe harbor precluding § 2 liability when present, nor does it impose per se § 2 liability when absent.
b.
Proportionality does not compel the rejection of the GI Forum plaintiffs’ claims in this case. Because of the procedural posture in De Grandy, the Court reserved the question whether proportionality should be measured on a statewide basis or by focusing on a smaller area of the jurisdiction at issue. De Grandy, 512 U.S.
Under the facts of the present case, De Grandy proportionality should be measured by comparing the number of effective Latino congressional districts to the Latino percentage of the relevant statewide population. It is true that the GI Forum plaintiffs propose their Latino districts in the South and West Texas areas; however, it is equally the case that the GI Forum plaintiffs attack the operation of Plan 1374C because of its impact and its overall effect on the Latino voters in the state as a whole. They did not limit their challenge to the effect of Plan 1374C to the areas in South and Central Texas. An integral part of the claim is Plan 1374C’s failure to maintain districts in other parts of the state in which minority communities might play an influential if not outcome determinative role in the general elections to increase the likelihood that the elected candidate will respond favorably to the minority communities’ needs.
The State apparently agreed with this approach until the evidence was in and it became apparent there was a problem under § 2 with 1374C. The State’s pretrial submissions addressed proportionality on a statewide basis. In particular, the State’s trial brief addressed De Grandy proportionality and represented, misleadingly, that proportionality was met under Plan 1374C, because Hispanics “would have a majority of the population in 25% of the districts.” Revised State Defendants’ Trial Brief, filed December 3, 2003, at 39 (emphasis added).
There is no risk that assessing proportionality on a statewide basis will lead to an over-representation of Latinos in Congress. For instance, there is no evidence tending to prove that Latinos elsewhere in the state (e.g., the panhandle, Dallas/Fort
c.
So measured, Latinos constitute 32% of the total population and 29% of the voting age population in the State of Texas. De Grandy proportionality thus suggests that Latinos should comprise an effective voting majority, depending on whether one uses voting age or total population figures, in possibly nine or ten such districts. Under either measure, Plan 1374C fails to provide proportional representation to Latinos. Latinos enjoy the ability to elect representatives of their choice in only six districts: Districts 15, 16, 20, 25, 27 and 28. As a result, Plan 1374C fails to provide proportional representation.
The majority concludes that proportionality should be assessed on the basis of the minority group’s percentage of the citizen voting age population. The majority overlooks that this question arises in the context of the apportionment of seats to the United States Congress. The seats are apportioned according to total population. From 1990-2000, the Latino growth in Texas accounted for more than 60% of the state’s total population. The state thus enjoys the benefit of the total Latino population through an increase in its Anglo congressional delegation, but at the same time seeks to restrict the Latino’s opportunity to elect to the fewest number of districts. Latinos are thus counted one way for apportionment purposes, but another when it comes to equal opportunity to participate in the political process. Stated another way, the state seeks the maximum use of the Latino population to gain power but seeks to minimize the sharing of power with the Latinos by using a more restrictive measure.
d.
Even assuming the correctness of the majority’s approach, however, 6 districts out of 7 remains at the low end of rough proportionality. For reasons that are apparent from this record, the majority errs when it rejects the § 2 claims by relying on rough proportionality. I would ascribe far less weight to the proportionality issue given the circumstances under which the present case comes to us. We must remember that the State is having to defend this claim because it made the conscious choice to dismantle a minority opportunity district to thwart the growing Latino dissatisfaction with an incumbent Congressman. Just when it became apparent that District 23 was becoming more effective for the class it was intended to protect, the State intentionally altered it. The State thus placed itself in this position and the related position of having to create a new Latino opportunity district to meet a retrogression concern. Although the majority concludes this action is permitted by De
The weight ascribed to proportionality by the majority allows the State to mask its efforts to thwart the policies underlying the Voting Rights Act. To illustrate, suppose that new District 15 in Plan 1374C fails to perform and does not elect a candidate of choice for Latinos. Suppose further that over the course of the next few years, the Latino community mobilizes and puts pressure on the incumbent. To use De Grandy to permit the State at that stage to dismantle District 15 and create a new district somewhere else has a tendency to perpetuate the legacy of discrimination, not to thwart it. Our record, and the State’s action directed toward old District 23, is no different.
4.
Finally, the majority suggests that the Balderas court rejected this identical claim. The Balderas court did not. It is ironic that the State finds comfort in a remedial order that the Legislature rejected as controlling. Although I agree that the State has the authority to enact a redistricting plan, that new plan must stand or fall on its own merit, and not on any language of the Balderas remedial order-an order which must be read in context of Plan 1151C as a whole and which did not purport to address the merits of Plan 1374C. Balderas drew a remedial plan without the benefit of either the controlling citizen voting age population data or the most recent election returns. Those data are now available. Under those figures, seven districts may be drawn in which Latino voters will have the opportunity to elect their candidates of choice to Congress.
Balderas was primarily motivated by the desire to meet the Supreme Court’s holding that a federal court should draw a remedial plan bearing in mind the requirements of the Voting Rights Act. The remedial order was thus forced to straddle the requirements of § 2 and § 5. At that time, prior to Ashcroft, a compelling argument could be made that a reduction in the overall Latino voting strength in any of the particular districts would have worked a retrogression prohibited by § 5. One of the forces driving the Balderas court’s rejection of a seventh Latino district in the Central and South Texas regions was that very concern. But the Attorney General has concluded, at least as to Plan 1374C, that an increase to the relevant geographic and population locations to accommodate six Latino districts, coupled with a corresponding reduction in the strength of District 15, will not lead to a retrogression of the minority group’s effective exercise of the electoral franchise. It is incumbent upon us, therefore, to assess whether, by embracing that increased geographic area and drawing new districts, the State has drawn its districts in a way that will dilute the strength of the Latino vote therein.
The state is trying to have its cake and eat it too. The Balderas court found no vote dilution based on the totality of the circumstances then before it. The Balder-as court expressly noted that its remedial plan increased the Latino voting strength in District 24 and created a minority opportunity district in District 25 and, in doing so, hardly left “a bleak terrain” for minority voting opportunities. Similarly, under Plan 1151C, Latino voters enjoyed substantial influence over the outcome of the elections in, at a minimum, Districts 10, 11 and 17 which influence, in turn, increased the likelihood that the elected candidates from those districts would be responsive to the needs of the minority
III.
My opinion that the State violated § 2 when it dismantled old District 23 and replaced it with new District 25 renders it unnecessary to assess whether the “bacon strip” districts violate the principles set forth in Shaw v. Reno and its progeny.
IV.
This is not an easy case. My colleagues’ concerns with interfering with legislative and political prerogatives are not without force, and I agree that politics motivated many of the decisions involved in the case. As difficult as the case is, however, I am unable to agree with the majority that § 2 was not violated when the state enacted Plan 1374C. I therefore dissent from that portion of the court’s opinion.
V.
As I stated at the outset, I reluctantly concur with the court’s judgment insofar as it addresses the claims related to the dismantling of District 24. It is not so much my agreement with the majority’s assessment of the facts that causes me to do so, but rather it is instead the lack of clear guidance from the Supreme Court or the circuits regarding the extent to which Ashcroft’s recognition of the value of coalitional and influence districts carries over into the § 2 context. At the present time, controlling law compels the conclusion reached by the majority.
The question whether § 2 creates influence dilution liability is a close one-made so by language in Ashcroft recognizing the importance and the value of such districts. My philosophical trouble with the controlling law’s sacrosanct view of the 50% rule
Participation in the political process is hard work. It is harder for minority groups who have suffered the legacy of a history of official discrimination. We heard compelling testimony from Deralyn Davis, the Chairman Emeritus of the Texas Coalition of Black Democrats, about just how hard it is for minority voters in the state of Texas. She described the grassroots efforts of her and others to build coalitions, mobilize, and increase the African American influence in the state’s political machine. The efforts did not focus on one location in the state, but extended statewide. The testimony of others was consistent.
Under Plan 1000C, in use until the 2000 census, the black citizen voting age population of District 24 was 20.1%. Under Plan 1151C, the court drawn plan, District 24 has a black voting age population of 21.4%. The electorate in the Democratic primary over the last four election cycles has been roughly 64% African American. Both Dr. Lichtman and the State’s expert, Dr. Gad-die, agreed that current District 24 performs for African Americans because those voters control the primary election. The key to the performance of District 24 is the makeup of the balance of the district. It is a political reality that blacks and Latinos in Texas vote largely Democratic in the general elections. They do so because, at least in Texas, the Democratic candidates are generally more responsive to the concerns of these minority communities. Under Texas’s election scheme, in a Democratic leaning district, the key to a minority group’s ability to elect a candidate of its choice on an ongoing basis is found in the group’s practical ability to “pull, haul, and trade to find common political ground” in the Democratic primary. The ability to nominate in such districts is tantamount to the ability to elect.
The Supreme Court recently reminded us that “the power to influence the political process is not limited to winning elections.” Ashcroft, — U.S. at —, 123 S.Ct. at 2512. Ashcroft noted that “various studies have suggested that the most effective way to maximize minority voting strength may be to create more influence or coalition districts.” Id. at —, 123 S.Ct. at 2512-13 (citing David Lublin, Racial Redistricting and African-American Representation; A Critique of “Do Majority-Minority Districts Maximize Substantive Black Representation in Congress?,” 93 Am. Pol. Sci. Rev. 183, 185 (1999); Charles Cameron, David Epstein & Sharyn O’Halloran, Do Majority-Minority Districts Maximize Substantive Black Representation in Congress?, 90 Am. Pol. Sci. Rev. 794, 808 (1996); C. Swain, Black Faces, Black Interests 193-234 (1995); and Bernard Grofman, Lisa Handley, & David Lublin, Drawing Effective Minority Districts; A Conceptual Framework and Some Empirical Evidence, 79 N.C.L.Rev. 1383 (2001)). If the most effective way to maximize minority voting strength is to create more influence or coalition districts, then the most effective way to minimize
Ashcroft leaves the state with flexibility to choose the method of creating fewer black majority-minority districts in favor of a greater number of influence or coalition districts. Alternatively, a state enjoys the flexibility to strengthen its existing majority-minority districts to ensure those districts will continue to elect candidates of choice of the minority community. In the Dallas/Fort Worth area, Texas chose neither route. Texas identified District 24, in which the minority community played a decisive role in the nomination and election processes and, because that group was not a literal majority and elected an Anglo Democrat, rearranged a cohesive community of those voters not into new District 12 (where they might have an impact on the general election), but into new District 26. This arrangement has the practical effect of eliminating the minority voters’ political influence. But it has a much larger effect: by treating the minority group in this manner, the state action, I fear, will have the effect of destroying the minority group’s hope. It is not accidental that, unlike the plan in Ashcroft, the present plan had overwhelming opposition from the minority legislators. The law’s insistence on a 50% majority shields this move, but at the same time it ignores the political and social reality that there is more to participation in the electoral process than winning elections.
It is no answer that the disparate destruction of such coalitions might be tough to identify and even harder to remedy. Our charge is not to decide just the easy cases: it is to apply and, when necessary, enforce the protections of the Voting Rights Act. The question, difficult as it may be to answer, should be whether the treatment of such minority coalitions disproportionately affects those voters’ ability to participate in the political process. The remedy need not require the protection inviolate of an old district, but it might require the creation of a more competitive one.
The treatment of the minority coalitions in old District 24 was inconsistent with the purposes of the Voting Rights Act. The evidence demonstrates that District 24 under Plan 1151C and Plan 1000C functioned as a district that fostered our progression to a society that is no longer fixated on race. Under this record, the black voters in old District 24 repeatedly nominated and helped to elect an Anglo congressman with an impeccable record of responsiveness to the minority community. To this end, I view the fact that Congressman Frost has not had a primary opponent to reflect favorably on his record. I would credit the testimony of Mayor Ron Kirk and Senator Royce West. Their testimony concerning how District 24 functions for the African American community is persuasive. Although the State, for § 5 purposes, created a new black opportunity district in the Houston area, this is of little consolation to the minority voters in old District 24, particularly the African American community in Tarrant County. The political influence of that minority community has been diluted, understanding, as
. To be sure, under any configuration, the geography spanned by the districts in South and West Texas is vast. But some of the districts include large areas to capture population; new District 25 is noncompact because of its need, under § 5, to capture Hispanic population.
. Old Person v. Brown did not reach the question because proportionality was lacking under either a statewide or a more narrow geographic scope. 312 F.3d 1036, 1044-46 (9th Cir. 2002) ("Our holding that proportionality analysis could not here be limited to the districts of the plaintiffs’ residence does not require us to choose between the state or the four counties as frame of reference. In either case, there is a lack of proportionality”). And, the court in Rural West Tennessee African-American Affairs Council v. Sundquist, adopted plaintiffs' proposed geographic scope when vote dilution claim focused on particular area of state. 209 F.3d 835, 844 (6th Cir. 2000). African American Voting Rights Legal Defense Fund v. Villa measured proportionality of a citywide apportionment plan using the entire city, noting "[w]e also believe that the district court’s focus upon the entire city of St. Louis rather than upon the five central corridor wards was consistent with Johnson.... We agree that Johnson stands for the proposition that the proper geographic scope for the comparison is the scope that is pleaded in the complaint and subjected to proof.” 54 F.3d 1345 (8th Cir. 1995). Finally, in Campuzano v. Illinois State Board of Elections, the court stated “[f]or a plan to provide minority voters equal participation in the political process, it must generally provide a number of 'effective’ majority-minority districts that are substantially proportionate to the minority's share of the state’s population.” 200 F.Supp.2d 905, 909 (N.D.Ill. 2002).
. This statement is misleading precisely because De Grandy proportionality examines the ratio of CVAP majority districts to the share of the relevant population.
. I agree that District 29 in Houston is not subject to such a challenge.
. Recent decisions interpreting Ashcroft have held that, influence dilution claims are cognizable. The first, Metts v. Murphy, supra, is cited by the majority. The second is McNeil v. Legislative Apportionment Commission, 177 N.J. 364, 828 A.2d 840, 853 (2003)(holding a provision of New Jersey’s state constitution preempted under Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act and noting “we believe that Georgia v. Ashcroft supports our conclusion that [influence dilution] claims are permitted”).
Opinion of the Court
Various voters, members of Congress, the City of Austin, Texas, the GI Forum, the League of United Latin American Citizens (“LULAC”), and voters of Cherokee County challenge congressional redistricting set forth in Plan 1374C, enacted into law by the Texas Legislature on October 12, 2003,
We hold that Plaintiffs have failed to prove that the State statute prescribing the lines for the thirty-two congressional seats in Texas violates the United States Constitution or fails to comply with § 2 of the Voting Rights Act. We also reject Plaintiffs’ argument that the Texas Legislature lacked authority to draw new districts after a federal court drew them following the 2000 census.
We decide only the legality of Plan 1374C, not its wisdom. Whether the Texas Legislature has acted in the best interest of Texas is a judgment that belongs to the people who elected the officials whose act is challenged in this case. Nor does the reality that this is a reprise of the act of the 1991 State Legislature weigh with the court’s decision beyond its marker of the impact of the computer-drawn map. This extraordinary change in the ability to slice thin the lines brings welcome assistance, but comes with a high cost of creating much greater potential for abuse. Congress can assist by banning mid-decade redistricting, which it has the clear constitutional authority to do, as many states have done. In Texas, the phenomenon is new but already old. The larger lesson of 1991 and 2003 is that the only check upon these grasps of power lie with the voter. But, perversely, these seizures entail political moves that too often dance close to avoiding the recall of the disagreeing voter. We know it is rough and tumble politics, and we are ever mindful that the judiciary must call the fouls without participating in the game. We must nonetheless express concern that in the age of technology this is a very different game.
Part I presents the factual background of the case. Part II addresses whether Texas had the legislative authority to draw new district lines mid-decade. Part III addresses generic claims that challenge the map as a whole, namely, claims of racial discrimination and partisan gerrymandering asserted to be unconstitutionally extreme. Part IV lays out the legal principles governing our analysis of Plaintiffs’ more specific claims. Part V addresses the § 2 vote dilution claims as directed toward the Dallas-Fort Worth area, as well as the other potential influence districts in East and Central Texas. Finally, Part VI addresses the § 2 vote dilution and Shaw claims directed at districts drawn in South and West Texas.
I
The U.S. Census Bureau released the 2000 decennial census in March 2001. As a result of its population growth, Texas was due two additional seats in the House of Representatives, bringing its total to thirty-two. Texas in turn had to draw thirty-two equipopulous districts to account for its additional representation and to meet the constitutional requirement of one man, one vote. Under Texas law, the
Despite the imminency of state primary elections, the 77th State Legislature failed to adopt a redistricting plan. Lawsuits in state and federal court followed. Voters and others requested that the court draw a new map. The Balderas court deferred to state court efforts to adopt a state redistricting plan. When these state court efforts failed, we recognized that the State’s existing congressional districts were unconstitutionally malapportioned and reluctantly accepted the duty to prepare a new, constitutional plan.
