Thomas Overton v. Secretary, Florida Department of Corrections

U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit

Thomas Overton v. Secretary, Florida Department of Corrections

Opinion

USCA11 Case: 16-10654    Document: 133-1     Date Filed: 01/30/2025   Page: 1 of 38




                                                   [DO NOT PUBLISH]
                                    In the
                 United States Court of Appeals
                         For the Eleventh Circuit

                           ____________________

                                 No. 16-10654
                           ____________________

        THOMAS MITCHELL OVERTON,
                                                    Petitioner-Appellant,
        versus
        SECRETARY, FLORIDA DEPARTMENT OF CORRECTIONS,


                                                   Respondent-Appellee.


                           ____________________

                  Appeal from the United States District Court
                      for the Southern District of Florida
                     D.C. Docket No. 4:13-cv-10172-KMM
                           ____________________

                           ____________________
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        2                       Opinion of the Court                  16-10654

                                    No. 21-13309
                             ____________________

        THOMAS MITCHELL OVERTON,
                                                         Petitioner-Appellant,
        versus
        SECRETARY, FLORIDA DEPARTMENT OF CORRECTIONS,


                                                        Respondent-Appellee.


                             ____________________

                   Appeal from the United States District Court
                       for the Southern District of Florida
                      D.C. Docket No. 4:13-cv-10172-KMM
                            ____________________

        Before JORDAN, JILL PRYOR, and BRASHER, Circuit Judges.
        PER CURIAM:
                Thomas Mitchell Overton, who is incarcerated on death
        row in Florida, appeals the district court’s denial of his 
28 U.S.C. § 2254
 petition for a writ of habeas corpus. This appeal concerns
        whether his petition was timely filed. It also concerns his claims
        that trial counsel was ineffective in failing to prepare for and partic-
        ipate adequately in a preliminary hearing and that the State
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        16-10654                   Opinion of the Court                             3

        violated Brady v. Maryland 1 by failing to disclose an investigator’s
        history of sloppy evidence collection practices. After a thorough re-
        view of the record and with the benefit of oral argument, we con-
        clude that Overton’s petition was timely, but that it was properly
        denied in the alternative on the merits. We therefore affirm the
        judgment of the district court. 2
                                 I.      BACKGROUND
              In this section, we discuss the crimes of which Overton was
        convicted and the investigation of these crimes before turning to
        examine the relevant pretrial proceedings, the trial, and the post-
        conviction proceedings.
            A. The Murders and Law Enforcement’s Investigation
               The crime scene that confronted investigators was re-
        counted by the Florida Supreme Court as follows (edited here for
        brevity):
                On August 22, 1991, Susan Michelle MacIvor, age 29,
                and her husband, Michael MacIvor, age 30, were
                found murdered in their home in Tavernier Key. Su-
                san was eight months pregnant at the time with the
                couple’s first child.
                ....



        1 Brady v. Maryland, 
373 U.S. 83
 (1963).

        2 Overton’s motion to supplement the record on appeal, which we carried

        with the case, is DENIED. See Cullen v. Pinholster, 
563 U.S. 170
 (2011).
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        4                     Opinion of the Court                16-10654

              Once law enforcement officers arrived, a thorough
              examination of the house was undertaken. In the liv-
              ing room, where Michael’s body was found, investiga-
              tors noted that his entire head had been taped with
              masking tape, with the exception of his nose which
              was partially exposed. . . . The investigators surmised
              that a struggle had taken place because personal pa-
              pers were scattered on the floor near a desk, and the
              couch and coffee table had been moved. . . .
              Continuing the search toward the master bedroom, a
              piece of clothesline rope was found just outside the
              bedroom doorway. Susan’s completely naked body
              was found on top of a white comforter. Her ankles
              were tied together with a belt, several layers of mask-
              ing tape and clothesline rope. Her wrists were also
              bound together with a belt. Two belts secured her
              bound wrists to her ankles. Around her neck was a
              garrote formed by using a necktie and a black sash,
              which was wrapped around her neck several times.
              Her hair was tangled in the knot. Noticing that a
              dresser drawer containing belts and neckties had been
              pulled open, officers believed that the items used to
              bind and strangle Susan came from inside the home.
              . . . Also under the comforter was her night shirt; the
              buttons had been torn off with such force that the but-
              ton shanks had been separated from the buttons
              themselves. Near the night shirt were her panties
              which had been cut along each side in the hip area
              with a sharp instrument.
              ....
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        16-10654               Opinion of the Court                          5

               . . . The investigators used a luma light to uncover
               what presumptively appeared to be seminal stains on
               Susan’s pubic area, her buttocks, and the inside of her
               thighs. The serologist later testified that he collected
               what appeared to be semen from Susan’s body with
               swab applicators. Three presumptive seminal stains
               also appeared on the fitted sheet . . . . Ultimately, the
               officers took the comforter, fitted sheet, and mattress
               pad into evidence.
        Overton v. State (Overton I), 
801 So. 2d 877
, 881–83 (Fla. 2001).
                Investigators could not immediately identify a suspect. A se-
        rologist, Dr. Donald Pope, “examined the bedding and made cut-
        tings in accordance with the markings he had made at the scene.”
        
Id. at 883
. “One of the stains from the fitted sheet and another stain
        from the mattress pad tested positive for sperm.” 
Id.
 The cuttings
        were not sent to the Florida Department of Law Enforcement
        (“FDLE”) immediately after Dr. Pope detected the presence of
        sperm cells because, at that time, FDLE had only “recently begun
        the process of DNA testing and [its] protocol did not allow for test-
        ing in cases where there was not a suspect.” 
Id.
 at 883 n.2.
               “[A] large-scale investigation” began, and “[o]ver the years
        following the murders, law enforcement agencies investigated sev-
        eral potential suspects,” including Overton, “a known ‘cat burglar,’
        whom police suspected” in another unsolved murder. 
Id.
 at 883–
        84. In 1993, the cuttings from the bedding were sent to the FDLE
        lab. “Through a process known as restriction fragment length pol-
        ymorphism (‘RFLP’), [forensic serologist Dr. James] Pollock was
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        6                       Opinion of the Court                  16-10654

        able to develop a DNA profile from two of the cuttings.” 
Id. at 884
.
        However, “[n]o match was made at that time.” 
Id.
                In late 1996, five years after the murders, Overton was ar-
        rested during a burglary in progress. 
Id.
 While in custody on that
        arrest, Overton cut himself with a razor blade and the towel that
        he used to stop the bleeding was turned over to investigators. 
Id.
        “Based on preliminary testing conducted on the blood from the
        towels, police obtained a court order to withdraw [Overton’s]
        blood for testing.” 
Id.
 Then, “Pollock was able to compare the pro-
        file extracted from the stains in the bedding to a profile developed
        after extracting DNA from Overton’s blood. After comparing both
        profiles at six different loci, there was an exact match at each locus.”
        