Without a baseline state plan in place, the court invited the parties to submit redistricting recommendations. Following a bench trial, the panel applied neutral districting factors and adopted Plan 1151C to govern the State’s 2002 elections. The panel refused suggestions not required by law and rejected policy choices better left to legislative consideration.
Balderas ultimately ordered that Plan 1151C would govern the 2002 congressional elections.
The Texas Legislature revisited redistricting in 2003. The Legislature was unable to adopt a new plan during the 2003 regular session, in part because Democratic House members, by absenting themselves, denied a quorum. Governor Perry called the Legislature into special session. During the first special session, the House approved a new congressional map, but the Senate failed to do so because its “two-thirds” supermajority rule permitted the Democrats to block a vote. To break the impasse, Lieutenant Governor Dewhurst announced that he would suspend operation of the two-thirds rule in any future special session considering congressional redistricting legislation. Although Democratic legislators again attempted to prevent formation of a quorum, the 78th Legislature ultimately was able to accomplish during its third special session what the 77th Legislature could not: pass a congressional redistricting plan, Plan 1374C.
II
Plaintiffs argue that Texas lacks the power, under either the Constitution or the election statutes, to redraw congressional districts in the middle of the decade. Some Plaintiffs find this limitation implicit in the text of the Elections Clause, while others urge that Congress has affirmatively limited state authority to redistrict by § 2c of Title II.
Although there are compelling arguments why it would be good policy for states to abstain from drawing district lines mid-decade, Plaintiffs ultimately fail to provide any authority — constitutional, statutory, or judicial — demonstrating that mid-decade redistricting is forbidden in Texas. • In fact, what meager authority we have found seems to allow the states to redraw lines mid-decade, at least where a court drew the existing lines within the
Against this backdrop of authority, we cannot agree that either the Constitution or the voting statutes restricts the states to once-a-decade redistricting. We therefore reject the argument that the Texas Legislature had no authority to draw the lines of congressional districts and deny Plaintiffs’ Motion for Summary Judgment.
A
The Constitution of the United States delegates to states the power to develop procedures governing congressional elections by the Elections Clause. It provides:
The times, places and manner of holding elections for Senators and Representatives, shall be prescribed in each state by the legislature thereof; but the Congress may at any time by law make or alter such regulations, except as to the places of choosing Senators.8
This provision delegates to state legislatures both the power and responsibility to redraw congressional voting districts.
Plaintiffs would read an implicit, temporal limitation into the text of the Elections Clause, but the argument is empty. The argument is that the Elections Clause allows Congress to pass laws regulating elections “at any time,” but does not explicitly allow states to act at any time. Plaintiffs reason that, by failing to include the phrase “at any time” within the grant of power to states, the Elections Clause implicitly denies that power. Hence, they conclude, the Elections Clause allows states to draw districts only once, immediately after the release of each decennial census.
We are unpersuaded. The argument tortures the text of the Clause, which by its clear terms has no such limitation. That Congress may exercise its power at any time says nothing of the states’ power to enact election regulations, especially when the states are given this authority in terms that suggest no restriction beyond those that Congress may impose. To paraphrase the argument, if the Framers had intended to limit the states’ power in such a specific way, surely they would have done so explicitly. This is just too convenient and tailored. For the first fifty years of our Nation’s history, it was not
Even if the Elections Clause did not give states the power to prescribe election regulations at “any” time, Plaintiffs do not explain why we should read the Clause to allow states to exercise election power only one time after the census or how any such interpretation could find mooring in the text of the Constitution. What Plaintiffs ask us to do, then, is not simply to add a single limitation to the Elections Clause’s grant of power; they ask that we create, out of whole cloth, a detailed scheme for states to exercise their constitutional authority. This we cannot do.
Judicial decisions have implicitly rejected the notion that a state may impose only one redistricting map each decade. While no court has, to our knowledge, explicitly addressed whether states have the power to do so under the Constitution,
Legislative bodies should not leave their reapportionment tasks to the federal courts; but when those with legislative responsibilities do not respond, or the imminence of a state election makes it impractical for them to do so, it becomes the “unwelcome obligation” of the federal court to devise and impose a reapportionment plan pending later legislative action.18
The Court’s language contemplates that any federal court plan must give way to later legislative redistricting efforts. And, of course, the displaced plan here was judicially crafted. No legislative plan is being displaced.
Given this authority and the broad language of the Elections Clause, we conclude that the Elections Clause itself — the provision in the Constitution that grants states the authority to redistrict — does not limit states to redistricting once per decade, particularly where, as here, the State’s action follows a court-imposed map. If any such limitation is to be found, then it must be found elsewhere.
B
Some Plaintiffs would locate limitations in other clauses in the Constitution, most notably the Census Clause.
Representatives ... shall be apportioned among the several States ... according to their respective numbers. The actual Enumeration shall be made within three years after the first meeting of the Congress of the United States, and within every subsequent term' often years, in such manner as they shall by law direct.20
We disagree. The Census Clause by its terms applies to the apportionment of seats in the House of Representatives among the states. It ensures that no state is over-represented in the House by linking each state’s delegation to the state’s population. The Clause says nothing about how district lines must be drawn. It is true, of course, that the Census Clause affects the states’ obligation to redistrict. When the census is released every ten years, states are required to redistrict in order to accommodate changes in population and to bring its districts into conformity with the Equal Protection rule of one man, one vote. But the Census Clause does not expressly limit the states’ ability to redistrict more frequently. Indeed, the Census Clause does not mention the states or their power to redistrict,
Plaintiffs concede that the constitutional text itself is silent regarding repeated reapportionment. They nonetheless insist that the Supreme Court’s decision in U.S. Term Limits, Inc. v. Thornton
U.S. Term Limits was not based on the Elections or Census Clauses, but on the Qualifications Clause of Article I.
We disagree. As a preliminary matter, Texas has “added” nothing to the text of the Constitution by redrawing its district lines mid-decade. The Elections Clause is a broad grant of authority to the states that is checked only by the power of Congress to make or alter voting regulations. Nowhere in the text of the Elections Clause or in judicial interpretations is there a limitation of the frequency with which states may exercise their power.
Fairly viewed, it is Plaintiffs who seek to “add” to the Constitution. They ask us to add an implicit limitation to the Elections Clause that states may prescribe the “times, places and manner” of holding elections only after each decennial census. There is no basis for this addition, either in the text of the Constitution or in court decisions interpreting it. In sum, neither the Census Clause nor the Qualifications Clause limits state power to redraw district lines intradecennially.
C
The Elections Clause grants Congress the power to pass voting regulations or to alter voting regulations enacted by the states. Several Plaintiffs argue that Congress has exercised its power to limit the authority of the states to redistrict.
The most relevant statutory provisions are in Title 2. Section 2a specifies that the President must inform Congress after each decennial census of the population of each state and the corresponding number of representatives each state is entitled to send to the House of Representatives.
Congress has given courts a significant role in redrawing district lines. Should a state legislature not redistrict after the decennial census, for example, a court is empowered to remedy any defects
Plaintiffs assert that § 2c constrains the power of states to redraw district lines at will. Their argument comprises three basic steps. First, in § 2c Congress revoked the power granted to state legislatures by the Elections Clause and delegated a far more limited power. Second, they urge that § 2c allows redistricting once after the decennial census. As a result, they urge that when Balderas imposed Plan 1151C, the judgment effectively “used up” the redistrieting power delegated to the states through § 2c. Under this view, Plan 1374C is invalid because Texas had no power to enact it once Balderas installed Plan 1151C.
We are not persuaded. First, we cannot agree that by passing § 2c, Congress revoked the authority granted states by the Elections Clause. To be sure, § 2c constrains the redistricting decisions that states can make, but it cannot fairly be said to revoke the states’ power. Plaintiffs advance a specie of preemption argument: that by passing legislation that relates in some way to congressional districting, Congress has effectively usurped the entire redistricting field.
This interpretation of § 2c ignores the text of § 2c and misreads the Elections Clause. Section 2c has no language suggesting that Congress is “revoking” the authority granted by the Elections Clause, or even that Congress is “redelegating” a more limited authority. If Congress wishes to revoke the states’ redistricting authority, it must do so clearly.
Second, even if § 2c did somehow revoke and redelegate redistricting authority, we disagree that § 2c would allow redistricting only on the decennium. Plaintiffs base their argument on the text of § 2c, which provides in pertinent part:
In each State entitled ... to more than one Representative under an apportionment made pursuant to the provisions of section 2a(a) of this title [the decennial census], there shall be established by law a number of districts equal to the number of Representatives to which such State is so entitled, and Representatives shall be elected only from districts so established, no district to elect more than one Representative ....36
Plaintiffs argue that this provision directly links the “time” at which the state must redistrict to the “mode” in which it must exercise its redistricting power. That is, the clause requiring states to establish districts immediately follows the reference to the decennial census.
While it is true that states are under an obligation to redistrict after each census, we find nothing in § 2c that limits the frequency with which they may do so. It would have been remarkably easy for Congress to impose such a limitation in the text of § 2c, but it did not. It merely required states with more than one representative to divide their territory into a like number of districts.
The final step in Plaintiffs’ § 2c argument is similarly flawed. Plaintiffs conclude that Balderas, by establishing a constitutional redistricting plan, “used up” the state’s constitutional authority to redistrict. Plaintiffs frame their argument by again focusing on the meaning of § 2c— which, they assert, reveals that court redistricting is constitutionally “equivalent” for purposes of Article I, Section 4 to state legislative redistricting.
D
Plaintiffs also assert that Texas “tradition” prevents the State Legislature from redrawing district lines in the middle of the decade. They argue that, under Supreme Court precedent, the State Legislature was bound to follow its traditional redistricting principles in creating a new map. Since Texas does not have either a history or tradition of mid-decade redistricting, Plan 1374C is said to be invalid.
Plaintiffs’ argument misreads Supreme Court precedent. Although the Supreme Court has required courts to use a state’s “districting traditions” when drafting voting maps, the Court has never held that a state legislature is bound to follow its prior districting practices indefinitely. Indeed, “tradition” normally fills a very different role in redistricting suits.
In any event, it would be illogical to require a state legislature to adhere strictly to the state’s districting principles whenever it undertook to redraw the state’s map. Any such rule would, in effect, freeze the state’s districting traditions in place.
Plaintiffs’ final argument focuses on the effect of the Balderas judgment. They argue that Balderas was a final judgment that is binding on the State because it was a party to the proceeding. They argue that the State in enacting Plan 1374C is attempting to avoid the judgment in that case, and that the State is collaterally estopped from contesting the use of Plan 1151C.
The prerequisites for collateral es-toppel are not met here. Issue preclusion has four basic requirements: (1) the issue must be identical to an issue involved in prior litigation; (2) the issue must have been fully and vigorously litigated; (3) the issue must have been necessarily decided in the prior litigation; and (4) special circumstances must not render preclusion inappropriate or unfair.
F
Perhaps the most compelling arguments offered by Plaintiffs against mid-decade redistricting focus on the impropriety — rather than the illegality — of frequent redistricting. A significant portion of Plaintiffs’ arguments raise policy concerns. For example, Plaintiffs argue that frequent redrawing of district lines will undermine democratic accountability and exact a heavy cost on state independence as federal congressional leaders exert their influence to shape state districting behavior.
As persuasive as these arguments may be, they are directed to the wrong forum. If Congress chooses to ban intradecennial redistricting, it has the power to do so under the Elections Clause. We have found no provision in either the U.S. Constitution, federal law, or state law that proscribes mid-decade redistricting, and our mandate ends there.
G
We deny Plaintiffs’ Motions to Dismiss and Motions for Summary Judgment on
III
Turning to the merits, we will first consider Plaintiffs’ claims in their two most sweeping forms. First, Plaintiffs argue that the proposed plan must be set aside in its entirety because it is laced with impermissible racial discrimination against Blacks and Latinos in violation of the Equal Protection Clause of the United States Constitution. Second, they allege that Plan 1374C is an impermissible partisan gerrymander. After addressing these allegations, we will then discuss a kindred but “analytically distinct claim” of racial discrimination under the Equal Protection Clause that in the drawing of various districts the Legislature was predominately motivated by race. We will reject the broad-based claims at the outset and return to these Shaw claims in our consideration of the more focused claims under § 2 leveled against specific districts. That process will amplify the findings that underpin our conclusion that Plaintiffs have failed to prove purposeful racial discrimination.
A
Since Washington v. Davis,
The next term, in Arlington Heights v. Metropolitan Housing Corp.,
Two years later in Personnel Administrator of Mass. v. Feeney,
It would [be] disingenuous to say that the adverse consequences of this legislation for women were unintended, in the sense that they were not volitional or in the sense that they were not foreseeable.
“Discriminatory purpose,” however, implies more than intent as volition or intent as awareness of consequences. It implies that the decision maker, in this case a state legislature, selected or reaffirmed a particular course of action at least in part “because of,” not merely “in spite of,” its adverse effects upon an identifiable group.56
After grappling with the explicit remedial use of race by courts, legislative bodies, and various federal and state institutions, the Court turned to redistricting plans drawn to enhance the opportunity of minorities protected by the Voting Rights Act where race had become more than another of many necessary considerations in line-drawing. Justice Ginsberg put it succinctly in Miller v. Johnson:
Two Terms ago, in Shaw v. Reno, this Court took up a claim “analytically distinct” from a vote dilution claim. Shaw authorized judicial intervention in “extremely irregular” apportionments, in which the legislature cast aside traditional districting practices to consider race alone — in the Shaw case, to create a district in North Carolina in which African-Americans would compose a majority of the voters.57
In short, Miller instructs that we are to engage in a searching review of district lines “predominantly motivated” by race when a state subordinates traditional districting practices to race.
Plaintiffs have not proven their claim of racial discrimination. There is little question but that the single-minded purpose of the Texas Legislature in enacting Plan 1374C was to gain partisan advantage. With the Republican sweep of statewide offices in 2000 came control of
The majority of Plaintiffs’ Equal Protection claims focus on District 26 in Plan 1374C, which reflects Republican refusal to preserve Democratic Congressman Martin Frost’s District 24 while at the same time preserving adjoining Republican districts. To remove Congressman Frost, he needed to lose a large portion of his Democratic constituency, many of whom lived in a predominantly Black area of Tarrant County. This group of voters was taken from previous District 24 and grouped with Denton and Cooke Counties, which are north of Tarrant County. Plaintiffs view the protrusion that reaches down to include the Black Democrats as evidence of intentional racial discrimination.
We disagree. That African-Americans in Texas vote overwhelmingly for Democratic candidates and that various political compromises were reached to arrive at the current district lines belie the assertion that Texas intentionally discriminated against the African-American voters. Bob Davis, who assisted the Texas Senate in drawing various plans and submitting them to the Legislative Redistricting Board, credibly testified as to the various political considerations that combined to result in the lines of current Congressional District 26. First, Representative Kent Grusendorf, who served on the House side of the districting committee, wanted his State House District — which covers the city of Arlington — to remain whole.
So, the net result was the political consequences of putting that territory, either in District 12 or District 6, were not good. And District 26, which was, in the Court Plan, this area in here, adjacent to it, and so it was placed on the District 26 because the political structure of 26 could handle that particular component of the Tarrant County population and still produce Republican results for District 26.65
We find these unchallenged explanations to be credible, and we find that including the large Democratic area of southeast Tarrant County in District 26 was the sole product of political give-and-take by legislative members over their own state districts and the effort to not create another Democratic district. The actions were not taken because of race; they were taken in spite of it.
Plaintiffs’ expert’s testimony supports our conclusion that politics, not race, drove Plan 1374C. The Jackson Plaintiffs’ expert, Dr. John Alford, professor of political science at Rice University, testified that “one would have a very hard time not recognizing that the State has a very strong partisan motivation in this particular map.”
Plaintiffs nonetheless insist that there was racial discrimination along the way in the specific drawing of the lines. We will examine this less sweeping assertion as we examine the particular districts that are alleged to have been drawn in violation of § 2 of the Voting Rights Act, or in defiance of the principles of Shaw v. Reno.
While keenly aware of the long history of discrimination against Latinos and Blacks in Texas, and recognizing that their long struggle for economic and personal freedom is not over, we are compelled to conclude that this plan was a political product from start to finish. The myriad decisions made during its creation were made in spite of, and not because of, its effects upon Blacks and Latinos. To find otherwise would frustrate the fundamentals of Washington v. Davis and inject the federal courts into a political game for which they are ill-suited, and indeed in which they are charged not to participate under the most basic principles of federalism and separation of power. Concluding that the purpose requirement of the Equal Protection Clause was met on these facts would pass redistricting from the state legislatures and redistricting boards to the federal courts. This is not to say that we wholly withdraw, of course. We simply recognize the fundamental decision in Washington v. Davis that federal judges are not legislative players; we are only the guardians of the boundaries. As Justice Ginsburg put it, while “[legislative dis-tricting is highly political business ... [generations of rank discrimination against [minorities] account for [the court’s] surveillance.”