Id.
 (footnote omitted). In layman’s terms, “the probability of find-
        ing an unrelated individual having the same profile was, conserva-
        tively, in excess of one in six billion Caucasians, African[-]Ameri-
        cans and Hispanics.” 
Id.
               The cuttings were later tested a second time:
               In 1998, the cuttings from the bedding were submit-
               ted to yet another lab, the Bode Technology Group
               (“Bode”). Dr. Robert Bever, the director at the Bode
               lab, testified as to the tests which were conducted on
               the bedding and the resulting conclusions. The Bode
               lab conducted a different DNA test, known as short
               tandem repeat testing (“STR”), from that performed
               by the FDLE. Overton’s DNA and that extracted
               from a stain at the scene matched at all twelve loci.
               These results were confirmed by a second analyst and
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        16-10654               Opinion of the Court                         7

               a computer comparison analysis. Asked to describe
               the significance of the Bode lab findings, Dr. Bever
               testified that the likelihood of finding another individ-
               ual whose DNA profile would match at twelve loci
               was 1 in 4 trillion Caucasians, 1 in 26 quadrillion Afri-
               can[-]Americans and 1 in 15 trillion Hispanics.
        
Id.
 at 884–85.
               Overton was charged with two counts of first degree mur-
        der as well as killing an unborn child, burglary, and sexual battery.
        He pleaded not guilty and proceeded to trial.
           B. Relevant Pretrial Proceedings
               In the weeks leading up to trial, Overton’s counsel at-
        tempted to get the DNA evidence excluded. Trial counsel filed
        multiple motions for exclusion of the evidence and moved for a
        Frye hearing, described below, to require the State to establish the
        DNA evidence’s admissibility.
               In these motions, Overton’s counsel advanced three theo-
        ries why the DNA evidence was inadmissible. First, they sought to
        exclude only the STR testing Bode performed, arguing that the
        State had failed to provide discovery the defense needed to chal-
        lenge the testing. In the alternative, counsel asked that the court
        continue the trial and compel additional discovery on the STR test-
        ing. The court rejected the challenge to Bode’s STR testing and re-
        fused to continue the trial.
               Second, Overton’s counsel took a broader approach, argu-
        ing for the exclusion of all inculpatory DNA evidence derived from
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        8                          Opinion of the Court                  16-10654

        the bedsheet cuttings. They contended that the State “taint[ed]”
        the evidence when it impermissibly contacted the defense’s expert
        and had the expert run additional tests on the evidence without the
        consent of Overton’s counsel. Doc. 13-25:15. 3 Overton’s counsel
        argued that this interference deprived the defense team of the use
        of the evidence from the cuttings because their intended expert was
        compromised. Thus, they asked the court to exclude any DNA ev-
        idence inculpating Overton to “level [the] playing field.” Doc. 13-
        65 at 35. The court denied the motion, finding no basis for relief
        because Overton’s counsel had not established a confidential ex-
        pert relationship with the analyst.
               Third, Overton’s counsel argued that the DNA evidence
        was inadmissible because it was not scientifically reliable. They re-
        quested a pretrial hearing pursuant to Frye v. United States, 
293 F. 1013
 (D.C. Cir. 1923). Frye, “[a]s adopted by Florida’s courts, . . .
        requires that the proponent of expert evidence establish by a pre-
        ponderance of the evidence the general acceptance of the underly-
        ing scientific principles and methodology.” Taylor v. Sec’y, Fla. Dep’t
        of Corr., 
64 F.4th 1264, 1270
 (11th Cir. 2023) (alterations adopted)
        (internal quotation marks omitted). The court granted the request
        for a Frye hearing.
               Overton’s counsel had argued that the hearing was neces-
        sary to determine the reliability and therefore admissibility of the
        State’s DNA evidence. But when the hearing began as scheduled,


        3 “Doc.” numbers refer to the district court's docket entries.
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        16-10654               Opinion of the Court                         9

        four days before jury selection, defense counsel told the court that
        they were not prepared and could not meaningfully challenge the
        information the State provided as to the STR testing performed by
        Bode. Defense counsel requested to continue the Frye hearing. The
        district court denied the request and proceeded with the hearing.
               At the Frye hearing, the State presented expert testimony to
        show that both RFLP and STR testing were generally accepted
        methods of DNA analysis and that the testing had been properly
        conducted in Overton’s case. Three experts testified for the State:
        Pollock; Bever; and Dr. Martin Tracey, a genetics professor. Over-
        ton’s counsel did not meaningfully question the State’s experts and
        did not present any witnesses of their own.
                As to the RFLP testing, the State posited that the technique
        was admissible under Florida caselaw recognizing it as generally
        accepted if performed correctly. The State argued that STR testing
        was not “new” or “unrelated” to RFLP testing; it was an “improve-
        ment on the basic science already followed and approved by the
        Florida courts,” Doc. 13-70 at 28–29, a “faster, quicker” version of
        RFLP testing that allowed the testing of smaller amounts of DNA,
        Doc. 13-67 at 14. Because Florida courts deemed RFLP testing ad-
        missible under Frye, the State argued, STR testing should be admis-
        sible as well.
               To support this argument, the State’s experts testified to the
        similarities between the already accepted RFLP testing and STR
        testing. Bever and Tracey testified that the scientific principles un-
        derpinning both methodologies were the same or “essentially
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         10                     Opinion of the Court                  16-10654

         identical.” Doc. 13-70 at 12. Tracey observed that “most of the pub-
         lic laboratories” in the United States were beginning to use STR
         testing, and it was already the “method of choice” in Europe. Id. at
         23, 25. The experts agreed that STR testing was generally accepted
         in the scientific community as an “extremely reliable” method of
         DNA analysis. Doc. 13-68 at 38.
                 Bever and Pollock also testified to the DNA testing they had
         performed on the bedding cuttings taken from the crime scene, the
         statistical methods they used to interpret their results, and the qual-
         ity controls in place in their laboratories. Tracey verified the other
         scientists’ results, testifying that the match between Overton’s
         DNA and the cuttings, calculated by reliable methods, was, in his
         opinion, a certainty.
                The court admitted the RFLP and STR DNA testing results,
         ruling that both modes of analysis were generally accepted in the
         scientific community.
                After the Frye hearing, Overton’s counsel continued to con-
         test the admissibility of the DNA evidence. Maintaining their the-
         ory that the State had failed to provide adequate discovery on
         Bode’s STR testing, defense counsel twice renewed their motion to
         exclude the STR testing before the trial began. Both motions were
         denied.
              C. The Trial and Sentencing
                At trial, the State presented the DNA evidence to the jury.
         The State also presented the testimony of two jailhouse inform-
         ants. See Overton I, 
801 So. 2d at 885
. The informants testified that
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         16-10654               Opinion of the Court                         11

         while in jail after his arrest Overton had confessed to the murders
         and disclosed details of the crimes that only the perpetrator would
         know. 
Id.
 at 885–86.
                 “The primary thrust of the defense in the case was centered
         upon a theme that law enforcement officers, Detective Visco in
         particular, had planted Overton’s semen in the bedding, which was
         essential to the prosecution.” 
Id. at 887
. “The defense theorized
         that [] Visco obtained [Overton’s] sperm from [his] one-time girl-
         friend, Lorna Swaybe, transported the sample in a condom, and
         placed it on the bedding.” 
Id.
 Allegedly, Visco had motive to frame
         Overton because Overton had filed an internal affairs complaint
         against him. See 
id.
 at 887 n.7. Visco denied this. See 
id.
 at 887 n.8.
         “In an attempt to substantiate this fabrication of evidence theory,”
         the defense tested the bedding samples for a compound contained
         in spermicidal condoms called Nonoxynol-9. 
Id. at 887
. The bed-
         ding tested positive for Nonoxynol-9. But the analyst who con-
         ducted the testing admitted at trial that the compound also was
         “commonly used in household detergents” and that the amount
         found on the bedding was much smaller than what a spermicidal
         condom contained. 
Id.
 at 887–88.
                To further attack the DNA evidence’s validity, the defense
         argued that the chain of custody was broken, and the evidence
         therefore was compromised. To support this argument, Overton’s
         counsel cross-examined Pope, the Monroe County Sheriff’s Office
         (“MCSO”) serologist present at the crime scene, at length about his
         evidence handling practices and gaps in the chain of custody. As the
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         12                      Opinion of the Court                  16-10654

         Florida Supreme Court summarized, the defense’s cross-examina-
         tion identified the following issues with Pope’s collection and stor-
         age of crime scene DNA:
                (1) envelopes that were used to store DNA evidence
                were misdated; (2) there were no property receipts to
                account for the swabs that were used to obtain fluids
                from Susan’s body at the scene; (3) the swabs were
                transported to [Pope’s] home, which was not a certi-
                fied storage facility; (4) these swabs were placed in
                [Pope’s] home refrigerator; (5) the first property re-
                ceipt for the envelopes of clippings, which provided a
                match to Overton’s DNA, was dated June 10, 1994 [al-
                most three years after the crime scene was processed];
                (6) the bedding (quilt, mattress pad, comforter, and
                bed sheet) on which semen stains were found were
                placed in paper bags and transported to [Pope’s]
                home to be air dried; (7) the bedding was transported
                to the Key West property evidence storage room on
                August 26, 1991 [four days after the crime scene was
                processed]; and (8) [Pope] transported the mattress
                pad in a paper bag by car to Orlando to have a psychic
                conduct an inspection.
         Overton v. State (Overton II), 
976 So. 2d 536, 551
 (Fla. 2007).
               Overton’s counsel also vigorously cross-examined Detective
         Robert Petrick, the MCSO crime scene investigator assigned to the
         MacIvor murders. As the Florida Supreme Court summarized, de-
         fense counsel’s cross-examination identified the following issues
         with Petrick’s collection of the evidence from which DNA was
         eventually extracted and tested:
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         16-10654              Opinion of the Court                       13

               (1) the paper bags in which [Petrick] collected evi-
               dence did not resemble the particular paper bag [in-
               troduced at trial] that allegedly had his signature on
               it; (2) this alleged signature on the paper bag, which
               read “Detective R. Petrick,” was not [Petrick’s] signa-
               ture; and (3) the property receipts with regard to the
               [bedding] clippings in envelopes had writing on them
               that was not [Petrick’s] writing.
         
Id.
                 Overton’s counsel argued at trial that Pope’s and Petrick’s
         testimony, along with that of other detectives and evidence custo-
         dians, suggested “probable tampering,” Doc. 13-129 at 27, and that
         the chain of custody between the collection of DNA evidence and
         the first DNA testing done on that evidence—Pollock’s RFLP test-
         ing on the bedsheet cuttings—was broken. They therefore ob-
         jected to the introduction of the cuttings of the victims’ bedding,
         attempting to exclude all testimony about the DNA testing done
         on the cuttings. This attempt was unsuccessful. After the State
         pointed to testimony by Pope, Pollock, and other evidence custo-
         dians supporting that the chain of custody remained intact, the
         court overruled the objection and admitted the cuttings into evi-
         dence, allowing the State’s experts to testify about the DNA evi-
         dence inculpating Overton.
               The jury found Overton guilty on all charges. Overton I,
         
801 So. 2d at 888
. After a sentencing hearing, the jury recom-
         mended a death sentence for Susan’s murder by a vote of 9 to 3 and
         for Michael’s murder by a vote of 8 to 4. 
Id.
 at 888–89. The trial
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         14                     Opinion of the Court                  16-10654

         court imposed a death sentence. 
Id. at 889
. The Florida Supreme
         Court affirmed Overton’s convictions and sentences on direct ap-
         peal, see 
id. at 881
, and the Supreme Court of the United States de-
         nied certiorari, see Overton v. Florida, 
535 U.S. 1062
 (2002).
              D. Postconviction Proceedings
                After his unsuccessful direct appeal, Overton filed a state
         postconviction motion under Florida Rule of Criminal Procedure
         3.851. The timing and procession of Overton’s postconviction liti-
         gation is relevant to the timeliness of his federal habeas petition.
         Rather than recounting that timing here, we do it below in our
         timeliness analysis. See infra Part III.A.
                As relevant to this appeal, Overton raised an ineffective as-
         sistance of trial counsel claim and a Brady claim. Overton con-
         tended that his trial counsel was ineffective in failing to prepare for
         and challenge the State’s evidence at the Frye hearing. And he con-
         tended that the State violated Brady when it failed to disclose that
         Pope had engaged in sloppy evidence collection practices in other
         cases, most notably Allen v. State, 
854 So. 2d 1255
 (Fla. 2003).
                 The postconviction trial court held an evidentiary hearing
         on the ineffective assistance of counsel claim. Overton’s postcon-
         viction counsel called his trial attorneys, Manuel Garcia and Jason
         Smith, to testify, attempting to show that trial counsel was ineffec-
         tive, in part, for failing to participate in the Frye hearing.
                Both attorneys testified that they made a tactical decision
         not to present or question witnesses at the Frye hearing. Smith, as
         the lead defense attorney, made the ultimate decision not to
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         16-10654               Opinion of the Court                        15

         participate. Smith testified that even successful participation in the
         Frye hearing would have served a “limited purpose” in Overton’s
         defense, for three reasons. Doc. 13-276 at 2.
                 First, trial counsel lacked the necessary discovery to chal-
         lenge the State’s DNA evidence. The defense retained a DNA ex-
         pert, Dr. Gary Litman, who, according to Smith, advised that he
         needed more information on Bode’s procedures to be able to aid
         the defense in challenging the State’s STR DNA testing. The ave-
         nues of attack against the State’s STR testing were limited. Smith
         testified that Litman believed the science behind STR testing was
         sound. So the only way to challenge the evidence was through the
         methodology that Bode used. But, according to Smith, the defense
         was unable to obtain the discovery necessary to mount this chal-
         lenge before the Frye hearing. The court had denied the continu-
         ances that trial counsel requested to facilitate further discovery. At
         the “last[] minute” before the hearing and trial, the Court permit-
         ted the defense team to spend a week at Bode’s laboratory to ex-
         amine his methods, but Smith testified that because this would not
         have been a good use of counsel’s time with trial approaching, he
         declined the court’s offer. Doc. 13-292:22.
                Second, trial counsel believed that inculpatory DNA evi-
         dence would have been admitted regardless of the defense’s partic-
         ipation in the hearing. According to Smith, Litman advised that the
         RFLP DNA testing done by the FDLE would have been admitted
         regardless because RFLP had previously passed scientific muster
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         16                     Opinion of the Court                  16-10654