Having been watchful, we are not persuaded that this most fundamental boundary of the Equal Protection Clause was crossed. In the redistricting arena, an area that has proven most reluctant to yield discernible standards, there are large incentives to reach for the seeming certainty of the Equal Protection Clause’s familiar condemnation of purposeful racial discrimination and draw upon its comforting moral force, rather than confront the task of developing proper standards or concede their ephemeral political character. To our eyes, the certainty is an illusion, and its deployment to heel radical partisan line-drawing by state legislatures is a mistake. And turning to Washington v. Davis’s insistence of purpose, rather than confronting directly the questions now before the Court in Vieth v. Jubelirer, is just an old Texas two-step.
We have no hesitation in concluding that, under current law, this court cannot strike down Plan 1374C on the basis that it is an illegal partisan gerrymander. Seventeen years ago, the Supreme Court held in Davis v. Bandemer
When the Supreme Court resolves Vi-eth, it may choose to retreat from its decision that the question is justiciable, or it may offer more guidance on the nature of the required effect. Perhaps the Court will draw on its experience in developing federal common law in the antitrust arena, which draws a fine line between competitive effect and injury to competition.
There are ameliorations available short of a grand judicial pronouncement, remedies which are perhaps superior. In Texas, redistricting advantages can be overcome through the political process. The exchange of political advantage between the Democrats in 1990 and the Republicans in 2000 demonstrates this reality. If the Democratic party takes the main statewide offices, Democrats can block a state legislative redistricting plan and write their own through the Legislative Redistricting Board. The resulting State Legislature could then redraw the congressional lines.
Even if the partisan gerrymander issue were not justiciable but Congress allowed
Our point is that if the judiciary must rein in partisan gerrymanders, limitations that focus upon the time and circumstance of partisan line-drawing and less upon the “some but not too much” genre of strictures offer the best of an ugly array of choices. Drawing upon the Voting Rights Act jurisprudence to give Bandemer teeth may be the worst of choices.
IV
For convenience, we record some of the general principles to which we will refer in addressing Plaintiffs’ challenges to specific districts. Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act of 1965 (as amended) provides:
(a) No voting qualification or prerequisite to voting or standard, practice, or procedure shall be imposed or applied by any State or political subdivision in a manner which results in a denial or abridgement of the right of any citizen of the United States to vote on account of race or color, or in contravention of the guarantees set fort in section 1973b(f)(2) of this title, as provided in subsection (b) of this section.
(b) A violation of subsection (a) of this section is established if, based on the totality of the circumstances, it is shown that the political processes leading to nomination or election in the State or political subdivision are not equally open to participation by members of a class of citizens protected by subsection (a) of this section in that its members have less opportunity than other members of the electorate to participate in the political process and elect representatives of their choice. The extent to which members of a protected class have been elected to office in the State or political subdivision is one circumstance which may be considered: Provided, That nothing in this section establishes a right to have members of a protected class elected in numbers equal to their proportion in the population.73
To prevail on a claim of vote dilution under § 2, a plaintiff must, as a threshold requirement, satisfy the three now-familiar preconditions set forth in Thornburg v. Gingles: (1) a minority group must be “sufficiently large and geographically compact to constitute a majority in a single-member district”; (2) the group must be “politically cohesive”; and (3) sufficient racial bloc voting must exist such that the white majority usually defeats the minority’s preferred candidate.
Although satisfying the Gin-gles factors is a prerequisite, meeting the three conditions is alone not enough to prevail under § 2. If they are met, the court is to consider the totality of the circumstances, including a searching inquiry into whether the political process is equally open to minority voters. In Johnson v. De Grandy, the Court explained how to evaluate dilution under a single-member districting plan and discussed the extent of a state’s duty to create additional majority-minority districts under § 2.
In Shaw v. Reno (“Shaw I”), the Court addressed the constitutionality of a district drawn with race as the predominant motivation, as evidenced by a bizarrely-shaped district drawn to augment minority voting strength.
Arguing, as appellees do and the District Court did, that the State may draw the district anywhere derives from a misconception of the vote-dilution claim. To accept that the district may be placed anywhere implies that the claim, and hence the coordinate right to an undiluted vote (to cast a ballot equal among voters), belongs to the minority as a group and not to its individual members. It does not.84
Similarly, in De Grandy, the Court stated that one reason for rejecting the inflexible safe harbor rule the state advocated in that case, under which no dilution can
an unexplored premise of highly suspect validity: that in any given voting jurisdiction (or portion of that jurisdiction under consideration), the rights of some minority voters under § 2 may be traded off against the rights of other members of the same minority class. Under the State’s view, the most blatant racial gerrymandering in half of a county’s single-member districts would be irrelevant under § 2 if offset by political gerrymandering in the other half, so long as proportionality was the bottom line.85
With these basic principles in mind, we now turn to Plaintiffs’ specific claims.
V
We first examine the § 2 challenges to the districts in Central and East Texas, most notably District 24 in the Dallas-Fort Worth area. As a preliminary matter, it bears emphasis that the majority requirement of the first Gingles precondition cannot be met in these districts by summing Black and Hispanic voter populations.
A
1
Georgia v. Ashcroft
Georgia tested the limits of these types of districts when it redrew its state senate’s voting districts following the 2000 census. The previous map, which was finally precleared after much litigation, included various safe districts. Shifting its strategy, the Democratic-controlled Legislature “unpacked” three of the safe districts and spread the minority voters to create influence and coalition districts.
Georgia appealed the decision to the Supreme Court, arguing that preclearance was appropriate because the new map did not harm the minorities’ “effective exercise of the electoral franchise.” Georgia asked the Court to examine the voting plan as a whole so that the increase in voting strength in other influence and coalition districts could offset the decrease in the three previously safe districts. The Justice Department argued that the district court correctly found retrogression based solely on the decrease in minority population in the three previously safe districts.
Georgia’s argument prevailed. The Court held that states are free to choose the best way to avoid retrogression and ensure equal opportunity to minority voters. To determine whether a new map is retrogressive, the Court examined the state as a whole and considered all the relevant circumstances, “such as the ability of minority voters to elect their candidate of choice, the extent of the minority group’s opportunity to participate in the political process, and the feasibility of creating a nonretrogressive plan.”
The Court held that the district court erred in focusing too heavily on the decrease of voting power in the previously safe districts, and in ignoring the offsetting influence and coalition districts. In the Court’s view, the ability of minorities to elect their preferred candidates is important, but not dispositive. Despite the views of the Justice Department, the ACLU, and lower federal courts, the Court held that creating safe districts was not the only means of assuring an effective vote for minorities.
While Ashcroft is a § 5 preclearance case addressing the question of retrogression, the Court’s opinion makes plain that safe districts are no longer untouchable. States previously read Gingles as requiring safe districts to ensure the election of minorities by countering racially polarized voting. But Georgia v. Ashcroft makes clear that safe districts are not necessarily required; states may choose to avoid retrogression by creating coalition and influence districts. Georgia decreased the percentage of minority voters in three previously safe districts to such a degree that, in the opinion of the Justice Department, minorities could not elect their candidate of choices. Yet, the addition of coalition and influence districts countered possible retrogression.
2
All parties here rely upon Georgia v. Ashcroft. Plaintiffs argue that Ashcroft effectively overruled Gingles’s first requirement that “the minority group must be able to demonstrate that it is sufficiently large and geographically compact to constitute a majority in a single-member district.”
In response, Texas argues that under Ashcroft redrawing an influence district does not inevitably dilute minority votes under § 2. Texas argues that if majority-minority districts may be altered without running afoul of the Voting Rights Act, then a fortiori an influence district may be altered. Ashcroft provided states with the flexibility to choose the means of complying with the Voting Rights Act, and although the Court opined that coalition and influence districts may be the most effective means of increasing minority influence, they are not required. Ashcroft did not dictate that a state must maximize both majority-minority and influence districts. Indeed, the question whether federal law requires influence districts has been avoided many times,
Texas’s argument finds support in the language of Ashcroft:
On one hand, a smaller number of safe majority-minority districts may virtually guarantee the election of a minority group’s preferred candidate in those districts .... And while such districts may result in more “descriptive representation” because the representatives of choice are more likely to mirror the race of the majority of voters in that district, the representation may be limited to fewer areas.
On the other hand, spreading out minority voters over a greater number of districts creates more districts in which minority voters may have the opportunity to elect a candidate of their choice. Such a strategy has the potential to increase “substantive representation” in more districts, by creating coalitions of voters who together will help to achieve the electoral aspirations of the minority group. It also, however, creates the risk that the minority group’s preferred candidate may lose.... Section 5 gives States the flexibility to choose one theory of effective representation over the other.104
As we see it, these choices are for the states to make, as long as they avoid other constitutional and statutory violations under the Equal Protection Clause and § 2. Allowing influence districts to meet a Gin-pies-imposed obligation to create a majority-minority district does not mean that a state must create an influence district in the absence of an obligation to create a majority-minority district. We are not persuaded that Texas had the duty in drawing a new map to trace the old lines to avoid any disruption of coalitions. To so conclude would have profound consequences, freezing ephemeral political alliances, which are the bull’s eyes of partisan redistricting. We will turn to a concrete example. The 24th is a Democratic district, and its “coalitions” are simply minority Blacks joining with majority Anglos voting a Democratic ticket in the general election. Plaintiffs’ understandable efforts to freeze this “coalition” by locating some duty under § 2 not to redraw the district is a transparent effort to use race as a shield from a partisan gerrymander when the district itself was a child of identical efforts to gerrymander. As we will explain, under the new plan, Democrats — both Anglo and Black — lose control of the District 24.
B
We turn first to District 24, located in the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex in an area referred to as the mid-cities. The congressman from the district is Martin Frost, an Anglo Democrat elected in 1978. This area between Dallas and Fort Worth experienced enormous growth from the early 1960’s, leading to the creation of the 24th in 1972. With some iteration, the district has remained in place until the passage of Plan 1374C in 2003. The old 24th touched both Dallas and Fort Worth and included the communities of Duncan-ville and Cedar Hill on its south side. It also included large plants of Bell Helicopter, General Motors, Northrop Grumman, and Lockheed Martin, as well as the Texas Rangers’ baseball stadium and the Six Flags Over Texas theme park.
The judicial plan replaced by 1374C left the 24th largely in place. It had a Black voting age population of 21.4% and a Hispanic voting age population of 33.6%. The latter number falls when citizenship (CVAP) is considered, as it must be. The result is that neither Blacks nor Hispanics have 50% of the voters in the district alone or combined, where they constitute only 46.4%. Measured by the statewide races and the Lieutenant Governor’s race in 2002, District 24 is approximately 60% Democrat, although Al Gore carried the district with 54% of the vote and Governor Bush carried the entire state with 59% of the statewide vote and 61% in the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex. It bears mention that Houston and Dallas-Fort Worth cast 47% of all votes cast in the state.
Facing the absence of a minority with 50% of the voting age population of the district singly or combined, Plaintiffs contend that the 24th nonetheless meets the first two preconditions of Gingles because it “functions as a fully effective Black opportunity district.” They offer three reasons why we should not adhere to Perez v. Pasadena, Independent School District
Defendants respond that § 2 requires a showing of strength at a level of at least 50% is a command of § 2, a requirement that is an inevitable byproduct of the statute’s protection of the ability of minorities to elect representatives of their choice. A minority group lacking a majority cannot elect its candidate of choice, and denying the group a separate district cannot be a denial of any opportunity protected by the Act. Rather, such a group can elect their candidate of choice only with the votes of non-majorities through coalitions, but the Voting Rights Act does not protect such political coalitions. Defendants urge that whether a minority can meet the 50% standard is a quite different question from asking “whether a bi-racial coalition of African Americans and ‘crossover’ Anglos can elect a Black-preferred Black candidate. Any such interpretation would render the first Gingles precondition an entirely superfluous subpart of the third Gingles precondition.” Defendants argue further that the Supreme Court has never held that § 2 protects influence districts and such a proposal is foreclosed by the rationale of Georgia v. Ashcroft. Finally, defendants reply that there has been no showing that the 24th would probably elect a Black candidate, pointing to Congressional District 25 in the judicial Plan 1151C in which the demographics are strikingly similar — 21.4% BVAP and 33.6% HVAP — where an Anglo, Bell, defeated Carroll Robinson, the Black candidate of choice, in the 2002 Democratic primary.
Plaintiffs’ arguments are creative, but they ask this court to do more than well-settled law will allow. To the heart of the matter: the contention that § 2 protects District 24 from redrawing asks us to extend § 2’s protection of Blacks and Latinos from vote dilution to the protection of groups whose cementing force is membership and loyalty to a political party. Gin-gles and the cases that followed it have been keenly aware that the defining concepts of Gingles — numbers and cohesion— are critical to its studied effort to confine the limits of the Act to those situations that dilute minorities’ opportunity to vote without protecting coalitions that may be helpful or even essential to the leveraging of their strength.
We are told that Blacks control the Democratic primary with less than 22% of the CVAP because Anglos and Latinos vote either in the Republican primary or not at all, but return home out of party loyalty in the general election. It is argued that this is a Black opportunity district. More accurately, however, it is a strong Democratic district. That there is no cohesion between Black and Latino voters in the primary contests is beyond serious dispute. Black opportunity here lies in coalitions with Anglos who vote with them in the general election for Democrats. Dr. Lichtman’s calculations produce an Anglo crossover rate of 30.75 (unweighted mean). He conceded that in the general election Black turnout will fall to the range of 31, 32 or perhaps 33%, while Anglo turnout will jump into the 60’s, approximately a two to one margin. Just how far this argument departs from the Gingles construct is exposed by the reminder that such a crossover rate has been found to establish the absence of Anglo bloc voting under Gingles’s third precondition as a matter of law.
The history of the 24th illustrates that Plaintiffs overstate the impact of the Black Democrats’ control of the primaries. The reality is that Frost has not had a primary opponent since his incumbency began. That no Black candidate has ever filed in a Democratic primary against Frost in a district assertedly controlled by Blacks reflects the accuracy of Congresswoman Johnson’s claim that District 24 was drawn for an Anglo Democrat.
Nor is the cohesiveness of this 21.6% black voting age population clear. Plaintiffs’ expert relied heavily upon the high vote in the district for Ron Kirk, an African-American and former popular mayor of Dallas, in his race for the United States Senate. Dr. Lichtman resisted the suggestion that the “friends and neighbors” effect was distorting the results with the counter suggestion that the effect would be offset by Kirk’s opponent in the Democratic primary, Victor Morales. That explanation is not persuasive. Morales is actually from Crandall, a town of 3,000 people some 75 miles away. In the 1998 Attorney General race, Judge Morris Overstreet, a widely known, respected, and distin
That Blacks wield influence in the district is plain. Perhaps recognizing the difficulty of arguing that some specie of a relaxed Gingles construct imposes an obligation to create an influence or coalition district, Plaintiffs offer a fall-back alternative: that as an “influence district,” the 24th cannot be “intentionally” redrawn. But this turns the principle of Georgia v. Ashcroft on its head. As we have explained, Ashcroft gave states greater latitude in complying with the Voting Rights Act. The Court recognized that while Gin-gles in application has resulted in significant gains in elected positions held by minorities, with the keener edge of computer drawn lines, it has also created “safe” white and minority districts, significantly reducing the necessity for the pull and tug to secure support from those with political influence. By locking in safe districts for minorities and Anglos alike— instead of encouraging competition and the pull and tug of politics — this legal regime began to undermine the core idea that the House of Representatives would be the branch of government directly responsive to the people. Ashcroft responds to these and other political realities with greater concern for forces that divide and fraction-alize, especially those that would divide along racial lines. We do not read Ashcroft as fencing even more territory from state legislative reach. Considering that District 24 as a pure influence district is unprotected by § 2, we are persuaded that alterations to it raised questions primarily of § 5, which have been answered by the Department of Justice.
C
Although the bulk of Plaintiffs’ argument focuses on District 24, Plaintiffs also assert that Plan 1374C violates § 2 by modifying minority influence districts in Central and East Texas, specifically districts 1, 2, 4, 9, 10, 11, and 17 from Plan 1151C. According to Plaintiffs, the minority population in these districts will have only a minimal role in the electoral process under the new plan.