         under Frye. And the RFLP testing, like the STR testing, would have
         linked Overton to the crime scene.
                Third, Smith agreed on cross-examination that challenging
         the DNA evidence on science and methodology did not comport
         with the defense’s main theory, which was that Overton’s DNA
         had been planted. Under this theory, it was unnecessary to dispute
         that the STR and RFLP tests accurately matched Overton’s known
         DNA to the crime scene samples.
                 For these reasons, Smith believed that “the best thing [he]
         could do” for Overton’s defense was to preserve the discovery issue
         for appeal. Doc. 13-276 at 3. To preserve the issue for appeal, not
         participating in the hearing was a better strategy than participating
         and doing an “inadequate job.” Doc. 13-275 at 25–26. Declining the
         visit to Bode also was a strategic decision. Smith stated that he “felt
         [he] could make an issue o[n] appeal” out of the fact that the de-
         fense’s only option to obtain necessary discovery was a time-con-
         suming trip on the eve of trial. Doc. 13-292 at 23. Smith also testi-
         fied that he made a conscious choice not to raise chain-of-custody
         issues at the Frye hearing, believing they were better addressed at
         trial, during which the State would have to prove a clear chain of
         custody to admit the DNA evidence.
                After the evidentiary hearing, the trial court denied relief.
                The Florida Supreme Court affirmed. Overton II, 
976 So. 2d at 575
. The Court concluded that Overton’s ineffective assistance
         of counsel claim failed because he had shown neither deficient per-
         formance nor prejudice. 
Id.
 at 549–53. First, the Court concluded
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         16-10654               Opinion of the Court                       17

         that “the limited participation of counsel during the Frye hearing
         did not constitute deficient performance because it was a strategic
         decision made by counsel.” 
Id. at 550
. The Court recounted that
         counsel “was of the view that they would not participate due to the
         lack of discovery with regard to the procedures and protocols that
         the Bode Lab used in testing,” as well as the court’s denial of their
         requested “continuance to provide more time to prepare” for the
         hearing. 
Id.
 “The fact that counsel may not have been prepared to
         fully participate during the Frye hearing does not establish they
         were not equipped to make a strategic decision with regard to
         whether they should participate to a greater extent.” 
Id.
 And the
         decision was indeed strategic: counsel “testified that the defense
         made a strategic decision not to participate further to properly pre-
         serve the issue of the lack of discovery with regard to the Bode Lab,
         which could then be attacked on direct appeal.” 
Id.
 “Consistent
         with this strategy, appellate counsel argued the discovery issue on
         direct appeal, but this Court found the argument to be without
         merit.” 
Id.
                The Florida Supreme Court further explained that “[i]n
         making the strategic decision, Overton’s trial counsel understood
         that even if they were able to prevent the STR DNA testing by the
         Bode Lab from being admitted into evidence, the RFLP DNA test-
         ing by the FDLE Lab would still be admitted and would similarly
         link Overton to the crime.” 
Id.
 at 550–51. Before the Frye hearing,
         the trial court had “acknowledged that case law established that
         RFLP DNA testing results would be admitted here and the Frye
         hearing was unnecessary on that DNA matter.” 
Id. at 551
. Plus,
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         18                     Opinion of the Court                16-10654

         defense expert Litman had advised trial counsel that the RFLP
         DNA evidence “should be admitted in this case.” 
Id.
 So, trial coun-
         sel “requested the Frye hearing to challenge only the newer STR
         technology.” 
Id.
                “Moreover,” the Court continued, “despite the decision to
         not participate further during the Frye hearing, other attempts were
         made by Overton’s counsel to exclude these DNA testing results.”
         
Id.
 Counsel requested twice that the evidence be excluded. 
Id.
 And
         they continued to assert the chain-of-custody issues: “[a]n alleged
         broken chain of custody was significant to the defense to support
         the defense theory that law enforcement had the opportunity to
         plant Overton’s DNA,” and so “it was reasonable for Overton’s
         counsel to believe that an alleged broken chain of custody did not
         need to be addressed during the Frye hearing, but rather, should be
         addressed during trial.” 
Id.
 And that is precisely what trial counsel
         did, “thoroughly cross-examin[ing] Dr. Pope and Detective
         Petrick, both of whom worked for law enforcement agencies and
         gathered evidence from the crime scene, on the alleged broken
         chain of custody.” 
Id.
               The Court also concluded “that the decision by Overton’s
         counsel to not address a potential degradation of the DNA evi-
         dence during the Frye hearing on the basis of an alleged broken
         chain of custody was reasonable.” 
Id.
 This was because (1) the fact
         that Overton’s DNA was on the evidence “would be consistent
         with his theory that his DNA had been planted there,” and
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         16-10654               Opinion of the Court                         19

         (2) Litman “had dismissed the dangers of degradation and false pos-
         itives from an alleged broken chain of custody.” 
Id. at 552
.
                 Alternatively, the Florida Supreme Court concluded that
         Overton suffered no prejudice from trial counsel’s limited partici-
         pation at the Frye hearing. 
Id.
 “First, the chain of custody was in-
         tact.” 
Id.
 “Second, even if the chain of custody was broken, there
         was not sufficient evidence to establish a probability of tampering,
         which would support exclusion of the evidence” under Florida law.
         
Id.
 “Third, [the Florida Supreme Court] conclude[d] that the STR
         DNA testing completed at the Bode Lab [met] the requirements of
         the Frye test.” 
Id. at 553
. “[T]his indicates that if Overton’s counsel
         had attempted to challenge the STR DNA testing here, it [was]
         highly unlikely that the evidence would have been excluded.” 
Id.
         In addition, although counsel did not challenge the RFLP testing,
         there was no prejudice “because the RFLP results were clearly ad-
         missible and the results from this testing also matched Overton.”
         
Id.
 at 553 n.14.
                As to the Brady claim, the Florida Supreme Court first
         opined that “the alleged evidence with regard to Pope’s perfor-
         mance in Allen is of minimal value,” citing the facts that “Overton
         has not identified whether this alleged similar ‘sloppy’ work oc-
         curred before or after Pope’s DNA work in the instant case” and
         that the “evidence reflects only that which occurred in another
         case, rather than providing evidence of that which occurred in”
         Overton’s case. 
Id. at 563
 (citation omitted). Second, the Court
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         20                     Opinion of the Court                  16-10654

         explained that trial counsel had presented “significant” challenges
         to Pope during trial:
                Pope was impeached with evidence of his conduct in
                the instant case. Along with other forms of impeach-
                ment, Overton’s counsel elicited evidence from Pope
                that he transported pieces of evidence to his home
                and placed evidence in his household refrigerator,
                which is not certified as a storage facility or lab. This
                evidence did impeach Pope, and the alleged evidence
                of similar “sloppy work” in another case would be cu-
                mulative.
         
Id.
                 Overton then filed a federal habeas petition. The district
         court concluded that his federal petition was untimely under
         
28 U.S.C. § 2244
. Overton v. Jones (Overton III), 
155 F. Supp. 3d 1253
,
         1267–70 (S.D. Fla. 2016). The court alternatively concluded that
         Overton’s claims failed on their merits. 
Id. at 1270, 1310
. The court
         determined that the Florida Supreme Court reasonably rejected
         Overton’s ineffective assistance of counsel and Brady claims. 
Id.
 at
         1277–85, 1288–91. The district court declined to issue Overton a
         certificate of appealability, 
id. at 1310
, but this Court issued him a
         certificate on the claims we discuss in this opinion.
                         II.    STANDARDS OF REVIEW
                We review de novo a district court’s determination that a fed-
         eral habeas petition is time-barred. Hall v. Sec’y, Dep’t of Corr.,
         
921 F.3d 983, 986
 (11th Cir. 2019).
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         16-10654                Opinion of the Court                           21

                 “When reviewing a district court’s grant or denial of habeas
         relief, we review questions of law and mixed questions of law and
         fact de novo, and findings of fact for clear error.” Reaves v. Sec’y, Fla.
         Dep’t of Corr., 
717 F.3d 886, 899
 (11th Cir. 2013) (internal quotation
         marks omitted). An ineffective assistance of counsel claim “pre-
         sents a mixed question of law and fact that we review de novo.” Pope
         v. Sec’y, Fla. Dep’t of Corr., 
752 F.3d 1254, 1261
 (11th Cir. 2014).
                The Antiterrorism and Effective Death Penalty Act of 1996
         (“AEDPA”) governs our review of federal habeas petitions decided
         after the Act’s passage. “AEDPA prescribes a highly deferential
         framework for evaluating issues previously decided in state
         court.” Sears v. Warden GDCP, 
73 F.4th 1269, 1279
 (11th Cir. 2023).
         AEDPA bars federal courts from granting habeas relief to a peti-
         tioner on a claim that was “adjudicated on the merits in [s]tate
         court” unless the decision (1) “was contrary to, or involved an un-
         reasonable application of, clearly established Federal law, as deter-
         mined by the Supreme Court of the United States[;]” or (2) “was
         based on an unreasonable determination of the facts in light of the
         evidence presented in the [s]tate court proceeding.” 
28 U.S.C. § 2254
(d).
                 A state-court decision is “contrary to” clearly established law
         if the court “applie[d] a rule that contradicts the governing law” set
         forth by the United States Supreme Court or confronted facts that
         were “materially indistinguishable” from Supreme Court prece-
         dent but arrived at a different result. Williams v. Taylor, 
529 U.S. 362
, 405–06 (2000). To meet the “unreasonable application”
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         22                     Opinion of the Court                 16-10654

         standard, a petitioner “must show far more than that the state
         court’s decision was merely wrong or even clear error.” Shinn v.
         Kayer, 
592 U.S. 111, 118
 (2020) (internal quotation marks omitted).
         Instead, the decision must be “so obviously wrong that its error lies
         beyond any possibility for fairminded disagreement.” 
Id.
 (internal
         quotation marks omitted). AEDPA’s standard is “difficult to meet”
         and “demands that state-court decisions be given the benefit of the
         doubt.” Raulerson v. Warden, 
928 F.3d 987, 996
 (11th Cir. 2019) (in-
         ternal quotation marks omitted).
                A federal habeas court must defer to a state court’s determi-
         nation of the facts unless the state court’s decision “was based on
         an unreasonable determination of the facts in light of the evidence
         presented in the [s]tate court proceeding.” 
28 U.S.C. § 2254
(d)(2).
         We must afford state courts “substantial deference” un-
         der § 2254(d)(2) and “may not characterize . . . state-court factual
         determinations as unreasonable merely because we would have
         reached a different conclusion in the first instance.” Brumfield v.
         Cain, 
576 U.S. 305
, 313–14 (2015) (alteration adopted) (internal
         quotation marks omitted). We presume a state court’s factual de-
         terminations are correct absent clear and convincing evidence to
         the contrary. See Pye v. Warden, Ga. Diagnostic Prison, 
50 F.4th 1025, 1035
 (11th Cir. 2022) (en banc).
                On each claimed basis for relief, we review “the last state-
         court adjudication on the merits.” Greene v. Fisher, 
565 U.S. 34
, 40
         (2011). Here, that decision is the decision of the Florida Supreme
         Court in Overton v. State, 
976 So. 2d 536
 (Fla. 2007).
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         16-10654               Opinion of the Court                        23

                                III.   DISCUSSION
                We divide our discussion into three parts. First, we address
         the timeliness of Overton’s federal habeas petition. Second, we ad-
         dress Overton’s claim that his trial counsel was ineffective for fail-
         ing to prepare adequately for and present a challenge to the State’s
         DNA evidence at Frye hearing. Third, we address Overton’s claim
         that the State violated Brady by failing to disclose Pope’s sloppy ev-
         idence handling in other cases.
            A. Overton’s Federal Habeas Petition Was Timely Filed.
                The State contends, and the district court agreed, that Over-
         ton’s federal habeas petition was untimely because he filed it after
         AEDPA’s one-year limitations period expired. Overton’s state court
         judgment of conviction became final in May 2002, when the United
         States Supreme Court denied his petition for a writ of certiorari
         after the Florida Supreme Court denied relief in his direct appeal.
         Yet his federal habeas petition was not filed until October 2013. Alt-
         hough the pendency of a properly filed state postconviction appli-
         cation tolls the federal limitations period, the State argues that
         Overton’s facially inadequate Rule 3.851 motions, dismissed seria-
         tim by the state habeas court, did not meet this standard. There-
         fore, the State argues, they did not toll the period. For the reasons
         we explain below, we disagree.
               We begin by reviewing the chronology of Overton’s state
         postconviction proceedings.
                Overton’s counsel filed a state postconviction motion under
         Florida Rule of Criminal Procedure 3.851 on April 30, 2003, less
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         24                     Opinion of the Court                16-10654

         than one year after the Supreme Court of the United States denied
         his petition for a writ of certiorari on May 13, 2002. The State
         moved to strike the motion, arguing that the motion lacked the re-
         quired factual basis for its claims. The postconviction trial court,
         finding Overton’s motion “legally insufficient” under Rule 3.851(e),
         granted the State’s motion to strike. Doc. 13-194 at 13. The court
         ordered Overton to “file an amended motion on or before July 11,
         2003.” Id. at 17.
                On July 10, 2003, Overton filed an amended Rule 3.851 mo-
         tion. The trial court struck this motion, too—this time because it
         “was not signed by [Overton] under oath” as Rule 3.851 requires.
         Doc. 13-198 at 20. The court noted that Overton had refused to
         sign the motion because of unresolved issues with his counsel over
         whether to assert a claim of ineffective assistance of trial counsel
         based on their failure to offer any mitigating evidence at the penalty
         phase. These issues, the court noted, “were apparently being re-
         solved with [c]ounsel.” Id. The court ordered Overton to file an
         amended, conforming Rule 3.851 motion by October 31, 2003.
               On October 30, 2003, Overton filed a second amended Rule
         3.851 motion in response to the court’s order. This one conformed
         to the procedural requirements of Rule 3.851. The court held a
         hearing on and, ultimately, denied this motion. Overton’s state
         postconviction proceedings continued until October 31, 2013,
         when the Florida Supreme Court denied rehearing on his remain-
         ing claims. See Overton v. State, 
129 So. 3d 1069
 (Fla. 2013)
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         16-10654                   Opinion of the Court                                25

         (unpublished).4 He filed his federal habeas petition eight days later,
         on November 8, 2013.
                  AEDPA permits a state prisoner to file a petition for a fed-
         eral writ of habeas corpus once he exhausts all available state court
         remedies. 
28 U.S.C. § 2254
(b)(1)(A). It imposes a one-year limita-
         tions period, which begins to run on “the date on which the [state
         court] judgment became final by the conclusion of direct review.”
         