However, as the State points out, Plaintiffs never argue — and certainly never prove — that any of these districts satisfies the Gingles preconditions. Even a cursory glance at the population data reveals that none of these districts passes muster under Gingles’s first prong. In none of these districts does the citizen voting age population of any cognizable minority group surpass 22%, and in most the percentage is significantly lower. Indeed, even if we were to follow Plaintiffs’ suggestion and combine the Black and Hispanic citizen voting numbers — despite the lack of evidence of cohesion among these groups
_Plan 1151C_Plan 1374C_
Black Hispanic B + H Black Hispanic B + H
District CVAP CVAP CVAP CVAP CVAP CVAP
1_15B_3B_191_1&2_31)_22.1
2_140_52_191_19B_82_27.5
_4_1L5_41_152_103_31)_14.2
9_2L3_9/7_3L0_408_108_63.6
10_1L8_200_308_9/7_121_21,8
11_102_1L6_26.8 4.3_2L9_26.2
17 4.0_145_1&5_100_M_19.8
Plaintiffs admit that these seven districts are at most influence districts, but nonetheless urge that the State, after Ashcroft, is forbidden from altering them. Plaintiffs, however, do not argue that any of these districts is protected individually; they focus instead on these districts as a group and suggest that the State, by redrawing these seven influence districts plus the coalition districts in Districts 23 and 24, has gone too far in limiting minority influence statewide. We cannot agree. As we explained above, the State was under no § 2 obligation to create these districts, and we find that the State labors under no corresponding compulsion to preserve these districts. The allegation that the minority voting strength in these districts has been diluted is in truth no more than a claim that these districts have been drawn to add Republican voting strength to overcome the election advantage that the current Democrat incumbents hold.
VI
We next examine the challenge brought by and on behalf of Latino plaintiffs and intervenors to the impact of the legislative plan on Latino voting strength in South and West Texas. At the outset, it is useful to understand that the difficulties Texas presents to a redistricter are nowhere greater than in the Southern and western part of the State. The area can be described as a huge and rough inverted triangle, beginning in El Paso at the far western corner, extending south and east for hundreds of sparsely populated miles on or near the border to the cities of Laredo in Webb County, McAllen in Hidalgo County, and Brownsville in Cameron County, turning north up to the coastal city of Corpus Christi in Nueces County, then turning west to cover many miles that are lightly populated except for the areas to the south of San Antonio in Bexar County and Austin in Travis County. The sheer size of the land, its irregular shape, and the distribution of the bulk of the population in various pockets of the State are the basics that shape the map before the redistricter even begins. This part of the State also contains the greatest concentrations of Hispanic population. In the State as a whole, Latinos account for approximately 32% of the total population, 29% of the voting age population, and 22% of the citizen voting age population. In the South and West Texas regions at issue here, Hispanics represent 58% of the citizen voting age population. The largest numbers of Hispanics are located in the same areas of South and West Texas as are the large pockets of Anglo population: in El Paso County in the southwest corner; in Webb County, Hidalgo County, and
The plan the Balderas court approved to account for the population changes documented in the 2000 census, Plan 1151C, placed six congressional districts in South and West Texas, each containing the 651,-620 individuals needed for equal population distribution and the mandate of one-man-one-vote. In Plan 1374C, the Legislature drew seven congressional districts in the same area, each containing the necessary 651,620 individuals. In both plans, six districts have a majority Hispanic citizen voting age population. Of the 44 counties included in the six districts in Plan 1151C and the 58 counties included in the seven districts in Plan 1374C, only the seven counties listed above — El Paso, Webb, Hidalgo, Cameron, Nueces, Travis, and Bexar — have populations above 100,000.
This combination of geography and population distribution fixes certain characteristics of the redistricting map for South and West Texas, reflected in both Plan 1151C and Plan 1374C. Both have a district in the far western corner of the State, in El Paso County, which has a population approaching 680,000. Under both Plan 1151C and Plan 1374C, Congressional District 16 in part of El Paso County has a majority Hispanic citizen voting age population and is an effective “safe” Hispanic opportunity district. Plan 1374C leaves Congressional District 16 essentially unchanged, a decision not challenged in this case. But east of this far western population pocket, the counties are so sparsely populated that the district next to 16— Congressional District 23 — must extend far to the east to reach the numbers of people necessary to satisfy equipopulosity.
In Plan 1151C, Webb County, with 193,-117 people, is kept entirely in Congressional District 23; in Plan 1374C, Webb County is divided between Congressional District 23 and Congressional District 28, directly to the east. Whether Webb County is divided or not, the districts that begin in the relatively narrow and relatively densely populated southern part of Texas, which includes the Rio Grande Valley, must extend north to gather enough population to satisfy equality among the districts. Both Plan 1151C and Plan 1374C share this characteristic. Plan 1151C has two “strip” districts that begin in South Texas and travel to the north toward the center of the State to gather the requisite number of people.
The map drawer defining the district in the southeastern corner of the State must also begin in the Rio Grande Valley and proceed north to include enough people to satisfy equipopulosity. The map drawer need not travel as far north as in the “strip” districts to find the necessary population for this southeastern coastal district, however, because Nueces County, which contains Corpus Christi, has over 300,000 people.
Both Plan 1151C and Plan 1374C exhibit similar features, resulting from this combination of geography and population distribution. The district that begins just east of El Paso County must be large and must run east from far West Texas, stretching deeply into Central and South Texas. The districts that begin in far South Texas must run north in “strip” fashion into Central Texas. The district that begins in the southern tip of Texas and travels up the coast must also proceed north.
Against this backdrop, we examine the record as to the effects of the legislative plan in South and West Texas on Latino voting strength.
A
In Plan 1151C, the court drew six districts in South and West Texas, each with a majority of the Latino citizen voting age population. As noted, two of those districts, Congressional District 16, consisting primarily of part of the city of El Paso, and Congressional District 20, consisting primarily of part of the city of San Antonio, are not at issue in the change from Plan 1151C to Plan 1374C and are not challenged in this suit. Both were, and are, effective Hispanic opportunity districts. One of the districts in Plan 1151C, Congressional District 23, had a bare majority of Hispanic citizen voting age population and had not performed consistently as a Hispanic opportunity district. Congressional Districts 28, 15, and 27 made up the remainder of the districts in South and West Texas, each with a majority Hispanic citizen voting age population and a majority of the Spanish-surnamed registered voters, and each performing as effective Hispanic opportunity districts. Each of the six districts in South and West Texas under Plan 1151C was reliably Democratic in both congressional and other elections, with the exception of Congressional District 23. That district has since 1992 elected a Hispanic Republican to Congress, Henry Bonilla.
In Plan 1374C, the Legislature sought to apply to South and West Texas its primary partisan goal of increasing the likelihood that Republican candidates would be elected to Congress, while avoiding violations of the Voting Rights Act, the Equal Protection Clause, and the mandate of one-man-one-vote. The record presents undisputed evidence that the Legislature desired to increase the number of Republican votes cast in Congressional District 23 to shore up Bonilla’s base and assist in his reelection. The evidence showed that Bonilla had lost a larger amount of Hispanic support in each successive election. In 2002, Bonilla attracted only 8% of the Latino vote. In order to make Congressional District 23 more Republican, the map drawers extended the district north to take in largely Republican and Anglo areas in the north-central part of the State, including Bandera, Kerr, and Kendall counties. That change added approximately 101,260 people to Congressional District 23. The
To accomplish the first goal, Plan 1374C added a third district to the two already long and relatively narrow districts that covered the bottom of the inverted triangle of South Texas and extended north. To maintain the requisite population numbers, each of these three districts had to extend farther north than the two districts had in Plan 1151C. The three districts under Plan 1374C ran from the population pockets near the border north through sparsely-populated areas to reach the pockets of population in the central part of the State, south and east of San Antonio and Austin. The reconfigured districts each added counties in the process.
Plaintiffs raise a number of challenges to the redrawn districts in South and West Texas. The GI Forum Plaintiffs claim that Plan 1374C is deficient for the same reason its predecessor, Plan 1151C, was deficient: an additional Latino majority citizen voting age population district should be drawn to achieve compliance with § 2 of the Voting Rights Act. Plaintiffs claim that the legislative plan dilutes
The State responds by arguing that there have been no developments since the Balderas panel issued its opinion to call into question that court’s holding that § 2 did not require an additional Latino majority citizen voting age population district in South and West Texas. The State argues that the Supreme Court’s decision in De Grandy v. Johnson
The claims that Plaintiffs make as to this part of the State do not raise the questions of coalition districts in which Anglos, Hispanics, and African-Americans are all present, although no minority group is a majority of the relevant population. Rather, Plaintiffs make claims that are more familiar in Voting Rights Act litigation. They claim that in South and West Texas, they are a minority meeting the Gingles requirements; that in one district, they have been “cracked” and submerged into an Anglo majority, such that they cannot elect candidates of their choice; and that as to the rest of the districts in the area, although they are a majority of the citizen voting age population, a functional examination reveals that their ability effectively to elect their candidates of choice has been weakened. The fact that the dilution claim is familiar, however, does not make the analysis simple. As the Supreme Court stated in De Grandy, “Plaintiffs challenging single-member districts may claim, not total submergence, but partial submergence; not the chance for some electoral success in place of none, but the chance for more success in place of some. When the question thus comes down to the reasonableness of drawing a series of district lines in one combination of places rather than another, judgments
B
The GI Forum Plaintiffs allege that they are entitled under § 2 to an additional district in South and West Texas in which Latinos are a majority of the citizen voting age population and can effectively elect candidates of their choice. In both Plan 1151C and Plan 1374C, six districts in South and West Texas have a majority of Latino citizens of voting age. The GI Forum Plaintiffs present a demonstration district, Plan 1385C, that shows an additional Latino citizen voting age majority district in South and West Texas. The record contains variations of proposed dis-tricting plans that meet the same goal. These Plaintiffs, however, have presented no convincing basis to reject the Balderas holding that § 2 did not require an additional district in South and West Texas after the 2000 census.
The GI Forum Plaintiffs argue that since Balderas, additional data has become available distinguishing the citizen voting age population by race and ethnicity, making it easier to establish that an additional Gingles district can be drawn in South and West Texas. Plaintiffs presented demonstration plans to the Balderas panel that they claimed showed the feasibility of drawing an additional Hispanic citizen voting age population majority district in the area. The Balderas panel found that Plaintiffs had failed to prove that § 2 required the creation of an additional Latino citizen voting age majority congressional district in South and West Texas. Plaintiffs appealed that finding; the Supreme Court summarily affirmed. The additional census data Plaintiffs present does not alter the validity of that finding.
The GI Forum Plaintiffs assert that they have met the Gingles criteria because their demonstration plan, 1385C, creates seven districts with a Hispanic citizen voting age population above 50%. The record, however, does not show that their demonstration plan would satisfy Gingles. Plan 1385C proposes districts that are more unusually shaped than in either Plan 1151C or Plan 1374C.
Even if this court were to assume that the finding in Balderas rejecting the claim that an additional Hispanic citizen voting age population majority district should be drawn in South and West Texas was entitled to no weight, and even if this court were to overlook the Cingles problems reflected in the proffered demonstration plan, the GI Forum Plaintiffs have failed to make the necessary showing under § 2. This court recognizes that Plaintiffs have established racially polarized voting and a political, social, and economic legacy of past discrimination. But any examination of the totality of the circumstances beyond Cingles must include proportionality. Plaintiffs argue that because Latinos represent 22% of the citizen voting age population of the State, seven out of the thirty-two districts in the State should be drawn to produce Latino citizen voting age majorities. The State responds by noting that Latinos comprise 58% of the citizen voting age population in South and West Texas and constitute the majority of the citizen voting age population in six out of the seven districts in that region, exceeding rough proportionality for the area.
The Supreme Court has explained that “proportionality,” a word not expressly used in § 2, involves a comparison between (1) the percentage share of legislative districts in which the population of the protected class has a majority and (2) the protected class’s percentage share of the “relevant population.”
The Supreme Court has not resolved what geographic frame of reference should be used to analyze proportionality, whether it is by district, county, region, or state. In DeGrandy, “the plaintiffs ... passed up the opportunity to frame their dilution claim in statewide terms”; the Court applied the Gingles factors and analyzed proportionality as limited to “Hispanics in the Dade County area.”
Under the legislative plan, 1374C, as under the court-imposed plan it replaces, 1151C, six out of the seven districts in South and West Texas are Latino citizen voting age majority districts. Given the fact that Latinos comprise 58% of the citizen voting age population in South and West Texas, proportionality is satisfied as to that area.
As noted, the Supreme Court has not made clear what geographic unit is the relevant area to measure proportionality. De Grandy did not discuss the role of a district such as Congressional District 29 in the Houston area of Harris County, or Congressional District 23 in West Texas, in which Latinos constitute approximately 47% of the citizen voting age population, less than a majority but large enough to constitute an influence district, in assessing proportionality as part of the totality of the circumstances. Plaintiffs are correct in their calculation that six districts in which Latinos hold a majority of citizen voting age population, out of the thirty-two districts that comprise Texas, do not equate to arithmetic proportionality between the number of Latino majority-minority districts and the Latinos’ percentage of the citizen voting age population in the State. De Grandy emphasizes, however, that the inquiry is not merely mathematical.
One of the districts that Plaintiffs would create in their demonstration plan, proposed Congressional District 28 has a Hispanic citizen voting age population of only 50.3%, and five of the seven districts have a Hispanic citizen voting age population that is below 60%. Plaintiffs vigorously criticize the legislative plan, 1374C, in part
Under Plan 1151C, Congressional District 23 was not an effective minority opportunity district, despite the fact that it had a 57.4% Latino citizen voting age majority. Plaintiffs specifically criticize Congressional District 15 in Plan 1374C, which has a Hispanic citizen voting age population of 58.5% — reduced from 69.3% in Plan 1151C — as weakened to the extent that it is better classified as a Latino influence district rather than a Latino opportunity district, although other witnesses contradicted this characterization.
The GI Forum Plaintiffs have shown neither that seven districts can be drawn, meeting the threshold Gingles requirements, that have a majority of Hispanic citizen voting age population, nor that all such districts, if they could be drawn, would function effectively as Latino opportunity districts. We reject the claim of the GI Forum Plaintiffs that § 2 demands a seventh Hispanic citizen voting age population majority district in South and West Texas. Part of the analysis of the dilution claim, to which we now turn, will explain why we believe the six Hispanic citizen voting age population majority districts drawn in Plan 1374C are effective Hispanic opportunity districts.
C
It is undisputed that Plan 1374C eliminated Congressional District 23 as a district with a Latino majority citizen voting age population for the political purpose of increasing Republican voters in the district and shoring up the reelection chances of the Republican incumbent. To avoid retrogression, Plan 1374C added a new Latino majority citizen voting age population district to the east and reconfigured the existing districts. Plaintiffs complain that the weakening of Congressional District 23, preventing it from continuing to move toward becoming an effective opportunity district, results in dilution in violation of § 2. Plaintiffs argue that the dilution cannot be addressed by the creation of Congressional District 25 as a Latino opportunity district. Plaintiffs also complain that even if dilution is to be measured on a broader basis than a single district, Plan 1374C is dilutive because the reconfiguration of Congressional Districts 15, 28, and 27 weakens Latino voting strength in these districts.
Congressional District 23 is unquestionably not a Latino opportunity district under Plan 1374C. The map drawers divided Webb County, which is 94% Latino. This change removed reliably Democratic voters in Laredo out of Congressional District 23. Under Plan 1374C, the Hispanic citizen voting age population is 46%, reduced from 57.5% in Plan 1151C; the percentage of Spanish-surnamed registered voters is 44% under Plan 1374C, reduced from 55.3% in Plan 1151C. Even as configured under Plan 1151C, however, Congressional District 23 did not perform as an effective opportunity district. The GI Forum Plaintiffs’ regression analysis of election data showed that Latino candidates of choice were elected in five out of eight racially contested elections from 1994 to 2002.
Plaintiffs claim that the map drawers impermissibly reduced Hispanic voting strength in Congressional District 23 to pursue their political end. Plaintiffs urge that the political end could have been achieved by leaving Webb County whole and redrawing Congressional District 23 to put Bonilla’s home in Congressional District 11, where he could have run in an open seat. The State points out that this approach would not have served either the political goal of incumbency protection or of increasing Republican districts, since Congressional District 11 already reliably elects Republicans in congressional and other elections. The change to Congressional District 23 served the dual goal of increasing Republican seats in general and protecting Bonilla’s incumbency in particular, with the additional political nuance that Bonilla would be reelected in a district that had a majority of Latino voting age population — although clearly not a majority of citizen voting age population and certainly not an effective voting majority.
Plaintiffs argue that the admittedly political decision to draw the line through the city of Laredo, placing the largely Democratic, Hispanic voters in Congressional District 28 to the east and “stranding” 359,000 Hispanics in Congressional District 23, where they will be submerged in a Republican, Anglo majority district, violates § 2. De Grandy, however, rejected the claim of separating heavily Hispanic neighborhoods, fragmenting them in certain districts and packing them into others, as a basis for liability, even if the Gingles factors are met, because the totality of the circumstances included a showing that Hispanic voters had effective voting majorities in the relevant area in rough proportion to the their voting age population.