Id.
 § 2244(d)(1)(A). But “[t]he time during which a properly filed
         application for State post-conviction or other collateral review with
         respect to the pertinent judgment or claim is pending shall not be
         counted toward any period of limitation” under AEDPA. Id.
         § 2244(d)(2). “So the application must be ‘properly filed’ and ‘pend-
         ing.’” Bates v. Sec’y, Dep’t of Corr., 
964 F.3d 1326
, 1328 (11th Cir.
         2020). 5


         4 Overton filed several postconviction motions, but the parties agree that Oc-

         tober 31, 2013, is the date on which the state postconviction proceedings—and
         any tolling of AEDPA’s statute of limitations—concluded. See Overton III,
         155 F. Supp. 3d at 1265–67.
         5 Bates concerned Florida Rule of Criminal Procedure 3.850, which sets forth

         the postconviction procedures for non-death-sentenced prisoners in Florida.
         Although Overton’s state postconviction proceedings arose under Rule
         3.851—which governs the postconviction procedures for death-sentenced
         prisoners—we conclude that our holding in Bates nevertheless applies here. In
         Bates, we explained that our analysis of when a procedurally noncompliant
         Rule 3.850 motion tolls the limitations period to file a § 2254 petition was
         guided by our conclusion in an earlier case, Green v. Secretary, Department of
         Corrections, 
877 F.3d 1244, 1248
 (11th Cir. 2017). See Bates, 964 F.3d at 1328. In
         Green, we held that “[u]nder Florida law, when a postconviction motion is
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         26                         Opinion of the Court                         16-10654

                 Whether the running of AEDPA’s limitations period was
         tolled between the filing of Overton’s original, deficient Rule 3.851
         motion in April 2003 and his compliant motion in October 2003
         thus depends on whether his motion was properly filed and pend-
         ing during this period. Our precedent answers this question. “[A]
         compliant [Florida postconviction] motion relates back to the date
         of filing of a noncompliant motion, such that the compliant mo-
         tion was ‘properly filed’ and ‘pending’ as of that date for purposes
         of tolling the limitations period in section 2244 of Title 28.” Id.; see
         Hall, 
921 F.3d at 990
 (“[F]or the purposes of tolling under 
28 U.S.C. § 2244
(d)(2), a petitioner’s [Florida postconviction] motion is ‘pend-
         ing’ until it is denied with prejudice.”).
                 And so, however “intuitive” it may be “that when a motion
         is stricken from the record, the motion is no longer pending. . . [,]
         this approach upends the procedure Florida courts have developed
         for processing facially deficient postconviction motions.” Hall,
         
921 F.3d at 989
 (alterations adopted) (internal quotation marks
         omitted). This procedure, laid out by the Florida Supreme Court in
         Spera v. State, 
971 So. 2d 754, 761
 (Fla. 2007), establishes that “a trial
         court abuses its discretion when it fails to provide a . . . petitioner



         stricken with leave to amend, the amended motion relates back to the date of
         the original filing.” 
877 F.3d at 1248
 (citing Bryant v. State, 
901 So. 2d 810, 818
         (Fla. 2005)). Like the Rule 3.850 motions at issue in Bates and Green, Overton’s
         Rule 3.851 motion was a postconviction motion governed by Florida law.
         Thus, Bates’s application of Florida law’s relation back and tolling rules for
         postconviction motions, which we describe next, is applicable here.
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         16-10654                  Opinion of the Court                          27

         at least one opportunity to amend his facially insufficient” Rule
         3.851 motion. Hall, 
921 F.3d at 989
.
                In this case, the district court erred in concluding that Over-
         ton’s federal habeas petition was untimely under AEDPA. The
         judgment in his case became final on May 13, 2002, when the Su-
         preme Court of the United States denied his petition for a writ of
         certiorari from the denial of his direct appeal. See Overton v. Florida,
         
535 U.S. 1062
 (2002). That started the clock on AEDPA’s one-year
         statute of limitations, giving Overton until May 13, 2003 to file a
         federal habeas petition or a state postconviction motion that would
         toll the federal limitations period. 
28 U.S.C. § 2244
(d). He filed a
         first Rule 3.851 motion on April 30, 2003, 13 days before the federal
         statute of limitations expired. Although that motion did not com-
         ply with the rule—and the following one did not, either—the state
         postconviction court twice gave Overton the opportunity to file a
         compliant motion. He timely filed one on October 30, 2003. Under
         Bates, this compliant motion related back to the April 30 motion,
         such that it was both “properly filed” and “pending” from April 30,
         2003 until October 31, 2013. See Bates, 964 F.3d at 1328. At that
         point, Overton still had 13 days remaining to file a federal habeas
         petition. He filed eight days later, on November 8, 2013. That peti-
         tion was timely filed under 
28 U.S.C. § 2244
(d). 6 We thus reject the
         State’s argument that Overton’s federal habeas petition was filed
         too late.

         6 Because we conclude that Overton’s petition was timely filed, we need not

         and do not address equitable tolling.
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         28                     Opinion of the Court                16-10654

               We now turn to the merits of the substantive claims for
         which we granted Overton a certificate of appealability.
              B. Overton’s Ineffective Assistance of Counsel Claim Does
                 Not Withstand AEDPA Deference.
                 The Sixth Amendment entitles criminal defendants to the
         “effective assistance of counsel”—that is, representation that does
         not fall “below an objective standard of reasonableness” relative to
         “prevailing professional norms.” Strickland v. Washington, 
466 U.S. 668
, 686–88 (1984) (internal quotation marks omitted). “To prevail
         on a claim of ineffective assistance of counsel, [Overton] must
         prove that his counsel’s performance was objectively deficient and
         that this deficient performance prejudiced him.” King v. Warden,
         Ga. Diagnostic Prison, 
69 F.4th 856, 873
 (11th Cir. 2023) (citing
         Strickland, 
466 U.S. at 687
). The Florida Supreme Court denied
         Overton’s ineffective assistance of counsel claim on the merits, “so
         we must defer to the state court’s decision . . . unless it was not
         only erroneous, but objectively unreasonable.” 
Id.
 (internal quota-
         tion marks omitted).
                 As to the first Strickland prong—whether trial counsel per-
         formed deficiently—the Florida Supreme Court concluded that
         trial counsel made a reasonable strategic decision not to participate
         in the Frye hearing based on several known factors, including that
         the RFLP DNA evidence was admissible notwithstanding any chal-
         lenge to the admissibility of the STR DNA evidence (a fact that
         both defense expert Litman and the trial court told trial counsel),
         the trial court’s denial of continuances and the lack of discovery
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         16-10654               Opinion of the Court                         29

         from the STR DNA lab could provide an issue for appeal, the de-
         fense was pushing a planted-evidence theory accepting that Over-
         ton’s DNA was on the crime scene bedding, and trial counsel could
         attempt to undermine the STR DNA evidence at trial by cross-ex-
         amining Pope about the chain-of-custody problems. Overton chal-
         lenges this conclusion and argues, primarily, that trial counsel un-
         reasonably failed to challenge the DNA evidence at the Frye hearing
         based on Pope’s evidence collection and storage practices—that is,
         the alleged break or breaks in the chain of custody of the evidence.
                But we need not address this conclusion, because even if
         Overton could establish that the Florida Supreme Court’s determi-
         nation that his trial counsel rendered adequate performance was
         unreasonable, he cannot make the same showing as to the other
         prong of his ineffective assistance of counsel claim—that he suf-
         fered prejudice as a result. See Carey v. Dep’t of Corr., 
57 F.4th 985, 989
 (11th Cir. 2023) (“Because a petitioner must prove both defi-
         cient performance and prejudice, a court need not address one ele-
         ment if it determines that the petitioner has failed to prove the
         other.”).
                To establish that his trial counsel’s deficient performance
         caused him prejudice, Overton “must show that there is a reason-
         able probability that, but for counsel’s unprofessional errors, the
         result of the proceeding would have been different.” Strickland,
         
466 U.S. at 694
. “A reasonable probability is a probability sufficient
         to undermine confidence in the outcome.” 
Id.
 And, under AEDPA,
         “the question is not whether a federal court believes the state
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         30                     Opinion of the Court                  16-10654

         court’s determination [that there was no prejudice] under the
         Strickland standard was incorrect but whether that determination
         was unreasonable—a substantially higher threshold.” Nejad v. Att’y
         Gen., State of Ga., 
830 F.3d 1280, 1290
 (11th Cir. 2016) (alteration
         adopted) (quoting Knowles v. Mirzayance, 
556 U.S. 111, 123
 (2009)).
                The Florida Supreme Court concluded that Overton was
         not prejudiced by trial counsel’s failure to participate in the Frye
         hearing for several reasons, including that the chain of custody re-
         mained unbroken, there was insufficient evidence of tampering
         with the evidence, the STR DNA testing met the Frye require-
         ments, and the RFLP DNA test results were admissible and
         matched Overton’s DNA. Overton challenges the Florida Supreme
         Court’s prejudice determination with arguments about how trial
         counsel’s purportedly deficient performance in failing to challenge
         the admissibility of the STR and RFLP evidence at the Frye hearing
         prejudiced him. If the DNA evidence had been properly excluded,
         Overton says, the State would have been left with only the testi-
         mony of jailhouse informants in their case against him, leading to
         a “strong likelihood” the jury would have acquitted him or voted
         against death. Reply Br. 33. His arguments fall short of establishing
         that “no fairminded jurist could agree with [the Florida Supreme
         Court’s] determination” that he suffered no prejudice from trial
         counsel’s failure to participate in the Frye hearing. King, 
69 F.4th at 867
 (internal quotation marks omitted). Therefore, the district
         court did not err in denying federal habeas relief on Overton’s in-
         effective assistance of counsel claim.
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         16-10654               Opinion of the Court                         31

                As a preliminary matter, although Overton argues that he
         was prejudiced because the STR and RFLP DNA results were un-
         reliable and likely would have been excluded had trial counsel chal-
         lenged their admission at the Frye hearing, his only evidence to sug-
         gest that the DNA testing should have been excluded is of Pope’s
         sloppy evidence handling practices. Overton presented no evi-
         dence in the state postconviction proceedings that the DNA evi-
         dence had been tampered with, no evidence that the RFLP or STR
         DNA evidence was inadmissible for any other reason under Frye,
         and no evidence that the specimen from which the DNA had been
         sourced had meaningfully degraded.
                Instead, Overton points to flaws in the collection and han-
         dling of the DNA evidence that he argues fell below “the standards
         of scientific reliability required by Frye.” Reply Br. 23. These flaws,
         in Overton’s view, are sufficient to demonstrate prejudice because
         they would have rendered the DNA evidence inadmissible if ade-
         quately presented to the trial court. To bolster his argument, he
         points to a Florida appellate court decision recognizing that DNA
         evidence “might be excluded in a specific case due to defects” in the
         collection of evidence. Brim v. State, 
779 So. 2d 427, 438
 (Fla. Dist.
         Ct. App. 2000) (emphasis added).
                Even accepting that Florida courts have in some cases ex-
         cluded DNA evidence because of tampering during the evidence’s
         collection, see Murray v. State, 
838 So. 2d 1073
, 1082–83 (Fla. 2002),
         the Florida Supreme Court decided that the evidence was admissi-
         ble after considering the flaws in its collection and handling.
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         32                     Opinion of the Court                 16-10654

         Beginning by addressing the chain of custody issue, the Florida Su-
         preme Court concluded the DNA evidence’s chain of custody was
         intact, but even if it was broken, “there was not sufficient evidence
         to establish a probability of tampering, which would support exclu-
         sion of the evidence.” Overton II, 
976 So. 2d at 552
. And the Court
         explained that it “has not held that a broken chain of custody alone
         is enough by itself to establish probable tampering.” 
Id.
 Put differ-
         ently, the Florida Supreme Court concluded that Overton pointed
         to no evidence of tampering sufficient to establish that the defects
         in the chain of custody made the DNA evidence excludable. It de-
         termined that “the record does not support the contention that
         Overton’s counsel could have established a probability of tamper-
         ing, which[,]” the Court explained, “would have arguably led to an
         exclusion of both the STR DNA testing and the RFLP DNA testing
         results, had evidence been introduced during the Frye hearing with
         regard to the alleged broken chain of custody.” 
Id. at 553
. Thus,
         even though DNA evidence may be inadmissible under Florida law
         due to defects in the evidence’s chain of custody where there is ev-
         idence of tampering, the Florida Supreme Court determined this is
         not one of those cases.
                Still, Overton argues that this conclusion was unreasonable
         because at the Frye hearing stage, “trial counsel was not required to
         establish a probability of tampering.” Appellant’s Br. 86. Instead, he
         contends that under Frye, “even if the general scientific principles
         and techniques [were] accepted by experts in the field, the same
         experts could testify that the work done in a particular case was so
         flawed” to make the evidence inadmissible. 
Id.
 (alteration adopted)
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         16-10654               Opinion of the Court                        33

         (quoting Murray, 
838 So. 2d at 1078
)). And in Overton’s view, if trial
         counsel had challenged the STR DNA evidence at the Frye hearing
         on this basis, it likely would have been excluded.
                 The problem for Overton, however, is that even if counsel
         had successfully challenged the STR DNA evidence at the Frye
         hearing, the State still would have been able to offer at trial the
         RFLP DNA evidence connecting Overton to the scene of the crime.
         Overton does not now, nor has he ever, explained why the RFLP
         DNA in this case was inadmissible aside from the evidence collec-
         tion problem. And as to his argument that the evidence collection
         methods rendered the RFLP DNA evidence inadmissible as well,
         he must overcome AEDPA deference as to the Florida Supreme
         Court’s determination that the RFLP DNA evidence here was
         “clearly admissible” because it is generally accepted, testimony at
         the evidentiary hearing “illustrate[d] the proper procedures and
         protocols that existed at the FDLE Lab with regard to the RFLP
         testing,” and Pollock testified that the FDLE Lab’s “quality assur-
         ance program . . . ensured that evidence was stored properly.” Over-
         ton II, 
976 So. 2d at 553
 n.14. And thus he was not prejudiced by
         trial counsel’s failure to challenge the RFLP DNA evidence because
         it was admissible and the RFLP DNA testing results matched his
         DNA.
                To show that the Florida Supreme Court unreasonably de-
         termined that the RFLP DNA evidence was admissible, Overton
         notes that RFLP DNA evidence “is not per se admissible.” Appel-
         lant’s Br. 75. He again points to Brim to say that the trial court
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         34                     Opinion of the Court                 16-10654