Typically, vote dilution claims address redistricting schemes that take a minority group whose members have the potential to comprise a numerical majority in a geographically compact district and disperse the group across two or more districts, thereby precluding the minority members from constituting an effective majority in either one.
Plaintiffs rely on Shaw v. Hunt (Shaw II)
Analysis of the Gingles factors shows that the Latino population is sufficiently numerous and distributed as to support the creation of a number of effective districts in South and West Texas with a majority of Latino citizen voting age population. The Gingles districts in South and West Texas could be drawn in different ways, within the constraints of geography and population distribution. Both Plan 1151C and Plan 1374C have six districts with a majority of Latino citizens of voting age. The choices available to the State included the lines of Plan 1374C, which created a new remedial district that had not been present under the previous plan, or the lines of Plan 1151C, keeping Congressional District 23 as a bare majority Hispanic citizen voting age population district, but not drawing another district with a stronger Latino citizen voting age popu
To examine whether Plan 1374C imper-missibly dilutes the votes of Latinos in South and West Texas, this court must conduct a “comprehensive ... canvassing of relevant facts” making up the totality of the circumstances, including proportionality, to determine whether the districts drawn under Plan 1374C in South and West Texas are effective Latino opportunity districts.
Some of the relevant data from the voluminous record is as follows:
Congressional District % HCVAP % SSR (2002)
1151 15 69.3 67.0
1374 15 58.5 56.7
1151 25 18.6 15.2
1374 25 55.0 55.6
1151 28 61.4 59.6
1374 28 56.2 54.3
1151 27 63.5 61.6
1374 27 60.4 58.0
The parties also presented detailed regression analyses of election data, performed by different experts.
Although Dr. Lichtman expressed concern when testifying for Plaintiffs that Congressional District 15 and Congressional District 25 might be marginal, or moving toward a “toss-up,” he acknowledged on cross-examination that all four of the districts at issue, 15, 25, 27, and 28, are Hispanic opportunity districts, defined as a district in which Hispanic voters have an effective opportunity to control outcomes in both primary and general elections.
Several witnesses expressed particular concern over Congressional District 15, which under Plan 1374C has a Latino citizen voting age population of 58.5% and a Spanish-surnamed registered voter population of 56.7%. Although these numbers are lower than the levels that had been present in Congressional District 15 under Plan 1151C, the regression analyses showed that the Hispanic-preferred candidate won every primary and runoff election studied, and lost in only one general election out of six.
In Plan 1151C, Congressional District 27 included all of Cameron County along the border, but only part of Nueces County to the north. In Plan 1374C, Congressional District 27 includes all of Nueces County but divides Cameron County. The result did not significantly change the relevant data. In Plan 1374C, Congressional District 27 has a Hispanic citizen voting age population of 60.4% and a Spanish-sur-named registered voter population of 58%, reduced from a Hispanic citizen voting age population of 63.6% and a Spanish-sur-named registered voter population of 61.6% under Plan 1151C.
Congressional District 28 under Plan 1374C includes part of Laredo in South Texas and extends north to the relatively heavily populated areas of Central Texas. The demographic figures show that the district maintains a decisive Hispanic citizen voting age population majority, although reduced from the levels present under Plan 1151C. In Congressional District 28 under Plan 1374C, the Hispanic citizen voting age population is 56.2% and the Spanish-surnamed registered voter population is 54.3%, slightly less than the 61.5% of Hispanic citizen voting age population and 59.6% Spanish-surnamed registered voter population under Congressional District 28 in Plan 1151C.
The “bacon-strip” districts — Congressional Districts 15, 25, and 28 — are unquestionably long. Congressional District 25 is 300 miles long and 77% of its total population comes from either end of the district; 39% from Travis County in Central Texas and 38% from Hidalgo County at the southern end. Congressional District 15 is also 300 miles long, from Cameron County in South Texas to Bastrop County in Central Texas, and its population is also concentrated at either end. Congressional District 28 runs nearly 300 miles from Hays County south to Zapata County on the border with Mexico. Districts that began in the same area in Plan 1151C were also long and relatively narrow, extending from the border of South Texas to Central Texas, although not as far. The record does not disclose the number of media markets covered in the districts under Plan 1151C, but it is clear that several of the areas joined in districts under Plan 1374C were also joined together in districts under Plan 1151C. It is also clear that adding a third district based in the Rio Grande Valley made each of the three districts extend north and include residents of both the Rio Grande Valley and Central Texas. While Latino residents in both areas generally have lower socio-economic indicators than Anglos, the evidence at trial showed that the needs and interests of Latino communities on the South Texas border are different from the needs and interests of Latino communities in Central Texas. The issue is whether these features mean that the newly-configured districts dilute the voting strength of Latinos.
At trial, the court was greatly assisted by the testimony of elected officials from the districts at issue. These witnesses, including Congressman Hinojosa, representing Congressional District 15; State Representative Aaron Peña, who resides in Congressional District 15 and represents a district located in Congressional District 25; State Representative Jim Solis from Cameron County in Congressional District 27; and County Judge Ramon Garcia and County Commissioner Ricardo
A close examination of the voluminous record and the testimony at trial leads to a finding that Plan 1374C does not impermissibly dilute the voting strength of Latinos in South and West Texas in violation of § 2. The newly-configured Districts 15, 25, 27, and 28 cover more territory and travel farther north than did the corresponding districts in Plan 1151C. The districts combine more voters from the cen
As the Court stated in Gingles, “[T]he relative lack of minority electoral success under a challenged plan, when compared with the success that would be predicted under the measure of undiluted minority voting strength the court is employing, can constitute powerful evidence of vote dilution.”
Plaintiffs argue that taking a broad view of the státe-wide effect of Plan 1374C, dilution results because of the loss of the “influence districts” in other parts of the State in which Latino voters played a role, specifically, Congressional District 24 in Dallas and Tarrant County and Congressional District 10 in Travis County. The State responds in part by pointing to the strengthening of Congressional District 29 in Harris County as a Latino influence district. But Plaintiffs have not urged that additional Gingles Latino majority-minority districts can be placed in those areas; they have not identified a wrong in
In De Grandy, the Court emphasized that one reason it would not embrace “bottom line” proportionality as a “safe harbor” was that it could make “the most blatant racial gerrymandering in half of a county’s single-member Districts ... irrelevant under § 2 if offset by political gerrymandering in the other half.”
D
Plaintiffs contend that in Plan 1374C, the map drawers used ethnicity to an unlawful degree and drew districts that reflect a derogation of the traditional dis-tricting values of compactness, respect for political lines, and communities of interest. The Supreme Court has phrased the test for a plaintiff bringing such a Shaw claim in different ways. In 1995, in Miller v. Johnson,
Plaintiffs bear the burden of proving that race was the predominate factor in the Legislature’s districting decisions.
Courts analyzing Shaw claims frequently examine: (a) district shape and demographics; (b) statements made by legislators and their staff; and (c) the nature of the data used to determine whether race played an excessive and unjustifiable role in the redistricting process.
_CD 23 CD 28 CD 25 CD 15 CD 27
Smallest Circle_3/3_5b_8.5 ;_6b_3.1
Perimeter to Area_51_5/7_9b_1L6_51.
The scores for the corresponding districts in Plan 1151C are:
_CD 23 CD 28 CD 25 CD 15 CD 27
Smallest Circle_42_3/7_5b_3.1
Perimeter to Area_61_51_8b_41
The general measures of compactness do not lead to a conclusion that the districts in Plan 1374C are bizarre in a Shaw sense. Dr. John Alford, an expert witness for the Jackson Plaintiffs, testified that he did not find the perimeter to area scores for Congressional Districts 15, 25, and 28 in Plan 1374C to be troublesome on their own.
Compactness scores cannot be considered in isolation; the issue is whether a district's shape, as measured by compactness scores, provides evidence of a constitutional violation when considered in relation to the geography and population distribution in the relevant part of the State.
Texas geography and population dispersion limit the availability of district compactness in the southern and western regions of the state. Under Plan 1374C, the population densities in Congressional Districts 28, 25, and 15, both Anglo and Hispanic, are highest in the Valley and in Central Texas, separated by relatively sparsely populated areas. The high-density population pockets necessary to achieve the one-man-one-vote requirement are situated at either end of the elongated “bacon-strip” shaped districts. As a result, the boundaries of such “strip” districts in Plan 1374C must reach into Central Texas to obtain the requisite number of people, whether Anglo or Latino. For example, in Congressional District 15, the “dumbbell” district, 90% of the population is in the northern and southern tips. Congressional District 15 was already a “strip” district in Plan 1151C; in Plan 1374C, legislators elongated it to add people because part of the lower half was used to create new Congressional District 25. The smallest circle measure of compactness for the southern and western districts in Plan 1374C, examined in relation to the geography and population, reflect the sheer size and population distribution of the area, rather than a calculated stretch to find voters of a particular ethnic makeup.
The perimeter to area scores for Plan 1374C similarly do not reflect the predominance of ethnicity in drawing the district lines. Perimeter to area calculations are useful for determining whether the map drawers used convoluted lines to bring
Plaintiffs criticized the Legislature for “cracking” Webb County in a way that removed a large number of Latino voters from Congressional District 23 and placed them in Congressional District 28. The State presented undisputed evidence that the Legislature changed the lines of Congressional District 23 to meet the political purpose of making the district more Republican and protecting the incumbent, Congressman Bonilla. Plaintiffs agree that the primary purpose of this change was political and concede that there is a strong correlation between Latino and Democratic voters. Dr. Lichtman stated in his report that the change in the Webb County district boundary affected an area of voters who were more than 90% Hispanic in voting age population and 86.5% Democratic in voting, according to the 2002 statewide elections.
Plaintiffs’ primary evidence of a deviation from traditional districting principles is that Congressional Districts 23, 25, 28, 15, and 27 do not observe political lines or respect communities of interest. However, credible testimony from the State’s witnesses demonstrated that factors at the heart of traditional districting criteria, including political goals, predominately influenced the numerous decisions embodied in the location of each district line.
In response to Plaintiffs’ criticisms, the State provided credible race-neutral explanations for Plan 1374C’s county cuts, city divisions, and linking of border and Central Texas communities. The legislative motivation for the division of Webb County between Congressional District 23 and Congressional District 28 in Plan 1374C was political. The State provided evidence
Plaintiffs also faulted the inclusion of a heavily Hispanic part of Hays County, also in Central Texas, in Congressional District 28. The State presented evidence that this decision resulted from the Legislature’s desire to keep Texas State University, located in Hays County, out of Congressional District 21, which contains the University of Texas at Austin.
Plaintiffs criticized the split that placed part of Cameron County into Congressional District 15. The State responded with credible evidence that Congressional District 15 extends into Cameron County in order to keep the city of Harlingen together in a single district. Plaintiffs castigated the division of Hidalgo County between Congressional District 15 and Congressional District 25. The State introduced testimony that Congressman Hinojosa asked that the cities of Mission and Edinburg be kept whole, which could be accomplished only by splitting Hidalgo County.
The Supreme Court has focused on the specific features of a district that cause it to depart from compactness in assessing whether those features are justifiable on traditional districting grounds. In Bush, as here, the State attempted to justify its decisions on the traditional ground of partisan politics.
Plaintiffs urge that a derogation of traditional districting principles in Plan 1374C
According to the Supreme Court, manifestations of a community of interest include, “for example, shared broadcast and print media, public transport infrastructure, and institutions such as schools and churches.”
The “bacon-strip” districts of Plan 1374C, Congressional Districts 15, 25, and 28, include disparate communities of interest. Plaintiffs presented evidence of differences in socio-economic status, education, employment, health, and other characteristics between Hispanics who live near Texas’s southern border and those who reside in Central Texas. However, like the deviations from compactness, these deviations from the traditional dis-tricting principle of protecting communities of interest were necessary to meet the constitutional requirement of equal district populations in an area in which population is clustered at the southern tip and the center of the State. Plaintiffs’ evidence has not demonstrated that the linking of disparate border and Central Texas Hispanic communities was caused by the factor of ethnicity, rather than the factors of geography and population distribution and the need to achieve equipopulosity.
The record does not present evidence of statements by legislators or staff supporting the claim that ethnicity predominated in the redistricting process. To the contrary, the emails, statements, and other communications from those involved in the process reveal that politics predominated.
The Supreme Court has made it clear that a legislature may give consideration to race and ethnicity in the districting process, as long as those factors do not predominate and districting decisions are explainable on grounds other than race.
VII
Congressional District 18 is a historically significant African-American majority district in Houston, Harris County, Texas. Its first representative was Congresswoman Barbara Jordan. Jordan was elected at the creation of the district in 1972 as one of the two first African-Americans elected to Congress from the South since Reconstruction and the first African-American elected to Congress from Texas. Congressional District 18 is currently represented by Congresswoman Sheila Jackson Lee. Congressional District 30 is also a historically significant district, the first African-American majority district in Dallas, Dallas County, Texas. Congresswoman Eddie Bernice Johnson represents Congressional District 30. Both Congresswomen Jackson Lee and Johnson provided helpful testimony in this case, adding their voices to those emphasizing that racial polarization and appeals to racial prejudice persist in Texas politics and political campaigns.
Plaintiffs Jackson Lee and Johnson, supported by the NAACP and other plaintiffs, criticize Plan 1374C as diluting the African-American voting strength in Congressional Districts 18 and 30. As to Congressional District 18, Plaintiffs claim that in order to create Congressional District 9 as an additional African-American opportunity district in Houston, Plan 1374C moved high turnout African-American voters out of Congressional District 18 and placed them in Congressional District 9. In Congressional District 18, according to Plaintiffs, those voters were replaced with what the NAACP characterized as “transient and Hispanic voters who are noted for their low participation in elections.”
The evidence that Plaintiffs present does not support their claim of dilution, present or threatened. Congressional Districts 18 and 30 are effective African-American opportunity districts under Plan 1374C.
The projections of the population changes between 2000 and 2010 by Dr. Richard Murray, expert witness for Plaintiffs Jackson Lee and Johnson, do not alter this conclusion.
As to Congressional District 30, Congresswoman Johnson remained confident that the district would continue to send her to Congress and to elect other African-American candidates of choice.
The record, in short, offers no support for the dilution claim as to Congressional Districts 18 and 30. Rather, the arguments underscore that there is no cohesion between African-American and Latino voters in primary elections, particularly those that pit an African-American candidate against a Latino candidate. Although the congresswomen representing these districts ask this court to create districts that are almost exclusively African-American and to create a separate majority Latino citizen voting age population district in Dallas, there is no Gingles analysis to support this request and the record does not suggest that one could be provided. Plan 1374C does not violate § 2 of the Voting Rights Act.
VIII
For the foregoing reasons, we deny all relief requested by Plaintiffs. Judgment will be entered for Defendants.
. 2003 Texas House Bill 3, 78th Leg., 3d C.S. (Oct. 12, 2003).
. To avoid unnecessary confusion, we will attribute the arguments raised against Plan 1374C to the Plaintiffs as a group. We recognize, of course, that each Plaintiff has brought distinct arguments to the table.
. See Perry v. Del Rio, 67 S.W.3d 85, 91 (Tex. 2001).
. Balderas v. Texas, No. 6:01-CV-158, slip op. (E.D.Tex. Nov. 14, 2002), aff'd mem., 536 U.S. 919, 122 S.Ct. 2583, 153 L.Ed.2d 773 (2002).
. Balderas v. Texas, 536 U.S. 919, 122 S.Ct. 2583, 153 L.Ed.2d 773 (2002).
. 2 U.S.C. § 2c (2003).
. U.S. Const. art. I, § 4.
. U.S. Const. art. I, § 4.
. See, e.g., Smiley v. Holm, 285 U.S. 355, 366-67, 52 S.Ct. 397, 76 L.Ed. 795 (1932).
. Wesberry v. Sanders, 376 U.S. 1, 7-9, 84 S.Ct. 526, 11 L.Ed.2d 481 (1964).
. Id. at 8, 84 S.Ct. 526.
. See 2 U.S.C. § 2a, 2c (2003).
. The recent decision by the Colorado Supreme Court, People ex rel. Salazar v. Davidson, 79 P.3d 1221 (Colo. 2003), rests squarely on state law. That court did not hold that the U.S. Constitution limits states to once-a-decade redistricting.