         “might” have excluded the evidence due to defects in evidence col-
         lection. 
779 So. 2d at 438
 (emphasis added). Further, he advances
         that if the STR DNA evidence had properly been excluded, the
         RFLP “in-house DNA result alone lends significantly more cre-
         dence to trial counsel’s argument that the DNA was at the very
         least contaminated, if not planted.” Appellant’s Br. 84–85 (internal
         quotation marks omitted).
                We are troubled by Pope’s handling of the DNA evidence in
         this case. And we agree that Overton need not “definitively prove
         that DNA test results would have been excluded” to warrant ha-
         beas relief. Reply Br. 25. But establishing prejudice under Strickland
         requires Overton to show a reasonable probability of a different
         result. His arguments show, at best, that the RFLP DNA testing
         results might have been excludable. They fall far short of showing
         that the Florida Supreme Court’s conclusion that the evidence was
         admissible was so wrong as to be unreasonable. After considering
         the record evidence that RFLP DNA testing is generally accepted,
         the FDLE lab followed proper procedures when it conducted RFLP
         testing of the DNA evidence, and the RFLP DNA test results
         matched Overton’s DNA, and applying the deference AEDPA re-
         quires, we cannot say that “no fairminded jurist could agree” with
         the Florida Supreme Court’s no-prejudice determination. King,
         
69 F.4th at 867
 (internal quotation marks omitted).
                The district court did not err in rejecting Overton’s ineffec-
         tive assistance of counsel claim.
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         16-10654               Opinion of the Court                        35

            C. Overton’s Brady Claim Does Not Withstand AEDPA Def-
               erence.
                 Overton contends that the Florida Supreme Court unrea-
         sonably concluded that evidence of Pope’s mishandling of evidence
         in other cases was not material, such that the State’s failure to dis-
         close it did not prejudice Overton’s defense. First, he argues that
         the Florida Supreme Court unreasonably applied Brady when it
         failed to account for the fact that, had defense counsel obtained ev-
         idence of Pope’s sloppy evidence handling practices, they not only
         would have impeached him with that evidence but also would
         have used the evidence to have the DNA evidence Pope collected
         in Overton’s case excluded. Second, Overton argues that “even if
         the suppressed information was ‘just’ impeachment evidence,” it
         was an unreasonable application of Brady to conclude that evidence
         of Pope’s evidence mishandling would have been cumulative of the
         evidence presented at trial. Appellant’s Br. 95. He argues that be-
         cause the evidence would have demonstrated a pattern of mishan-
         dling and would have impeached the State’s star witness, it was
         material. Third, Overton contends that the Florida Supreme Court
         unreasonably applied Brady by failing to assess the aggregate effect
         of the suppressed evidence, including the impeachment effect it
         could have had on witnesses other than Pope.
                “As recognized in Brady and its progeny, principles of due
         process dictate that, in a criminal proceeding, the prosecution must
         disclose evidence favorable to the defendant.” Rimmer v. Sec’y, Fla.
         Dep’t of Corr., 
876 F.3d 1039, 1053
 (11th Cir. 2017). The Supreme
         Court has identified “three components of a true Brady violation:
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         36                     Opinion of the Court                 16-10654

         [(1)] [t]he evidence at issue must be favorable to the accused, either
         because it is exculpatory, or because it is impeaching; [(2)] that ev-
         idence must have been suppressed by the State, either willfully or
         inadvertently; and [(3)] prejudice must have ensued.” Strickler v.
         Greene, 
527 U.S. 263
, 281–82 (1999). Because it is determinative, we
         need only discuss the third element here.
                 “To establish prejudice, the defendant must show that the
         suppressed evidence was material.” Rimmer, 
876 F.3d at 1054
.
         “[F]avorable evidence is material, and constitutional error results
         from its suppression by the government, if there is a reasonable
         probability that, had the evidence been disclosed to the defense, the
         result of the proceeding would have been different.” Kyles v. Whit-
         ley, 
514 U.S. 419, 433
 (1995) (internal quotation marks omit-
         ted). “In determining whether disclosure of the suppressed evi-
         dence might have produced a different result, we must consider the
         ‘totality of the circumstances.’” Rimmer, 
876 F.3d at 1054
 (quoting
         United States v. Bagley, 
473 U.S. 667, 683
 (1985)). “We must examine
         the trial record, evaluate the withheld evidence in the context of
         the entire record, and determine in light of that examination
         whether there is a reasonable probability that, had the evidence
         been disclosed, the result of the proceeding would have been dif-
         ferent.” Turner v. United States, 
582 U.S. 313
, 324–25 (2017) (altera-
         tion adopted) (internal quotation marks and citation omitted).
                Overton’s arguments do not convince us that the Florida Su-
         preme Court’s decision was based on an unreasonable application
         of Brady and its progeny. Although he comes at the argument from
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         16-10654                   Opinion of the Court                               37

         different angles, at bottom, Overton’s objection to the Florida Su-
         preme Court’s decision is that it failed to consider the totality of the
         circumstances and the record as a whole. But giving the Florida Su-
         preme Court’s decision the benefit of the doubt, as we must, we
         cannot agree with Overton. Noting that the undisclosed evidence
         of Pope’s sloppy evidence collection practices “occurred in another
         case” and not this one, the Court found that the evidence had “min-
         imal value.” Overton II, 
976 So. 2d at 563
. This factual finding, which
         is not clearly and convincingly erroneous,7 belies Overton’s argu-
         ment that the undisclosed evidence would have resulted in the ex-
         clusion of the DNA evidence altogether. Further, explaining that
         trial counsel lodged “significant” challenges to Pope’s evidence col-
         lection practices in this case during trial, the Court explained that
         the undisclosed evidence would not have significantly changed the
         evidentiary landscape and so would have been cumulative. 
Id.
 We
         read the Court’s decision as considering the effect of “star witness”
         Pope’s credibility on the jury’s verdict given the totality of the cir-
         cumstances, including the ways in which Pope was impeached at
         trial.


         7 Overton suggests that the finding was erroneous, pointing to the Florida Su-

         preme Court’s statement that Pope’s work in the other case was “similar” to
         his work in Overton’s. Appellant’s Br. 91; see Overton II, 
976 So. 2d at 563
. But
         there is no inconsistency between the Florida Supreme Court’s characteriza-
         tion of the two cases as similar and its determination that the value of Pope’s
         practices in another case would be minimal in Overton’s case. He has not con-
         vinced us that the “minimal value” finding was clearly and convincingly erro-
         neous. See Pye, 
50 F.4th at 1053
.
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         38                     Opinion of the Court                  16-10654

                 Even if a more thorough discussion would have been
         clearer, AEDPA does not require one. “Because the Florida Su-
         preme Court’s decision on [Overton’s] Brady claim did not contain
         an error so clear that fair-minded people could not disagree about
         it, we defer to that decision denying [him] relief on his Brady claim.”
         Rimmer, 
876 F.3d at 1057
.
                                IV.    CONCLUSION
               For these reasons, we affirm the district court’s denial of
         Overton’s petition for a writ of habeas corpus.
                AFFIRMED.


Reference

Status
Unpublished