. See, e.g., Branch v. Smith, 538 U.S. 254, 123 S.Ct. 1429, 1437, 155 L.Ed.2d 407 (2003) (affirming the district court’s imposition of a redistricting plan, but noting that the district court's "alternative holding is not to be regarded ... as binding upon state and federal officials should Mississippi seek in the future to administer a redistricting plan adopted by the Chancery Court”); Upham v. Seamon, 456 U.S. 37, 44, 102 S.Ct. 1518, 71 L.Ed.2d 725 (1982) (observing the parties’ argument "that because the District Court's plan is only an interim plan and is subject to replacement by the legislature in 1983, the injury to appellants, if any, will not be irreparable”); Wise v. Lipscomb, 437 U.S. 535, 540, 98 S.Ct. 2493, 57 L.Ed.2d 411 (1978) ("Legislative bodies should not leave their reapportionment tasks to the federal courts; but when those with legislative responsibilities do not respond, or the imminence of a state election makes it impractical for them to do so, it becomes the 'unwelcome obligation’ of the federal court to devise and impose a reapportionment plan pending later legislative action.” (internal citations omitted)); Connor v. Finch, 431 U.S. 407, 97 S.Ct. 1828, 52 L.Ed.2d 465 (1977) (implicitly assuming that the state legislature could replace a "permanent” plan imposed by a district court); White v. Regester, 422 U.S. 935, 95 S.Ct. 2670, 45 L.Ed.2d 662 (1975) (noting that Texas's legislative plan "does not become effective until the 1976 elections”); Vera v. Bush, 980 F.Supp. 251, 253 (S.D.Tex. 1997) ("Because the legislature has failed to act, this Court is left with the 'unwelcome obligation' of providing a congressional redistricting plan for the 1998 and millennial election cycles pending later legislative action.” (emphasis added)); Vera v. Bush, 933 F.Supp. 1341, 1346, 1353 (S.D.Tex. 1996) ("Bullock and Laney contend that the Texas Legislature is ready and willing to redistrict during its 1997 regular session. Of course, in any event, they will have that opportunity, as this Court's remedy is an interim plan and the Court will require the legislature to prepare its own constitutional redistricting plan next year.”); Terrazas v. Clements, 537 F.Supp. 514 (N.D.Tex. 1982) (implementing a temporary reapportionment plan that would remain "in effect for all elections through December
. 456 U.S. 37, 102 S.Ct. 1518, 71 L.Ed.2d 725 (1982).
. Id. at 44, 102 S.Ct. 1518.
. 538 U.S. 254, 123 S.Ct. 1429, 1437, 155 L.Ed.2d 407 (2003).
. 437 U.S. 535, 540, 98 S.Ct. 2493, 57 L.Ed.2d 411 (1978) (citing Connor v. Finch, 431 U.S. 407, 415, 97 S.Ct. 1828, 52 L.Ed.2d 465 (1977) (emphasis added)).
. U.S. Const. art. I, § 2, cl. 3.
. U.S. Const. art. 1, § 2, cl. 3.
. Plaintiffs' argument depends, to some extent, on the assumption that states are required by the Constitution to draw district lines. This assumption, however, is unfounded. As we noted above, in the early years of this nation, many states did not draw district lines, but rather used statewide at-large districts. Since the Constitution itself does not require a state to draw district lines, it is difficult to see how the Census Clause could limit the states’ power to redistrict.
. 514 U.S. 779, 115 S.Ct. 1842, 131 L.Ed.2d 881 (1995).
. Article I, Section 2, Clause 2 specifies that “[n]o person shall be a Representative who shall not have attained to the Age of twenty five years, and been seven Years a citizen of the United States, and who shall not, when elected, be an Inhabitant of that State in which he shall be chosen.”
. U.S. Term Limits, 514 U.S. at 805, 115 S.Ct. 1842.
. Id.
. Id. at 796, 115 S.Ct. 1842.
. Indeed, because Article I, Section 2 specifies that "the Electors in each State shall have the Qualifications requisite for Electors of the most numerous Branch of the State Legislature,” the failure to give the states power over representatives' qualifications is all the more telling.
. Section 2a reads in pertinent part:
On the first day, or within one week thereafter, of ... each fifth Congress thereafter, the President shall transmit to the Congress a statement showing the whole number of persons in each State ... as ascertained under ... each subsequent decennial census of the population, and the number of Representatives to which each State would be entitled under an apportionment of the then existing number of Representatives by the method known as the method of equal proportions, no State to receive less than one Member.
2 U.S.C. § 2a (2003).
. Section 2c provides in pertinent part:
In each State entitled ... to more than one Representative under an apportionment made pursuant to the provisions of section 2a(a) of this title, there shall be established by law a number of districts equal to the number of Representatives to which such State is so entitled, and Representatives shall be elected only from districts so established, no district to elect more than one Representative ....
2 U.S.C. § 2c (2003).
. Wise v. Lipscomb, 437 U.S. 535, 539-540, 98 S.Ct. 2493, 57 L.Ed.2d 411 (1978); Connor v. Finch, 431 U.S. 407, 415, 97 S.Ct. 1828, 52 L.Ed.2d 465 (1977).
. Branch v. Smith, 538 U.S. 254, 123 S.Ct. 1429, 1435, 155 L.Ed.2d 407 (2003); Growe v. Emison, 507 U.S. 25, 34, 113 S.Ct. 1075, 122 L.Ed.2d 388 (1993).
. Upham v. Seamon, 456 U.S. 37, 39, 102 S.Ct. 1518, 71 L.Ed.2d 725 (1982).
. Id. ("We have never said that the entry of an objection by the Attorney General to any part of a state plan grants a district court the authority to disregard aspects of the legislative plan not objected to by the Attorney General. There may be reasons for rejecting other parts of the State’s proposal, but those reasons must be something other than the limits on the court's remedial actions. Those limits do not come into play until and unless a remedy is required; whether a remedy is required must be determined on the basis of the substantive legal standards applicable to the State's submission.").
. Branch, 123 S.Ct. at 1435.
. To put the argument in slightly different terms, had the Framers intended to deprive states of authority to regulate whenever Congress spoke on the subject, they would surely have phrased the Elections Clause differently. For example, the Framers could have written: "The legislatures of the states may prescribe the time, places and manner of holding elections until Congress does so."
. 2 U.S.C. § 2c (2003).
. Plaintiffs also cite to the Supreme Court's decision in Utah v. Evans, 536 U.S. 452, 461, 122 S.Ct. 2191, 153 L.Ed.2d 453 (2002), presumably in an effort to bolster their linkage argument. Evans, however, does not discuss whether federal law limits the frequency with which a state can redistrict.
. Incidentally, there is no question that Plan 1374C complies with this requirement.
. See supra note 14 and accompanying text.
. To reach this conclusion, Plaintiffs first observe that § 2c is "just as binding" on the courts as it is on state legislatures. Second, when a federal court creates congressional districts under § 2c, it necessarily does so in the manner provided by state law. Finally,
.Initially, the Court used tradition as a lens through which charges of racial gerrymandering are analyzed. Thus, in Easley v. Cromartie, 532 U.S. 234, 121 S.Ct. 1452, 149 L.Ed.2d 430 (2001), the Court reiterated that "that those who claim that a legislature has improperly used race as a criterion, in order, for example, to create a majority-minority district, must show at a minimum that the ‘legislature subordinated traditional race-neutral districting principles ... to racial considerations.’ ” 532 U.S. 234, 241, 121 S.Ct. 1452, 149 L.Ed.2d 430 (2001) (quoting Miller v. Johnson, 515 U.S. 900, 928, 115 S.Ct. 2475, 132 L.Ed.2d 762 (1995)).
. 412 U.S. 783, 93 S.Ct. 2348, 37 L.Ed.2d 335 (1973).
. 538 U.S. 254, 123 S.Ct. 1429, 155 L.Ed.2d 407 (2003).
. White, 412 U.S. at 795, 93 S.Ct. 2348.
. Section 2a(c)(5) requires that representatives shall be elected in at-large elections "[u]ntil a State is redistricted in the manner provided by the law thereof after any apportionment,” whereas § 2c requires states to be divided into single-member districts and prohibits courts from ordering at-large elections. See 2 U.S.C. §§ 2a(c)(5), 2c.
. Branch, 123 S.Ct. at 1444 (citations omitted).
. Technically, the state would be bound to follow whatever districting traditions were in force as of the passage of § 2c.
. As further evidence of Texas's districting "traditions,” Plaintiffs assert that the Texas Constitution bars mid-decade redistricting. We have already rejected the notion that the Texas Legislature is limited by its own traditions; therefore, we need not address this constitutional assertion. However, even if Texas's own traditions did limit the Texas Legislature, Plaintiffs have shown this court nothing in the Texas Constitution that would limit mid-decade redistricting. The State has not questioned this court's authority to enforce state law against the State of Texas. Given our finding that state law is no prohibition to mid-decade redistricting, we have no occasion to face the jurisdictional issue sua sponte.
The Texas Constitution does not explicitly allocate responsibility for drawing congressional districts. Plaintiffs point to this fact and argue that without an affirmative constitutional grant allowing the Legislature to undertake mid-decade redistricting, it may not do so. Plaintiffs' argument fails, however, precisely because the Texas Constitution is altogether silent on the topic of congressional redistricting. That is, not only does it not explicitly give the State Legislature the power to redistrict mid-decade; it does not explicitly give the State Legislature the power to draw congressional districts at all. Yet there is no doubt under Texas law that the State Legislature is in fact empowered to draw congressional district lines. The Texas Supreme Court reached this precise conclusion in Perry v. Del Rio, 67 S.W.3d 85, 91 (Tex. 2001), and numerous other courts have implicitly reached the same conclusion. It is well-established under Texas law that the Texas Legislature may legislate in any area not specifically proscribed by the Texas Constitution. Since the Texas Constitution does not deprive the Legislature of the power to pass congressional redistricting plans mid-decade, the Legislature has the power under Texas law to enact redistricting schemes intradecenially.
Although the Texas Constitution does not explicitly allocate the power to draw congressional districts, Article III, § 28 does address redistricting for state legislative districts. It requires the Texas Legislature to draw state representative and senatorial districts at its first regular session after the publication of the decennial census. If the Legislature fails to do so, § 28 confers the responsibility on a special body, the Legislative Redistricting Board.
Section 28 is generally thought to apply only to state legislative redistricting, but Plaintiffs assert that it applies to congressional redistricting as well, by analogy if not directly. Plaintiffs argue that § 28 prevents the Legislature from redrawing district lines mid-decade. For support, they point to a provision in the Texas Constitution of 1876 that limits the Texas Legislature to once-a-decade redistricting. While this provision was re
The difficulty is that Plaintiffs ask us to do more than just apply Article III, § 28. They ask that we restore a provision removed over 100 years ago, apply it beyond its plain text to congressional redistricting, and strike down in the name of state law the first redistricting plan passed by the State Legislature since 1991. We are aware of no Texas case that has ever directly held that Article III, § 28 applies in full to congressional redistricting; all Texas decisions of which we are aware have assumed that § 28 does not control. And the Texas Attorney General Opinion Letters that Plaintiffs cite to bolster their argument also do not opine that Article III, § 28 applies in full to congressional redistricting. The letters address the State's duties under Article III, § 28 without addressing the Legislature's power to draw congressional districts.
. Winters v. Diamond Shamrock Chem. Co., 149 F.3d 387, 391 (5th Cir. 1998).
. 426 U.S. 229, 96 S.Ct. 2040, 48 L.Ed.2d 597 (1976).
. Id. at 239, 96 S.Ct. 2040.
. Id.
. 429 U.S. 252, 97 S.Ct. 555, 50 L.Ed.2d 450 (1977).
. Id. at 265-66, 97 S.Ct. 555.
. 442 U.S. 256, 99 S.Ct. 2282, 60 L.Ed.2d 870 (1979).
. Id. at 278-79, 99 S.Ct. 2282 (internal citations omitted); Justice Stewart went on to explain that the impact was relevant as in Arlington Heights. Id. at 279 n. 24, 99 S.Ct. 2282 (“Proof of discriminatory intent must necessarily usually rely on objective factors, several of which were outlined in Arlington Heights v. Metropolitan Housing Dev. Corp. The inquiry is practical. What a legislature or any official entity is 'up to’ may be plain from the results its actions achieve, or the results they avoid. Often it is made clear from what has been called, in a different context, 'the give and take of the situation.’ ’’ (citations omitted)).
. Miller v. Johnson, 515 U.S. 900, 934, 115 S.Ct. 2475, 132 L.Ed.2d 762 (1995) (Ginsburg, J., dissenting) (internal citations omitted).
. See Balderas v. Texas, No. 6:01-CV-158, slip op. (E.D.Tex. Nov. 14, 2002), aff’d mem., 536 U.S. 919, 122 S.Ct. 2583, 153 L.Ed.2d 773 (2002).
. See Balderas v. Texas, No. 6:01-CV-158, slip op. (E.D.Tex. Nov. 28, 2001), available at 2001 WL 34104833; Balderas v. Texas, No. 6:01-CV-158, slip op. (E.D.Tex. Nov. 28, 2001), available at 2001 WL 34104836.
. See, e.g., Tr. 12/11 PM (Lichtman), at 67-68; Jackson Pls.' Exs. 1, 10, 12-13, and 15.
. Tr. 12/18 AM (Davis), at 77. State Representative Phil King, the bill sponsor for redistricting on the House side, added: "my job was to get eight votes aye on the redistricting committee then 76 on the Floor and then six in the conference committee. And Kent Gru-sendorf had said that he — that he would not support any plan — he was on the redistricting committee — that did not keep the City of Arlington whole. He said Arlington always gets split up. He wanted it whole.” Tr. 12/18 PM (King), at 135-36.
. Tr. 12/18 AM (Davis), at 78. Representative King reinforced Davis’s testimony, stating: "I had also been directed by the Speaker of the House — Glenn Lewis, was the first Democrat and the first minority member to come out supporting him publicly for Speaker. And Glenn Lewis had asked the Speaker that his District not be divided up, but remain intact within a Congressional District, nonspecific as to which District, although he made it clear his preference was that it stay in a Martin Frost District. So I was directed by the Speaker of the House to under no circumstances split up Glenn Lewis’s House seat, which is 95.” Tr. 12/18 PM (King), at 136.
. Tr. 12/18 AM (Davis), at 79.
. Id. at 79: 19-24.
. Id. at 80: 2-9. Representative King testified to the same political result: "[W]hat we did in Tarrant County, the only way we could do that is basically took Stop Six Poly and Handley and Meadowbrook area and all of that and moved it up into north and tied it in with the Denton County area. And those — we tried to, the best we could, maintain the city limit lines for Ft. Worth and for Arlington in that measure. And generally, you had that level of polities going on in every county, particularly the metropolitan ones throughout the State.” Tr. 12/18 PM (King), at 137.
. Tr. 12/15 AM (Alford), at 109.
. Tr. 12/15 AM (Ratliff), at 35.
. Miller v. Johnson, 515 U.S. 900, 934, 115 S.Ct. 2475, 132 L.Ed.2d 762 (1995) (Ginsburg, J., dissenting).
. The Appellants in Vieth v. Jubelirer note the problems resulting from litigants turning to race-based claims when they have no chance of proving a Bandemer claim: "[W]ith no prospect of prevailing on a forthright claim of partisan gerrymandering under the lower courts’ interpretation of Bandemer, aggrieved partisans instead often allege racial gerrymandering or minority vote dilution in violation of the Voting Rights Act. The incentive to couch partisan disputes in racial terms bleeds
. 478 U.S. 109, 106 S.Ct. 2797, 92 L.Ed.2d 85 (1986).
. Id. at 173, 106 S.Ct. 2797 (Powell, J., concurring in part and dissenting in part).
. Professor Samuel Issacharoff has explored this idea in a recent article. See Samuel Issacharoff, Gerrymandering and Political Cartels, 116 Harv. L. Rev. 593 (2002).
. 42 U.S.C. § 1973.
. Thornburg v. Gingles, 478 U.S. 30, 50-51, 106 S.Ct. 2752, 92 L.Ed.2d 25 (1986). To aid courts in investigating a plaintiff's § 2 claim, the Gingles Court identified other factors that may, in "the totality of the circumstances,” support a claim of racial vote dilution. De
1. the extent of any history of official discrimination in the state or political subdivision that touched the right of the members of the minority group to register, to vote, or otherwise to participate in the democratic process;
2. the extent to which voting in the elections of the state or political subdivision is racially polarized;
3. the extent to which the state or political subdivision has used unusually large election districts, majority vote requirements, anti-single shot provisions, or other voting practices or procedures that may enhance the opportunity for discrimination against the minority group;
4. if there is a candidate slating process, whether the members of the minority group have been denied access to that process;
5. the extent to which members of the minority group in the state or political subdivision bear the effects of discrimination in such areas as education, employment and health, which hinder their ability to participate effectively in the political process;
6. whether political campaigns have been characterized by overt or subtle racial appeals; and
7. the extent to which members of the minority group have been elected to public office in the jurisdiction.
Additional factors that may be probative of vote dilution in some cases are:
8. whether there is a significant lack of responsiveness on the part of elected officials to the particularized needs of the members of the minority group; and
9. whether the policy underlying the state or political subdivision’s use of such voting qualification, prerequisite to voting, or standard, practice or procedure is tenuous.
Id. at 37, 106 S.Ct. 2752 (quoting S.Rep. No. 97-417, 97th Cong., 2nd Sess., at 28-29 (1982), reprinted in U.S.Code Cong. & Admin.News 1982, at 206-07).
. See Metts v. Murphy, 2003 WL 22434637 (1st Cir. 2003). We note, however, that the First Circuit elected to take Metts en banc and issued an order expressly withdrawing and vacating the panel decision. See Metts v. Murphy, No. 02-2204 (1st Cir. Dec. 3, 2003) (order granting petition for rehearing en banc).
. See, e.g., Valdespino v. Alamo Heights Ind. School Dist., 168 F.3d 848, 852-53 (5th Cir. 1999), cert. denied, 528 U.S. 1114, 120 S.Ct. 931, 145 L.Ed.2d 811 (2000); Cousin v. Sundquist, 145 F.3d 818, 827-29 (6th Cir. 1998); Colleton County Council v. McConnell, 201 F.Supp.2d 618, 643 (D.S.C. 2002).
. 512 U.S. 997, 114 S.Ct. 2647, 129 L.Ed.2d 775 (1994).
. Id. at 1015-16, 114 S.Ct. 2647.
. Id. at 1018-19, 1023-24, 114 S.Ct. 2647; see also, Barnett v. City of Chicago, 141 F.3d 699, 705 (7th Cir. 1998); J. Gerald Hebert, Redistricting in the Post-2000 Era, 8 Geo Mason L. Rev. 431 (2000) ("As a practical matter, ... one factor is particularly important: the proportionality,’ or lack thereof, between the number of minority-controlled districts and the minority's share of the state's relevant population.”).
. A redistricting plan may, of course, achieve proportionality and yet violate § 2. See, e.g., Rural West Tennessee African-American Affairs Council v. Sundquist, 209 F.3d 835 (6th Cir. 2000); Harvell v. Blytheville Sch. Dist. No. 5, 126 F.3d 1038 (8th Cir. 1997); Harvell v. Blytheville Sch. Dist. No. 5, 71 F.3d 1382 (8th Cir. 1995); Little Rock Sch. Dist. v. Pulaski County Special Sch. Dist., # 1, 56 F.3d 904 (8th Cir. 1995); Barnett v. Daley, 32 F.3d 1196 (7th Cir. 1994).
. De Grandy, 512 U.S. at 1020, 114 S.Ct. 2647.
. 509 U.S. 630, 113 S.Ct. 2816, 125 L.Ed.2d 511 (1993).
. 517 U.S. 899, 116 S.Ct. 1894, 135 L.Ed.2d 207 (1996).
. Id. at 917, 116 S.Ct. 1894.
. De Grandy, 512 U.S. at 1019, 114 S.Ct. 2647.
. Valdespino v. Alamo Heights Ind. Sch. Dist., 168 F.3d 848, 852-53 (5th Cir. 1999), cert. denied, 528 U.S. 1114, 120 S.Ct. 931, 145 L.Ed.2d 811 (2000).
. 876 F.2d 448, 453 (5th Cir. 1989).
. See Post-Trial Brief of Jackson Plaintiffs, at 39 (conceding that “African-American and Hispanics in the Metroplex are not consistently ‘jointly’ cohesive in Democratic primaries’’). Furthermore, even assuming that Blacks and Hispanics vote cohesively, Plaintiffs have failed to meet their burden to disprove partisanship as the driving force behind the bloc voting. See LULAC v. Clements, 999 F.2d 831, 850 (1993) (enbanc).
. Gingles, 478 U.S. at 51 n. 17, 106 S.Ct. 2752.
. — U.S. —, 123 S.Ct. 2498, 156 L.Ed.2d 428 (2003).
. The parties assign various names to these districts, but we will follow the Supreme Court's taxonomy.
. Ashcroft, — U.S. at —, 123 S.Ct. at 2511.
. Id. at —, 123 S.Ct. at 2512 (quoting De Grandy, 512 U.S. at 1020, 114 S.Ct. 2647).
. Id.
. Id.
. Id. at —-—, 123 S.Ct. at 2507-08. The districts reduced the minority populations from 60.58%, 55.43%, and 62.45% to 50.31%, 50.66%, and 50.80%, respectively.
. Id. at —, 123 S.Ct. at 2511.
. Id. at —, 123 S.Ct. at 2512.
. Id. at —, 123 S.Ct. at 2513.
. Gingles, 478 U.S. at 50, 106 S.Ct. 2752.
. See Post-Trial Brief of Jackson Plaintiffs, at 5 n. 3.
. See Uno v. City of Holyoke, 72 F.3d 973, 979 n. 2 (1st Cir. 1995); Rural West Tenn. African-Am. Affairs Council, Inc. v. McWherter, 877 F.Supp. 1096, 1101 (W.D.Tenn. 1995).
. Parker v. Ohio, 263 F.Supp.2d 1100, 1104 (S.D.Ohio) (three-judge panel), aff'd, — U.S. —, 124 S.Ct. 574, 157 L.Ed.2d 426 (2003).
. Ashcroft, — U.S. at —, 123 S.Ct. at 2512 (internal citations omitted).
. Michael Barone, The Almanac of American Politics 2004, at 1580 (Nat'l Journal Group 2003).
. Id. at 1581.
. Id. at 1448 ("The plan carefully constructs democratic districts with incredibly convoluted lines and packs heavily Republican suburban areas into just a few districts.”).
. Tr. 12/17 PM (Johnson), at 154-155, 161, 164-165.
. Barone, supra note 105, at 1508.
. Id. at 1510.
. 165 F.3d 368 (5th Cir. 1999), cert. denied, 528 U.S. 1114, 120 S.Ct. 930, 145 L.Ed.2d 810 (2000).
. 168 F.3d 848 (5th Cir. 1999), cert. denied, 528 U.S. 1114, 120 S.Ct. 931, 145 L.Ed.2d 811 (2000).
. 2003 WL 22434637 (1st Cir. 2003), vacated and reh’g en banc granted, No. 02-2204 (1st Cir. Dec. 3, 2003).
. Dr. Keith Gaddie credibly testified that Plaintiffs' view of influence districts “would lock in a majority of seats for the party getting the minority of the vote.” Deposition of Keith Gaddie, November 22, 2003, at 101. Further, he testified that it was not protected under § 2 and that it was not possible to draw a second, sufficiently compact majority-minority district in Dallas. Id. at 75 ("[District 24] is not going to meet the first prong of the Gingles criteria.... It is not a district in which you have one minority group which can constitute a majority of the population. It’s not a district where that minority group controls primary and the general election. It's not possible to draw a second sufficiently compact majority district in Dallas if you draw District 30.”). Accordingly, if § 2 protection is afforded to old District 24 despite the absence of the Gingles factors, the Voting Rights Act begins to protect political affiliation and not race. If the Voting Rights Act protects a district where coalitions are required to elect a candidate of choice—
you're on a slippery slope to essentially saying, “Well, if it’s a Democratic district, you can't re-draw it.” And intellectually, that to me is troubling because it sets up a*484 circumstance where one party has its constituency protected under the Voting Rights Act and ... the other party doesn’t have any protections at all.
Id. at 100. Protecting districts that are defined and controlled by political coalition and not race would infringe on the clear right of the state to choose its method of compliance with the Voting Rights Act. If there is no obligation to create an influence district, there is no obligation to retain one.
. See Abrams v. Johnson, 521 U.S. 74, 92, 117 S.Ct. 1925, 138 L.Ed.2d 285 (1997).
. See supra note 108. District 24 adjoins Johnson’s District 30, a Gingles-mandated district, meaning it exists because Anglos vote as a block to defeat Black preferences.
. The record, we should note, is largely bereft of evidence that Hispanics and Blacks vote cohesively as a group in these districts. We therefore echo our conclusion on District 24 and find that Plaintiffs have failed to prove that the Latino and Black communities in Districts 1, 2, 4, 9, 10, and 11 function as a cohesive voting bloc.
. The map reveals that Hudspeth County, next to El Paso County, includes 3,344 people; Culberson County and Jeff Davis County directly to the east contain 2,975 and 2,207 people, respectively. Presidio County to the southeast is the only county between El Paso and Maverick Counties with an excess of 50% or more Hispanic voting age population, and it has only 7,304 people. The vast area between Presidio and Maverick Counties includes Brewster County, with 8,866 people; Terrell County, with 1,081 people; Val Verde County, with 44,856 people; and Kinney County, with 3,379 people.
. Many of the counties north of Hidalgo County (569,463) and Cameron County (335,-227) in the Rio Grande Valley are thinly populated. They include Jim Hogg County, northwest of Hidalgo County (5,281); McMullen County (851); Kenedy County (414); Live Oak County (12,309); and Goliad County (6,928).
. Congressional District 23 in Plan 1151C was made up of 24 counties; in Plan 1374C, it included 25 counties. Congressional District 28 included 11 counties in both Plan 1151C and Plan 1374C. New Congressional District 25 in Plan 1374C comprised 9 counties. Congressional District 15 in Plan 1151C included 8 counties; in Plan 1374C, Congressional District 15 included 13 counties. Congressional District 27 in Plan 1151C included 5 counties; in Plan 1374C, it included 6 counties.
. 509 U.S. 630, 113 S.Ct. 2816, 125 L.Ed.2d 511 (1993).
. 512 U.S. 997, 114 S.Ct. 2647, 129 L.Ed.2d 775 (1994).
. Id. at 1012-13, 114 S.Ct. 2647.
. There is an obvious difference between the roles of the Balderas court and this court. The Balderas court had the remedial task of crafting a congressional redistricting plan according to neutral factors because the Legislature had failed to implement a plan following the 2000 census. This court, by contrast, must carefully and thoroughly examine the legislative redistricting plan to determine whether the Legislature used factors and reached results that violate federal law. This court is "barred from intervening in state apportionment in the absence of a violation of federal law precisely because it is the domain of the States, and not the federal courts, to conduct apportionment in the first place. Time and again [the Supreme Court has] emphasized that 'reapportionment is primarily dle duty and responsibility of the State through its legislature or other body, rather than [that] of a federal court.’ ” Voinovich v. Quilter, 507 U.S. 146, 156, 113 S.Ct. 1149, 122 L.Ed.2d 500 (1993) (quoting Growe v. Emison, 507 U.S. 25, 34, 113 S.Ct. 1075, 122 L.Ed.2d 388 (1993)). "Because the 'States do not derive their reapportionment authority from the Voting Rights Act, but rather from independent provisions of state and federal law,'... the federal courts are bound to respect the States' apportionment choices unless those choices contravene federal requirements.” Id. The difference in the roles played by the Balderas court and this court does not lead to a difference in outcome as to the issue of an additional Hispanic majority citizen voting age population district in South and West Texas.
.In the demonstration plan, 1385C, Congressional District 23 is almost bisected by Congressional District 25, which surrounds the intruding district on three sides. Congressional District
Perimeter to Area Smallest Circle
Congressional District 1374c 1385c 1374c 1385c
15 11.6 8.8 6.5 5.4
16 3.8 4.1 2.9 4.6
20 7.3 5.8 3.0 2.7
23 5.1 9.4 3.8 4.5
25 9.6 5.9 8.5 2.8
27 5.1 3.4 3.1 3.1
28 5.7 10.0 5.0 6.0
. The State provides an analysis, as follows:
1374C Districts Total CVAP Percent Hispanic
15 379,368 58.5%
16 359,793 69.9%
20 419,668 60.8%
23 407,130 45.8%
25 358,683 55.0%
27 398,328 60.4%
*493 28_404,341_56.2%
TOTAL_2,727,311_57.94%
(State's Post-Trial Br. at 62).
. De Grandy, 512 U.S. at 1014 n. 11, 114 S.Ct. 2647. "Proportionality” in this sense is only one factor to be considered in assessing the totality of circumstances to determine if unlawful vote dilution has created an "unequal political and electoral opportunity” for a protected class. Id. at 1022, 114 S.Ct. 2647. Just as the Supreme Court in De Grandy made clear that "proportionality” of opportunity cannot be a "safe harbor” precluding § 2 liability, which turns on total circumstances, id. at 1017-22, 114 S.Ct. 2647, so, too, a showing of lack of proportionality is but one factor in the total circumstances analysis. The Supreme Court has made clear that "the degree of probative value assigned to proportionality may vary with other facts. No single statistic provides courts with a shortcut to determine whether a set of single-member districts unlawfully dilutes minority voting strength.” Id. at 1020-21, 114 S.Ct. 2647.
. Id. at 1014 n. 11., 114 S.Ct. 2647
. Id. at 1022, 114 S.Ct. 2647.
. See Jackson Pls.’ Ex. 64.
. See, e.g., Old Person v. Brown, 312 F.3d 1036, 1047-49 (9th Cir. 2002) (emphasizing that the same frame of reference should be used for analyzing proportionality and the Gingles factors); Rural W. Tenn. African-Am. Affairs Council v. Sundquist, 209 F.3d 835, 840-41 (6th Cir. 2000) (using the same six-county frame of reference to examine proportionality and the Gingles factors); Solomon v. Liberty County Comm’rs, 221 F.3d 1218, 1220 (11th Cir. 2000) (using the same county as a frame of reference in analyzing all factors); African-Am. Voting Rights Legal Def. Fund, Inc. v. Villa, 54 F.3d 1345, 1354-55 (8th Cir. 1995) (using all 28 wards of the city of St. Louis as the frame of reference for analyzing both proportionality and the Gingles preconditions).
. 512 U.S. at 1023, 114 S.Ct. 2647.
. Id. at 1024, 114 S.Ct. 2647. This circuit, along with every other circuit to consider the question, has concluded that the relevant voting population for Hispanics is citizen voting age population. See Valdespino v. Alamo Heights Indep. Sch. Dist., 168 F.3d 848, 853 (5th Cir. 1999); Perez v. Pasadena Indep. Sch. Dist., 165 F.3d 368, 372 (5th Cir. 1999); Campos v. City of Houston, 113 F.3d 544, 548 (5th Cir. 1997) (courts "must consider the citizen voting-age population of the group challenging the electoral practice when determining whether the minority group is sufficiently large and geographically compact to constitute a majority”); Barnett v. City of Chicago, 141 F.3d 699, 704 (7th Cir. 1998) (“We think that citizen voting-age population is the basis for determining equality of voting power that best comports with the policy of [§ 2].”).
. Dr. Jerry Polinard, a political scientist testifying for the Valdez-Cox Intervenors, testified that there is "no magic number" as to the level of Spanish-surname voter registration required in order for Hispanics to effectively nominate and elect their candidates of choice, but he noted that "you become comfortable with opportunity districts once you break into those 60%-plus ranges.” (Tr. File 8 at 50-51). Dr. Allan J. Lichtman, an expert retained by the Jackson Plaintiffs, testified that reductions in Hispanic citizen voting age population, even to a point where Hispanics still constitute a majority of the electorate, along with low Hispanic voter turnout, can move a district toward "the danger zone” in terms of Latino voting opportunity. (Tr. File 1 at 156-57). Congressman Charlie Gonzalez testified that, “If you just go with population figures ... [t]hat really doesn't translate to having an effective voice or ability to elect someone of your choice” because the more pertinent indicator is the percentage of Hispanic citizens of voting age who register to vote and actually turn out on election day, which results in far less effectiveness. (Tr. File 1 at 118-19). Congressman Rubén Hino-josa testified that "along the Texas border region from Brownsville to McAllen to Laredo to El Paso ... in order to win an election, you need to have about 57, 58% or higher Hispanic voter age population because of the low turnout.” (Tr. File 4 at 48).
. Dr. Keith Gaddie, a political science expert retained by the State, testified in his deposition that in Congressional District 15 under Plan 1374C, Latinos would control the primary elections but, if turnout was low, might not unilaterally control the outcome of general elections, although Latino candidates of choice would generally be elected. (See Gaddie Dep., Jackson Pls.' Ex. 140 at 46-47; Gaddie Report, Jackson Pls.' Ex. 141 at 8). Dr. Gaddie submitted regression data showing that in Congressional District 15, in seven primary or runoff elections, all the Latino candidates of choice would be successful, and five out of six Latino candidates of choice would win in the general elections. (Gaddie Report, Jackson Pls.' Ex. 141 at 7-8). Dr. Lichtman concluded that the turnout of Latino voters in the general election decreased from a mean of 52% under Plan 1151C to a mean of 38% under Plan 1374C, but testified that Congressional District 15 remains a minority opportunity district rather than an influence district. (Lichtman Report, Jackson Pls.' Ex. 1 at 69; Tr. File 1 at 156, 166-67). Dr. Richard Engstrom, an expert retained by the GI Forum Plaintiffs, testified that in Congressional District 15 under Plan 1374C, there was no racially contested election that he examined in which the Latino-preferred candidate lost and that the reduction in Latino turnout in the general election did not make Congressional District 15 ineffective as a Latino opportunity district. (Tr. File 7 at 53, 64-65; see Table 3 of Addendum to Eng-strom Report, GI Forum’s Ex. 130).
. The GI Forum provided an analysis, as follows:
_1385C_1374C_
Congressional district_HVAP_HCVAP_HVAP_HCVAP
15_68/7_63/7_6A0_58.5
16_72/7_67/7_74J5_69.9
20_607_57/5_606_60.8
23_605_509_509_45.8
25_608_504_604_55.0
27_605_59/5_642_60.4
28_543_503_601_56.2
(GI Forum's Post-Trial Br. at 14).
. GI Forum’s Post-Trial Br. at 15.
. Table 3 of Addendum to Engstrom Report, GI Forum’s Ex. 130.
. Gaddie Report, Jackson Pls.’ Ex. 141 at 9-10.
. 512 U.S. at 1015-16, 114 S.Ct. 2647. The Court noted in De Grandy that findings that certain lines were drawn to separate portions of Hispanic neighborhoods, while others drew several Hispanic neighborhoods into a single district, in themselves, “would be to say only that lines could have been drawn elsewhere, nothing more.” Id.
. See, e.g., Voinovich, 507 U.S. at 153, 113 S.Ct. 1149.
. 517 U.S. 899, 116 S.Ct 1894, 135 L.Ed.2d 207 (1996).
. Id. at 917, 116 S.Ct 1894.
. Id.
. This case reflects what commentators have recognized as a tension in the cases under § 2 between recognizing the individual right to an undiluted vote and the fact that dilution can be determined and remedied only by addressing the aggregate treatment of group members. See generally Heather K. Gerken, Understanding the Right to an Undiluted Vote, 114 Harv. L. Rev. 1663 (2001).
. Indeed, in arguing for an additional Latino majority citizen voting age population district, the GI Forum Plaintiffs emphasize that the Gingles criteria are met throughout the South and West Texas area.
. See Bush v. Vera, 517 U.S. 952, 978, 116 S.Ct. 1941, 135 L.Ed.2d 248 ("the States retain a flexibility that federal courts enforcing § 2 lack ... insofar as deference is due to their reasonable fears of, and to their reasonable efforts to avoid, § 2 liability”); see also Lawyer v. Dep’t of Justice, 521 U.S. 567, 575-77, 117 S.Ct. 2186, 138 L.Ed.2d 669 (1997).
. 517 U.S. at 917 n. 9, 116 S.Ct. 1894; cf. Georgia v. Ashcroft, — U.S. —, —, 123 S.Ct. 2498, 2511, 156 L.Ed.2d 428 (2003) (under § 5, a state may choose to create a certain number of effective majority-minority districts or a greater number of minority influence districts).
. De Grandy, 512 U.S. at 1011, 114 S.Ct. 2647.
. Table 3 of Engstrom Report, GI Forum’s Ex. 89; Table 3 of Addendum to Engstrom Report, GI Forum’s Ex. 130; Attachments to Gaddie Report, State’s Ex. 31.
.
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(GI Forum's Post-Trial Br. at 15).
.The one Hispanic-preferred candidate loss occurred when 37% of the Hispanic voters supported a Hispanic Republican over an Anglo Democrat. (Gaddie Report, Jackson Pls.' Ex. 141 at 8).
. Id. at 10.
. Id. at 11.
. Id.
. Tr. File 1 at 157 167-68.
. Id. at 151-52.
. Id. at 153.
. Gaddie Report, Jackson Pls.’ Ex. 141 at 8.
. Lichtman Test., Tr. File 1 at 167; Engstrom Test., Tr. File 7 at 64-65.
. Tr. File 8 at 53-54, 64.
. Gaddie Report, Jackson Pls.' Ex. 141 at Table 3.
. Id. at 11.
. Tr. File 1 at 166-67.
. Tr. File 7 at 53-54. Again, Dr. Polinard disagreed, testifying that Congressional District 27 was weakened as compared to Plan 1151C to the point of becoming an influence district. (Tr. File 8 at 48-49).
. Gaddie Report, Jackson Pls.' Ex. 141 at Table 3.
. See, e.g., Gonzalez Test., Tr. File 1 at 123-24; Hinojosa Test., File 4 at 53; Richard Raymond Test., Tr. File 6 at 85-86; Aaron Peña Test., Tr. File 6 at 168.
. These concerns also bear on Plaintiffs’ Shaw claim that the map drawers subordinated traditional districting concerns, such as compactness and respecting communities of interest, to the goal of collecting enough Latinos to achieve a majority of citizen voting age population in the districts. See Part VI.D.
. As De Grandy makes clear, the ultimate conclusions about equality of opportunity are to be based on a comprehensive examination of the relevant facts. 512 U.S. at 1011, 114 S.Ct. 2647; see also Harvell v. Blytheville Sch. Dist. No. 5, 71 F.3d 1382, 1390-91 (8th Cir. 1995).
. See, e.g., Hinojosa Test., File 4 at 48 — 53; Peña Test., Tr. File 6 at 167.
. See, e.g., Lichtman Test., Tr. File 1 at 166-67; Engstrom Test., Tr. File 7 at 53-54; Gaddie Report, Jackson Pls.’ Ex. 141 at 11.
. See, e.g., Lichtman Test., Tr. File 1 at 151-53; Peña Test., Tr. File 6 at 168-69; Polinard Test., Tr. File 8 at 57-58.
. See De Grandy, 512 U.S. at 1014 n. 11, 114 S.Ct. 2647; Lewis v. Alamance County, N.C., 99 F.3d 600, 607 (4th Cir. 1996).
. See, e.g., Peña Test., Tr. File 6 at 169-72; Polinard Test., Tr. File 8 at 63-65; Ron Kirk Test., Tr. File 4 at 23-24; Gaddie Report, Jackson Pls.' Ex. 141 at 8, 10.
. See Lichtman Test., Tr. File 1 at 166-67; Engstrom Test., Tr. File 7 at 54; Gaddie Report, Jackson Pls.’ Ex. 141 at 11.
. See De Grandy, 512 U.S. at 1014 n. 11, 114 S.Ct. 2647 ("[T]he ultimate right of § 2 is equality of opportunity, not a guarantee of electoral success for minority-preferred candidates of whatever race.”); Gingles, 478 U.S. at 47, 106 S.Ct. 2752 ("The essence of a § 2 claim is that a certain electoral law, practice, or structure interacts with social and historical conditions to cause an inequality in the opportunities enjoyed by black and white voters to elect their preferred representatives.”) (emphasis added); Sanchez v. State of Colorado, 97 F.3d 1303, 1310 (10th Cir. 1996) ("The lack of electoral opportunity is the key.”); Uno v. City of Holyoke, 72 F.3d 973, 979 (1st Cir. 1995) ("While the statutory scheme does not provide an assurance of success at the polls for minority candidates, it does provide an assurance of fairness.”) (citations omitted).
. 478 U.S. at 99, 106 S.Ct. 2752.
. 507 U.S. at 40-41, 113 S.Ct. 1075; see also Harvell, 71 F.3d at 1393; Johnson v. Mortham, 926 F.Supp. 1460, 1473 (N.D.Fla. 1996).
. 512 U.S. at 1019, 114 S.Ct. 2647.
. 515 U.S. 900, 115 S.Ct. 2475, 132 L.Ed.2d 762 (1995).
. Id. at 916, 115 S.Ct. 2475.
. Id.
. 517 U.S. 952, 116 S.Ct. 1941, 135 L.Ed.2d 248 (1996).
. Id. at 993, 116 S.Ct. 1941 (O'Connor, J., concurring).
. Miller, 515 U.S. at 916, 115 S.Ct. 2475; Shaw I, 509 U.S. at 646, 113 S.Ct. 2816.
. Id.; Shaw II, 517 U.S. at 907, 116 S.Ct. 1894 (race is predominate when it is “the criterion that, in the State’s view, [can] not be compromised”).
. Shaw I, 509 U.S. at 646, 113 S.Ct. 2816; Bush, 517 U.S. at 962, 116 S.Ct. 1941.
. See Bush, 517 U.S. at 958-59, 116 S.Ct. 1941; Miller, 515 U.S. at 916, 115 S.Ct. 2475.
. Easley v. Cromartie, 532 U.S. 234, 241, 121 S.Ct. 1452, 149 L.Ed.2d 430 (2001); Miller, 515 U.S. at 928, 115 S.Ct. 2475 (O'Connor, J., concurring); see Cano v. Davis, 211 F.Supp.2d 1208, 1215 (C.D.Cal. 2002) ("All of the racial gerrymandering cases emphasize that a plaintiff bringing such a claim faces an extraordinarily high burden.”).
. 515 U.S. at 928-29, 115 S.Ct. 2475 (O’Connor, J., concurring).
. See Bush, 517 U.S. at 959, 116 S.Ct. 1941; Miller, 515 U.S. at 916-19, 115 S.Ct. 2475; Shaw I, 509 U.S. at 647, 113 S.Ct. 2816.
. See Richard H. Pildes & Richard G. Niemi, Expressive Harms, “Bizarre Districts,” and Voting Rights: Evaluating Election-District Appearances After Shaw v. Reno, 92 Mich. L. Rev. 483 (1993), cited in Shaw II, 517 U.S. at 923, 931, 116 S.Ct. 1894.
. Tr. File 6 at 25.
. Shaw I, 509 U.S. at 642, 113 S.Ct. 2816; Hunt v. Cromartie, 526 U.S. 541, 548 n. 3, 119 S.Ct. 1545, 143 L.Ed.2d 731 (1999).
. See Miller, 515 U.S. at 917, 115 S.Ct. 2475 ("Although by comparison with other districts the geometric shape of the Eleventh District may not seem bizarre on its face, when its shape is considered in conjunction with its racial and population densities, the story of racial gerrymandering ... becomes much clearer.”).
. Indeed, Dr. Alford conceded that Texas has not valued compactness during the period in which Texas has engaged in districting. Tr. File 6 at 21.
. Barone, supra note 105, at 1548, 1557, 1576.
. Cf. Theriot v. Parish of Jefferson, 185 F.3d 477, 487-88 (5th Cir. 1999) (rejecting a claim of racial gerrymandering where one-man-one-vote considerations and the district’s geography substantially limited the ability of map drawers to adhere to compactness standards).
. See Jackson Pls.' Ex. 59-63.
. See Jackson Pls.' Ex. 1 at 57.
. The GI Forum Plaintiffs presented Dr. Morgan Kousser, a political scientist, as an expert witness on determining legislative intent to discriminate in a redistricting plan. Dr. Kousser criticized the Legislature for "tak[ing] a correlation between voting and race that's true in Texas now ... and freezing] it in place .... It would be possible, had the redistricting chosen other means, that in some future redistricting partisanship and race would not be so highly correlated and that you could attain a partisan end without using racial means. But the Republicans chose to do it in a different way, a way that only achieves the partisan end by using the racial means. And my conclusion is that they chose that on purpose and that was a racially discriminatory intent.” (Tr. File 7 at 118-19). Dr. Kousser’s conclusion of discrimination is not supported by the cux'rent case law, which recognizes that a partisan goal is permissible and that where, as here, there is a strong correlation between race or ethnicity and party, drawing district lines along political lines that may coincide with racial or ethnic lines does not evidence intentional racial discrimination. See Hunt, 526 U.S. at 551-52, 119 S.Ct. 1545. Dr. Kousser’s criticism of the State's choice to create a "safe” Hispanic majority district in Congressional District 25 rather than allow Congressional District 23 to continue as an evolving Hispanic influence district is a criticism of the wisdom of the Legislature’s redistricting approach, rather than its legality. As the Supreme Court recently stated in Georgia v. Ashcroft, "[A] State may choose to create a certain number of 'safe' districts, in which it is highly likely that minority voters will be able to elect the candidate of their choice.... Alternatively, a State may choose to create a greater number of districts in which it is likely — although perhaps not quite as likely as under the benchmark plan — that minority voters will be able
. Miller, 515 U.S. at 915-16, 115 S.Ct. 2475.
. Bush, 517 U.S. at 967, 116 S.Ct. 1941; Karcher v. Daggett, 462 U.S. 725, 740, 103 S.Ct. 2653, 77 L.Ed.2d 133 (1983) (recognizing incumbency protection as a legitimate state goal in reapportionment).
. 185 F.3d 477 (5th Cir. 1999).
. Id. at 486.
. See Easley, 532 U.S. at 242, 121 S.Ct. 1452 ("Caution is especially appropriate ... where the State has articulated a legitimate political explanation for its districting decision, and the voting population is one in which race and political affiliation are highly correlated.”).
. Hunt, 526 U.S. at 551, 119 S.Ct. 1545; see id. at 551-52, 119 S.Ct. 1545 ("Evidence . that blacks constitute even a supermajority in one congressional district while amounting to less than a plurality in a neighboring district will not, by itself, suffice to prove that a jurisdiction was motivated by race in drawing its district lines when the evidence also shows a high correlation -between race and party preference.”); Bush, 517 U.S. at 968, 116 S.Ct. 1941 (finding that district lines that correlate with race because they are drawn on the basis of a political affiliation that correlates with race do not amount to a racial classification); see also Shaw II, 517 U.S. at 905, 116 S.Ct. 1894; Miller, 515 U.S. at 916, 115 S.Ct. 2475; Shawl, 509 U.S. at 646, 113 S.Ct. 2816.
. Davis Test., Tr. File 11 at 85.
. Id. at 81 (explaining that Plan 1374C splits Comal County along a city council district line).
. Id. at 90-91.
. Id. at 89.
. In all, Plan 1374C split 122 cities and 14 Census Designated Places. By comparison, Plan 1151C split 132 cities and 15 Census Designated Places.
. Cf. Theriot, 185 F.3d at 485-86 (rejecting a claim of racial gerrymandering where map drawers testified that reapportionment was based on political negotiations).
. 517 U.S. at 959, 116 S.Ct. 1941.
. Id. at 971, 116 S.Ct: 1941.
. Id.
. See Bush, 517 U.S. at 964, 116 S.Ct. 1941 (suggesting that the achievement of political goals, including incumbency protection, constitutes a traditional districting criterion); Chen v. City of Houston, 206 F.3d 502, 507 (5th Cir. 2000) (same); Clark v. Putnam, 293 F.3d 1261, 1266 (11th Cir. 2002) (same); see also Shaw I, 509 U.S. at 651, 113 S.Ct. 2816 (citing United Jewish Orgs. of Williamsburgh, Inc. v. Carey, 430 U.S. 144, 168, 97 S.Ct. 996, 51 L.Ed.2d 229 (1977) (opinion of White, J., joined by Stevens and Rehnquist, J.J.)) (characterizing the achievement of population equality as a traditional districting principle).
. See Bush, 517 U.S. at 962, 116 S.Ct. 1941 (noting that the drawing of majority-minority districts is not objectionable unless traditional districting criteria are subordinated to race).
. Cf. Theriot, 185 F.3d at 487-88 (holding that race was not the predominate factor in a reapportionment based on political negotiation, including incumbency protection, and limited by one-man-one-vote concerns and irregular geography).
. Bush, 517 U.S. at 964, 116 S.Ct. 1941.
. Shaw I, 509 U.S. at 635-36, 113 S.Ct. 2816 (internal citations omitted); see Chen, 206 F.3d at 512.
. 515 U.S. at 908, 115 S.Ct 2475.
. Cf. Chen, 206 F.3d at 513 (noting that, at least when relatively large districts are involved, the mere existence of socioeconomic variations within a district is generally not probative of the predominance of race or ethnicity in districting decisions).
. Miller, 515 U.S. at 915, 115 S.Ct. 2475.
. Davis Test., Tr. File 11 at 85-125; King Test., Tr. File 12 at 135-40; Jackson Pls.’ Ex. 136.
. 517 U.S. at 961-62, 116 S.Ct. 1941.
. Davis Test., Tr. File 11 at 92, File 12 at 27-28.
. Hunt, 526 U.S. at 546, 119 S.Ct. 1545; Bush, 517 U.S. at 993, 116 S.Ct. 1941 (O'Connor, J., concurring); Miller, 515 U.S. at 916, 115 S.Ct. 2475.
. See Bush, 517 U.S. at 959, 116 S.Ct. 1941.
. Texas NAACP Pl.'s Post-Trial Brief at 27.
. Gaddie Report, Jackson Pls.’ Ex. 141 at 13, 14; see Murray Report, Jackson Lee and Johnson Pls.’ Ex. 27.
. Jackson Pls.’ Ex. 141 at Table 3.
. Jackson Lee and Johnson Pls.’ Ex. 27 at 8, Table 6.
. Id.
. See id. at 4-9.
. Jackson Lee and Johnson Pls.' Ex. 27 at 12, Table 9.
. Id.
. Id.
. See id. at 9-13.
Reference
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